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Bakken Bears vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-65
19-18 15-14 16-16 24-17
Position#2
Record14-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#9
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game82.2
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 23
Other2012-13
Meetings · Bakken Bears v Aarhus
16 Jan 2013
BBE74
AARH65
25 Oct 2012
BBE73
AARH59
18 Oct 2012
BBE105
AARH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
H22/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
81-111
81
111
-30
A06/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
96-61
96
61
+35
A08/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H13/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
94-58
94
58
+36
A19/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H06/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#3
W
106-69
106
69
+37
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
14-17
15-19
16-21
20-21
19-9
25-15
18-17
–
–
–
–
21-36
15-29
22-32
23-14
–
–
–
–
18-20
9-18
23-24
25-17
17-14
26-17
26-16
25-11
15-22
21-16
18-17
31-10
23-26
25-15
14-18
16-20
–
–
–
–
163.1Avg total
88.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.275.8164.0+12.478%
Season at home (9)91.374.6165.9+16.889%
Season away (9)85.177.0162.1+8.167%
Last 10 (10)88.374.8163.1+13.570%
Last 5 (5)87.670.0157.6+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.596.5184.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.971.0156.9+14.985%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A09/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
15-11
17-15
17-16
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
16-21
18-19
15-23
13-17
22-23
16-25
16-24
18-17
22-32
16-21
16-23
15-19
18-22
16-22
16-18
11-21
150.8Avg total
69.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.682.2152.8-11.728%
Season at home (9)74.281.3155.6-7.144%
Season away (9)66.983.1150.0-16.211%
Last 10 (10)69.181.7150.8-12.620%
Last 5 (5)72.290.2162.4-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.083.8150.8-16.815%
vs Similar (4)76.082.5158.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
Bakken BearsAarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H22/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-65
36
65
-29
A06/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H13/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A19/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/01
Basketligaen
77.6Avg total
38.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)40.537.578.0+3.056%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.836.275.9+3.654%-
Last 30 away (12)41.339.080.3+2.358%-
Last 10 (7)38.439.177.6-0.757%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.549.585.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.036.577.4+4.561%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/01
Basketligaen
74.2Avg total
34.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)34.940.975.8-6.028%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.840.876.6-5.022%-
Last 30 away (9)34.041.075.0-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.174.2-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.081.4-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.943.878.7-8.817%-
vs Similar (4)34.236.871.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bakken Bears wins
0
Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
13/11/12Aarhus v Bakken Bears48-80
25/10/12Bakken Bears v Aarhus73-59
18/10/12Bakken Bears v Aarhus105-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/13AHorsholm106-69
10/01/13AHorsens78-79
06/01/13HSisu85-65
19/12/12AAalborg94-58
13/12/12HSvendborg75-79
08/12/12ASvendborg96-61
06/12/12ARanders81-111
01/12/12HSvendborg99-81
29/11/12HVaerlose82-62
22/11/12HTeam FOG Naestved87-83 OT
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/13ASvendborg61-83
06/01/13AVaerlose69-95
18/12/12HHorsens72-89
12/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved62-80
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
30/10/12HVaerlose71-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL78%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game88.291.385.1
Allowed / game75.874.677.0
Point differential+12.4+16.8+8.1
Avg total164.0165.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game70.674.266.9
Allowed / game82.281.383.1
Point differential-11.7-7.1-16.2
Avg total152.8155.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1816289%89.981.2+8.7
2 Bakken Bears1814478%88.275.8+12.4
3 Horsens1814478%86.578.3+8.2
4 Team FOG Naestved1810856%80.275.7+4.4
5 Sisu1810856%79.276.5+2.7
6 Randers1771041%90.788.8+1.9
7 Horsholm1651131%77.385.1-7.8
8 Vaerlose1851328%79.285.2-6.1
9 Aarhus1851328%70.682.2-11.7
10 Aalborg151147%75.591.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears1915162474
Aarhus1814161765
← all games of the day
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