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Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-89
22-23 16-25 16-24 18-17
Position#9
Record5-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#3
Record12-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.8
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 10
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Horsens
19 Jan 2013
AARH76
HORS91
18 Dec 2012
AARH72
HORS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A12/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
12-30
22-26
22-24
–
–
–
–
13-16
11-30
11-13
15-16
13-20
15-11
17-15
17-16
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
16-21
18-19
15-23
13-17
147.8Avg total
67.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.280.9152.1-9.733%
Season at home (8)74.580.4154.9-5.950%
Season away (7)67.481.4148.9-14.014%
Last 10 (10)67.580.3147.8-12.820%
Last 5 (5)72.883.6156.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.183.5150.5-16.418%
vs Similar (3)78.378.3156.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H28/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H01/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A09/11
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H18/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A05/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A15/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
21-11
23-25
15-24
26-20
26-21
22-19
21-23
22-28
18-15
20-22
29-21
–
–
–
–
29-16
18-14
13-13
21-26
14-19
21-21
21-17
12-11
21-22
18-22
28-21
9-20
22-19
24-15
19-21
20-16
27-21
24-24
19-15
19-17
28-24
21-13
17-12
13-18
160.1Avg total
81.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.878.8165.6+8.175%
Season at home (9)88.181.7169.8+6.467%
Season away (7)85.175.0160.1+10.186%
Last 10 (10)81.478.7160.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)82.074.8156.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.487.5163.9-11.125%
vs Similar (14)88.182.5170.6+5.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
AarhusHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A18/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/12
Basketligaen
71.7Avg total
32.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)34.539.473.9-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (8)35.539.975.4-4.425%-
Last 30 away (7)33.438.972.3-5.443%-
Last 10 (9)32.039.771.7-7.711%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.743.378.0-8.620%-
vs Similar (3)33.031.364.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H01/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A05/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/12
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
44.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)44.139.984.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.5+3.447%-
Last 30 away (13)43.138.081.1+5.169%-
Last 10 (9)44.739.784.3+5.056%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.084.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.379.7-0.957%-
vs Similar (14)45.541.286.7+4.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.936.982.7+9.071%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aarhus wins
1
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
11/10/12Horsens v Aarhus79-65
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved62-80
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
30/10/12HVaerlose71-68 OT
28/10/12ASisu50-75
25/10/12ABakken Bears59-73
18/10/12ABakken Bears77-105
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved79-67
13/12/12HVaerlose89-77
05/12/12AAalborg85-71
18/11/12HSvendborg76-85
15/11/12HHorsholm81-74 OT
11/11/12ASisu81-69
09/11/12ABakken Bears58-83
07/11/12ARanders89-86
01/11/12HSisu95-83
28/10/12HBakken Bears81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game71.274.567.4
Allowed / game80.980.481.4
Point differential-9.7-5.9-14.0
Avg total152.1154.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%25%14%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%67%86%
Points / game86.888.185.1
Allowed / game78.881.775.0
Point differential+8.1+6.4+10.1
Avg total165.6169.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%56%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1514193%90.782.6+8.1
2 Bakken Bears1512380%88.777.5+11.3
3 Horsens1612475%86.878.8+8.1
4 Sisu1510567%80.174.5+5.6
5 Team FOG Naestved169756%79.373.6+5.8
6 Randers1661038%90.489.6+0.8
7 Aarhus1551033%71.280.9-9.7
8 Horsholm1541127%77.185.5-8.4
9 Vaerlose1531220%77.485.9-8.5
10 Aalborg141137%76.891.7-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aarhus2216161872
Horsens2325241789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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