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Bakken Bears vs Absheron Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-88 (OT)
17-19 15-18 30-22 19-22 10-7
Position#21
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#45
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game106.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Absheron Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 91
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 91
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 91
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 91
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 91
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
112-75
112
75
+37
118avg 91
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 91
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
103-86
103
86
+17
95avg 91
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 91
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
123-82
123
82
+41
120avg 91
A18/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-21
29-22
21-21
22-33
21-12
22-16
24-17
19-23
21-26
21-26
11-15
27-13
19-21
10-21
27-9
23-16
24-20
33-22
28-26
29-19
32-16
26-20
25-20
16-19
20-19
14-27
31-26
27-27
27-14
25-25
24-20
27-20
10-22
26-12
15-19
31-23
25-18
33-19
34-22
174.0Avg total
93.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.582.0161.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Season away (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.680.4174.0+13.280%
Last 5 (5)99.481.4180.8+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.084.7161.7-7.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.981.5178.5+15.477%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
no box
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
91avg 80
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
73avg 80
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 80
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 80
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 80
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
88-105
88
105
-17
72avg 80
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#17
L
83-105
83
105
-22
75avg 80
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
84-108
84
108
-24
67avg 80
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
20-28
27-15
22-25
26-18
27-30
21-19
23-35
17-21
16-25
20-24
23-30
24-26
20-25
14-23
25-34
25-26
180.2Avg total
85.6Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.5106.5190.0-23.00%
Season at home (1)83.0105.0188.0-22.00%
Season away (1)84.0108.0192.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)85.694.6180.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)85.6100.4186.0-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.5106.5190.0-23.00%
vs Similar (4)88.896.8185.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Bakken BearsAbsheron Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A18/10
Basketligaen
85.6Avg total
45.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.139.787.8+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.538.287.7+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.287.9+5.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.985.6+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.488.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.743.080.7-5.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)49.539.188.6+10.485%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
88.4Avg total
42.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)43.344.988.2-1.636%-
Last 30 at home (5)45.245.290.4+0.040%-
Last 30 away (6)41.744.786.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.388.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.848.088.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.048.583.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (4)44.547.291.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.324.9
65.0%
53.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.89.8
29.9%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.614.4
66.7%
72.8%14.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.4
55.1%
53.4%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.313.8
71.5%
72.8%13.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWLWWWLWW
Absheron Lions
LLLWLWLLLL
#21
League position
#45
+13.8
Net rating
-11.0
98.3
Offensive rating
101.5
84.6
Defensive rating
112.5
55.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
31.1%
51.0%
Assist %
49.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 101.5Defence84.6 · 112.5Shooting55.7% · 52.1%3-point %29.9% · 31.1%Ball care15.2% · 15.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Absheron Lions
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bakken Bears wins
0
Absheron Lions wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AVaerlose123-82
14/10/26AGeneva Lions78-73
10/10/26HRanders103-86
07/10/26HBenfica81-91
30/09/26HGladsaxe112-75
27/09/26ABears Academy108-84
24/09/26HHorsens83-64
18/09/26ASalon Vilpas72-90
16/09/26HZwolle89-78
25/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26ABC Prievidza84-108
07/10/26HGeneva Lions83-105
14/09/26AVEF Riga88-105
19/11/25ANeftchi IK95-86
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.581.078.0
Allowed / game82.091.073.0
Point differential-2.5-10.0+5.0
Avg total161.5172.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.583.084.0
Allowed / game106.5105.0108.0
Point differential-23.0-22.0-24.0
Avg total190.0188.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor330100%101.373.7+27.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Dziki Warszawa220100%98.578.0+20.5
5 Trier220100%89.571.0+18.5
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Iraklis220100%77.066.0+11.0
8 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
9 Benfica220100%93.586.0+7.5
10 Bashkimi110100%79.077.0+2.0
11 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
12 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
13 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
14 Kolossos Rhodes32167%75.366.0+9.3
15 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
16 CSM Oradea32167%84.776.7+8.0
17 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
18 Keravnos32167%80.375.3+5.0
19 AEK Larnaca32167%84.084.0+0.0
20 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
21 Dinamo Bucharest53260%89.877.6+12.2
22 Opava21150%85.068.0+17.0
23 Geneva Lions21150%89.080.5+8.5
24 Denizli Basket21150%87.082.5+4.5
25 Korfez Basket21150%76.074.5+1.5
26 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
27 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%79.080.0-1.0
28 Split21150%71.573.0-1.5
29 Levice21150%71.573.5-2.0
30 Bakken Bears21150%79.582.0-2.5
31 Trepca21150%77.580.0-2.5
32 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
33 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
34 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
35 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
36 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
37 Neftchi IK41325%73.282.0-8.8
38 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
39 Manchester Basketball1010%72.079.0-7.0
40 MZT Skopje3030%74.782.0-7.3
41 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
42 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
43 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
44 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
45 Fribourg Olympic2020%66.086.5-20.5
46 Absheron Lions2020%83.5106.5-23.0
47 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi3030%65.795.0-29.3
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bakken Bears171530191091
Absheron Lions19182222788
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