BAL Weert vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-86

23-26 17-22 17-21 20-17

Position#6

Record12-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game75.5

BAL Weert

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record17-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game79.7

DBLDBL - Quarter-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · BAL Weert v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL Weert

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

QSTA Utd

80-82

-2

H01/04

DBL

Almere

#12

96-58

+38

H03/04

DBL

Amsterdam

64-59 OT

A07/04

DBL

LWD Basket

#11

72-57

+15

A10/04

DBL

Hague

#10

75-49

+26

H17/04

DBL

QSTA Utd

79-86

-7

A21/04

DBL

Almere

#11

114-51

114

+63

H24/04

DBL Cup

Leiden

90-87

H28/04

DBL Cup

Feyenoord

84-79

H30/04

DBL Cup

QSTA Utd

98-88

+10

A02/05

DBL Cup

19-21

15-17

25-26

21-18

22-13

30-7

24-23

20-15

12-15

4-7

17-16

17-12

8-16

23-9

15-19

26-13

16-18

22-11

13-12

24-8

20-24

22-23

20-17

17-22

32-5

33-19

24-10

25-17

24-19

22-22

18-23

26-23

18-18

19-21

24-18

23-22

26-22

23-21

24-28

25-17

154.8Avg total

85.2Scored

69.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.1	75.5	155.6	+4.6	57%
Season at home (10)	82.3	72.2	154.5	+10.1	60%
Season away (11)	78.1	78.5	156.6	-0.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	69.6	154.8	+15.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.0	78.2	171.2	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.8	85.9	158.6	-13.1	12%
vs Similar (5)	73.6	76.2	149.8	-2.6	40%
vs Weaker (15)	84.0	69.7	153.7	+14.3	87%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

89-79

+10

A17/03

DBL

Donar Groningen

96-91

H20/03

DBL

Den Bosch

90-106

106

-16

A27/03

DBL

Zwolle

96-93

H31/03

DBL

Feyenoord

96-92

A03/04

DBL

Den Helder

90-81

H07/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

96-72

+24

A10/04

DBL

Den Bosch

78-86

-8

H17/04

DBL

Zwolle

79-58

+21

A22/04

DBL

BAL Weert

87-90

-3

A28/04

DBL Cup

27-20

11-16

34-16

17-27

26-28

29-16

20-24

21-23

18-27

22-23

23-30

27-26

24-24

21-24

25-19

26-26

19-30

26-19

26-15

25-28

24-26

20-20

21-21

25-14

33-15

25-18

26-17

12-22

21-27

22-20

17-16

18-23

20-16

31-7

8-19

19-24

22-22

23-18

23-26

174.5Avg total

89.7Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	91.2	79.7	171.0	+11.5	81%
Season at home (11)	91.7	78.4	170.1	+13.4	82%
Season away (10)	90.7	81.2	171.9	+9.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	84.8	174.5	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	77.4	163.4	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	83.8	83.0	166.8	+0.8	50%
vs Similar (3)	96.7	76.7	173.3	+20.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	87.9	80.3	168.2	+7.5	68%

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BAL WeertLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	14.3	33.2	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.7	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	19.9	42.9	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.0	20.3	46.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.3	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	17.2	38.6	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	15.2	37.0	+6.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	17.0	41.3	+7.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.5	19.9	40.3	+0.6	32%	-

BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

QSTA Utd

34-38

-4

H01/04

DBL

Almere

#12

52-20

+32

H03/04

DBL

Amsterdam

16-22

-6

A07/04

DBL

LWD Basket

#11

31-25

A10/04

DBL

Hague

#10

38-29

H17/04

DBL

QSTA Utd

42-47

-5

A21/04

DBL

Almere

#11

65-24

+41

H24/04

DBL Cup

Leiden

46-41

H28/04

DBL Cup

Feyenoord

37-39

-2

H30/04

DBL Cup

QSTA Utd

49-43

A02/05

DBL Cup

73.8Avg total

41.0Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	34.8	74.1	+4.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	31.6	71.8	+8.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	38.5	76.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	32.8	73.8	+8.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	38.8	86.6	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.8	37.8	72.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.3	31.9	72.2	+8.3	67%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

38-36

A17/03

DBL

Donar Groningen

55-44

+11

H20/03

DBL

Den Bosch

40-50

-10

A27/03

DBL

Zwolle

45-48

-3

H31/03

DBL

Feyenoord

45-49

-4

A03/04

DBL

Den Helder

44-46

-2

H07/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

58-33

+25

A10/04

DBL

Den Bosch

43-47

-4

H17/04

DBL

Zwolle

40-32

A22/04

DBL

BAL Weert

41-46

-5

A28/04

DBL Cup

88.0Avg total

44.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.0	84.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	40.8	85.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	39.3	82.9	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.1	88.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.8	86.0	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.5	38.8	83.2	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	50.3	37.3	87.7	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.2	40.3	83.5	+2.9	50%	-

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	20.2	38.9	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	18.3	42.9	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.8	39.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	19.7	43.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.6	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.7	39.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	26.0	43.6	-8.4	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.3	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.6	42.1	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	24.5	44.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.5	79.7	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	39.2	79.4	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.9	78.7	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.2	46.2	82.5	-10.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.8	37.2	80.0	+5.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	40.3	84.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	37.9	83.5	+7.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	42.4	84.8	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	41.7	86.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	44.2	83.5	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	46.3	39.3	85.7	+7.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	39.5	83.8	+4.7	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BAL Weert wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/21	BAL Weert v Leiden	90-87
20/01/21	Leiden v BAL Weert	96-69
11/01/20	BAL Weert v Leiden	84-77
19/10/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	93-70
02/04/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	103-84
27/01/19	BAL Weert v Leiden	55-97
24/11/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	100-73
14/10/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	65-82
03/04/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	46-75
03/02/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	74-70

BAL Weertlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/21	A	QSTA Utd	98-88
30/04/21	H	Feyenoord	84-79
28/04/21	H	Leiden	90-87
24/04/21	H	Almere	114-51
21/04/21	A	QSTA Utd	79-86
17/04/21	H	Hague	75-49
10/04/21	A	LWD Basket	72-57
07/04/21	A	Amsterdam	64-59 OT
03/04/21	H	Almere	96-58
01/04/21	H	QSTA Utd	80-82

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/21	A	BAL Weert	87-90
22/04/21	A	Zwolle	79-58
17/04/21	H	Den Bosch	78-86
10/04/21	A	Donar Groningen	96-72
07/04/21	H	Den Helder	90-81
03/04/21	A	Feyenoord	96-92
31/03/21	H	Zwolle	96-93
27/03/21	A	Den Bosch	90-106
20/03/21	H	Donar Groningen	96-91
17/03/21	A	Den Helder	89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert

DBL 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	57%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	WLWWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	60%	55%
Points / game	80.1	82.3	78.1
Allowed / game	75.5	72.2	78.5
Point differential	+4.6	+10.1	-0.5
Avg total	155.6	154.5	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	60%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	10%	9%

Leiden

DBL 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	81%
Home	WWWWL	82%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	81%	82%	80%
Points / game	91.2	91.7	90.7
Allowed / game	79.7	78.4	81.2
Point differential	+11.5	+13.4	+9.5
Avg total	171.0	170.1	171.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	45%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	21	17	4	81%	91.2	79.7	+11.5
2	QSTA Utd	22	17	5	77%	84.0	75.1	+8.9
3	Donar Groningen	24	17	7	71%	86.8	73.9	+12.9
4	Den Bosch	23	16	7	70%	88.4	78.6	+9.9
5	Zwolle	22	14	8	64%	83.5	76.1	+7.3
6	BAL Weert	21	12	9	57%	80.1	75.5	+4.6
7	Feyenoord	23	11	12	48%	82.1	76.4	+5.7
8	Den Helder	22	9	13	41%	81.0	86.9	-5.8
9	Amsterdam	22	6	16	27%	71.6	80.7	-9.1
10	Hague	22	6	16	27%	65.4	78.6	-13.3
11	LWD Basket	22	5	17	23%	66.7	76.9	-10.2
12	Almere	22	3	19	14%	71.2	94.7	-23.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BAL Weert	23	17	17	20	77
Leiden	26	22	21	17	86

← all games of the day

BAL Weert vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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