BAL Weert vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 55-97

6-21 11-25 21-31 17-20

Position#10

Record3-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.1

Allowed / game84.3

BAL Weert

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record16-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game73.2

DBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · BAL Weert v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL Weert

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

49-80

-31

H09/12

DBL

Zwolle

69-84

-15

A16/12

DBL

Punch

#12

81-49

+32

A20/12

NBB Cup

Dordrecht

74-82

-8

H23/12

DBL

Rotterdam

70-68 OT

A03/01

DBL

Den Helder

64-78

-14

H06/01

DBL

Den Bosch

39-80

-41

A10/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

67-101

101

-34

A12/01

DBL

Zwolle

59-103

103

-44

H17/01

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

60-80

-20

A19/01

DBL

7-27

7-11

17-24

18-18

18-27

27-23

14-20

10-14

16-21

27-19

23-5

15-4

17-30

22-23

23-15

12-14

14-19

13-9

12-17

20-14

9-17

19-19

26-15

10-27

8-21

6-20

10-20

15-19

13-24

14-24

27-27

13-26

12-29

13-31

15-22

19-21

12-22

22-13

13-27

13-18

143.7Avg total

63.2Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	66.1	84.3	150.4	-18.2	15%
Season at home (10)	69.9	84.7	154.6	-14.8	20%
Season away (10)	62.3	83.9	146.2	-21.6	10%
Last 10 (10)	63.2	80.5	143.7	-17.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	57.8	88.4	146.2	-30.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	66.2	84.8	151.0	-18.6	14%
vs Similar (1)	80.0	87.0	167.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

72-67

H22/12

DBL

Rotterdam

91-80

+11

A31/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

83-77

H03/01

DBL

Zwolle

81-71

+10

A06/01

DBL

Kataja

#21

87-72

+15

H09/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

89-56

+33

H12/01

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

89-87

A13/01

NBB Cup

LWD Basket

96-75

+21

H16/01

DBL

Dordrecht

79-73

A20/01

DBL

Bakken Bears

89-85

H23/01

FIBA Europe Cup

20-17

21-22

18-12

13-16

27-30

22-21

15-10

27-19

24-20

23-26

18-17

18-14

23-12

20-12

14-25

24-22

18-13

20-16

19-16

30-27

16-12

28-19

24-9

21-16

11-19

18-25

25-30

35-13

31-18

15-16

24-18

26-23

18-22

20-21

16-12

25-18

27-17

22-22

30-20

10-26

159.9Avg total

85.6Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.8	73.2	160.9	+14.6	94%
Season at home (9)	89.1	73.0	162.1	+16.1	89%
Season away (8)	86.2	73.4	159.6	+12.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	74.3	159.9	+11.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	75.2	163.6	+13.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.1	86.9	162.0	-11.7	43%
vs Similar (8)	82.8	75.6	158.4	+7.1	88%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	90.1	71.6	161.6	+18.5	100%

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BAL WeertLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.8	21.6	36.4	-6.8	13%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.4	21.5	35.9	-7.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	21.7	37.0	-6.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.6	23.7	36.3	-11.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	10.8	22.6	33.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	14.8	21.6	36.4	-6.8	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	17.5	39.8	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.7	16.1	35.9	+3.6	71%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	17.8	39.1	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.6	19.4	41.9	+3.2	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	20.4	37.1	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	20.5	36.7	-4.2	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.4	36.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.9	40.8	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.6	19.6	36.1	-3.0	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	19.1	40.8	+2.5	57%	-

BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

14-38

-24

H09/12

DBL

Zwolle

45-50

-5

A16/12

DBL

Punch

#12

43-40

A20/12

NBB Cup

Dordrecht

39-53

-14

H23/12

DBL

Rotterdam

27-28

-1

A03/01

DBL

Den Helder

28-36

-8

H06/01

DBL

Den Bosch

14-41

-27

A10/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

27-48

-21

A12/01

DBL

Zwolle

25-60

-35

H17/01

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

34-35

-1

A19/01

DBL

72.5Avg total

29.6Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.5	42.0	73.5	-10.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	41.9	72.6	-11.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	42.1	74.4	-9.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	42.9	72.5	-13.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	44.0	69.6	-18.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	31.0	42.0	73.0	-11.0	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	34.0	43.0	77.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

41-39

H22/12

DBL

Rotterdam

49-51

-2

A31/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

47-46

H03/01

DBL

Zwolle

43-24

+19

A06/01

DBL

Kataja

#21

38-29

H09/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

44-31

+13

H12/01

NBB Cup

Amsterdam

29-44

-15

A13/01

NBB Cup

LWD Basket

46-34

+12

H16/01

DBL

Dordrecht

38-43

-5

A20/01

DBL

Bakken Bears

49-39

+10

H23/01

FIBA Europe Cup

80.4Avg total

42.4Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	37.2	79.1	+4.8	72%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	37.4	80.5	+5.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.6	36.8	77.5	+3.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.0	80.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.3	35.7	72.0	+0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	36.1	79.1	+6.9	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.2	38.5	82.7	+5.7	64%	-

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.7	39.7	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	24.0	41.9	-6.1	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	15.7	38.1	+6.7	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	22.6	40.3	-4.9	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.1	18.7	33.7	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	17.5	32.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	22.2	36.2	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.3	11%	-
vs Similar (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	25.0	43.6	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.4	17.4	40.8	+6.1	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	41.4	76.7	-6.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	42.9	80.9	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.5	39.9	72.4	-7.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	36.7	69.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	44.4	76.6	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	34.8	42.4	77.2	-7.6	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	46.0	44.0	90.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	38.7	80.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	37.6	80.5	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.6	40.1	80.7	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	36.3	79.5	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	37.0	84.2	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.4	49.0	85.4	-12.6	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.8	39.5	79.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.9	33.1	78.9	+12.8	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BAL Weert wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	100-73
14/10/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	65-82
03/04/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	46-75
03/02/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	74-70
16/12/17	BAL Weert v Leiden	73-76
14/10/17	Leiden v BAL Weert	101-78

BAL Weertlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/19	A	Amsterdam	60-80
17/01/19	H	Zwolle	59-103
12/01/19	A	Donar Groningen	67-101
10/01/19	A	Den Bosch	39-80
06/01/19	H	Den Helder	64-78
03/01/19	A	Rotterdam	70-68 OT
23/12/18	H	Dordrecht	74-82
20/12/18	A	Punch	81-49
16/12/18	A	Zwolle	69-84
09/12/18	H	Den Bosch	49-80

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/19	H	Bakken Bears	89-85
20/01/19	A	Dordrecht	79-73
16/01/19	H	LWD Basket	96-75
13/01/19	A	Amsterdam	89-87
12/01/19	H	Amsterdam	89-56
09/01/19	H	Kataja	87-72
06/01/19	A	Zwolle	81-71
03/01/19	H	Donar Groningen	83-77
31/12/18	A	Rotterdam	91-80
22/12/18	H	Den Bosch	72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	15%
Home	WWLLL	20%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	15%	20%	10%
Points / game	66.1	69.9	62.3
Allowed / game	84.3	84.7	83.9
Point differential	-18.2	-14.8	-21.6
Avg total	150.4	154.6	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Leiden

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	94%	89%	100%
Points / game	87.8	89.1	86.2
Allowed / game	73.2	73.0	73.4
Point differential	+14.6	+16.1	+12.9
Avg total	160.9	162.1	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	67%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	17	16	1	94%	87.8	73.2	+14.6
2	Zwolle	20	17	3	85%	84.2	66.3	+17.9
3	Den Bosch	19	15	4	79%	82.4	65.9	+16.4
4	Donar Groningen	19	14	5	74%	85.8	70.8	+14.9
5	Dordrecht	17	9	8	53%	70.2	71.2	-1.0
6	Den Helder	20	7	13	35%	72.5	81.5	-8.9
7	LWD Basket	21	6	15	29%	70.7	82.1	-11.4
8	Amsterdam	20	5	15	25%	72.6	84.0	-11.4
9	Rotterdam	19	4	15	21%	70.3	79.5	-9.2
10	BAL Weert	20	3	17	15%	66.1	84.3	-18.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BAL Weert	6	11	21	17	55
Leiden	21	25	31	20	97

← all games of the day

BAL Weert vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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