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BAL Weert vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-83
12-25 17-23 20-18 15-17
Position#18
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BAL Weert
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 1· Sporthal Boshoven
Other2025-26
Meetings · BAL Weert v Leiden
27 Sep 2025
BAL 64
LEI83
16 Nov 2024
BAL 65
LEI88
04 Nov 2023
BAL 71
LEI88
04 Feb 2023
BAL 58
LEI72
06 Nov 2021
BAL 59
LEI85
08 May 2021
BAL 77
LEI86
28 Apr 2021
BAL 90
LEI87
24 Oct 2020
BAL v LEI
upcoming
02 May 2020
BAL v LEI
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
BAL 84
LEI77
27 Jan 2019
BAL 55
LEI97
14 Oct 2018
BAL 65
LEI82
03 Apr 2018
BAL 46
LEI75
16 Dec 2017
BAL 73
LEI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
68-65
68
65
+3
58avg 60
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 60
A05/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
67-61
67
61
+6
61avg 60
H12/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 60
H15/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
72avg 60
A18/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
49avg 60
H21/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 60
A27/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
49avg 60
H30/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
78-100
78
100
-22
62avg 60
A03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
58-92
58
92
-34
45avg 60
H10/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
20-20
12-15
15-20
24-21
21-21
19-11
17-32
17-15
14-20
17-13
19-13
16-23
20-22
12-29
23-18
15-28
16-19
17-29
25-12
33-21
18-22
12-29
15-18
16-24
20-15
11-23
21-18
17-30
13-30
26-22
8-15
16-32
25-32
23-23
14-13
19-23
12-22
12-28
15-19
155.6Avg total
70.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.685.0155.6-14.420%
Last 5 (5)69.291.8161.0-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.984.2152.1-16.311%
vs Similar (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#6
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
H13/05
DBL
Zwolle
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 69
A15/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 69
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
87avg 69
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 69
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 69
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 69
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 69
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 69
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 69
A05/06
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-16
21-15
29-17
25-20
19-24
14-17
25-20
30-20
22-22
15-22
23-16
27-17
23-22
21-18
18-10
17-28
15-27
32-20
17-14
21-26
17-19
23-22
21-17
23-15
25-26
22-23
20-21
26-23
16-24
13-19
17-19
18-32
18-21
11-20
16-17
22-21
12-25
22-19
11-21
163.8Avg total
82.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.081.8163.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.886.0160.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.282.6154.9-10.429%
vs Similar (5)77.077.8154.8-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.277.9163.1+7.373%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
BAL WeertLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H12/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A18/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H30/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H10/05
BNXT League
82.3Avg total
37.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.241.776.9-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.941.375.2-7.418%-
Last 30 away (13)36.942.279.2-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.345.082.3-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.850.288.0-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.741.876.6-7.126%-
vs Similar (2)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/05
DBL
Zwolle
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/06
DBL
88.0Avg total
42.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.882.2-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.242.784.9-0.458%-
Last 30 away (18)39.341.280.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.188.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.642.979.5-6.443%-
vs Similar (5)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.840.785.5+4.164%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.1
51.3%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.9
30.3%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
72.4%11.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.5
49.1%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.3
33.5%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.7%
72.4%10.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BAL Weert
LLLLLLLWLW
Leiden
LLLWLLWWWW
#18
League position
#10
-19.6
Net rating
-9.2
96.1
Offensive rating
101.8
115.7
Defensive rating
111.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
33.5%
56.9%
Assist %
57.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 101.8Defence115.7 · 111.0Shooting49.1% · 49.5%3-point %30.3% · 33.5%Ball care19.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ BAL Weert   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BAL Weert wins
10
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Leiden v BAL Weert85-81
16/11/24BAL Weert v Leiden65-88
27/01/24Leiden v BAL Weert72-64
04/11/23BAL Weert v Leiden71-88
04/02/23BAL Weert v Leiden58-72
19/11/22Leiden v BAL Weert99-43
05/01/22Leiden v BAL Weert94-68
06/11/21BAL Weert v Leiden59-85
11/05/21Leiden v BAL Weert97-71
08/05/21BAL Weert v Leiden77-86
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HLeuven Bears58-92
03/05/25AOkapi Aalst78-100
30/04/25HOostende64-97
27/04/25AFeyenoord68-80
21/04/25HLimburg78-90
18/04/25AAntwerp Giants73-88
15/04/25HDonar Groningen71-92
12/04/25HCircus Brussels67-61
05/04/25ALeiden81-85
03/04/25ADen Helder68-65
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/25ADen Bosch67-86
03/06/25HDen Bosch63-90
01/06/25ADen Bosch72-85
28/05/25ALWD Basket90-85
26/05/25HLWD Basket82-84
24/05/25ALWD Basket81-89
22/05/25HLWD Basket89-67
20/05/25ALWD Basket90-80
15/05/25AZwolle83-81
13/05/25HZwolle103-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk110100%71.069.0+2.0
2 Leuven Bears1010%69.071.0-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BAL Weert1217201564
Leiden2523181783
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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