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Balikesir vs OGM Ormanspor Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 81-80
Projected total 160.8
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.5
Balikesir
Turkey
Vs
52%
48%
■ BALI 52%■ OOR 48%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
OGM Ormanspor
Turkey
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.4
TurkeyTBLRound 12· Kurtdereli Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Balikesir v OGM Ormanspor
22 Nov 2026
BALI v OOR
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
BALI83
OOR100
15 Feb 2025
BALI100
OOR71
26 Nov 2021
BALI65
OOR69
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Balikesir host OGM Ormanspor in the TBL. Pythia makes Balikesir the favourite at 52% and projects 81-80, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Balikesir are 3-8 this season (75.8 scored, 79.5 allowed a game), form LLLWL; OGM Ormanspor are 5-5 this season (82.8 scored, 80.4 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balikesir win
51.7%fair 1.93
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
OGM Ormanspor win
48.3%fair 2.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 68
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 68
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 68
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
52avg 68
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
94-92
94
92
+2
84avg 68
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
52-68
52
68
-16
37avg 68
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
68avg 68
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
62avg 68
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
A14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-17
15-10
19-18
13-23
23-18
8-16
25-22
15-29
25-13
25-19
26-24
22-16
11-25
17-20
17-17
29-20
15-23
26-25
24-24
16-20
11-12
10-16
15-20
15-7
16-22
16-29
26-15
22-14
17-16
10-16
18-21
28-19
31-23
23-14
16-20
20-18
19-22
15-24
23-29
156.9Avg total
76.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.879.5155.3-3.627%
Season at home (5)81.881.2163.0+0.640%
Season away (6)70.878.0148.8-7.217%
Last 10 (10)76.580.4156.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.884.1160.8-7.325%
vs Similar (12)80.280.5160.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)49.544.594.0+5.050%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrmanspor
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 82
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 82
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
80avg 82
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 82
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
84avg 82
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 82
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 82
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
88avg 82
H31/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A07/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
79-59
79
59
+20
no box
H14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
26-13
17-22
16-23
14-14
19-22
17-27
23-22
17-27
14-20
28-22
25-22
21-17
24-22
27-26
21-2
16-23
37-26
11-20
27-24
20-20
21-24
19-22
29-19
29-16
17-19
11-19
20-16
16-26
22-14
22-22
21-19
20-22
19-14
20-17
16-28
23-19
20-17
14-10
22-13
163.2Avg total
82.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.880.4163.2+2.450%
Season at home (5)85.277.2162.4+8.080%
Season away (5)80.483.6164.0-3.220%
Last 10 (10)82.880.4163.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.477.0159.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.483.2157.6-8.820%
vs Similar (9)87.092.3179.3-5.322%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.471.6154.0+10.888%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
60.9%
Under 156
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
48.7%
Under 161
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
36.7%
Under 166
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Balikesir total 78
Over 78
60.2%
Under 78
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balikesir total 82
Over 82
44.3%
Under 82
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balikesir total 86
Over 86
29.4%
Under 86
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 74.5
Over 74.5
70.6%
Under 74.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 78.5
Over 78.5
56.1%
Under 78.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 82.5
Over 82.5
40.8%
Under 82.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Balikesir -3
BALI -3
42.6%
OOR +3
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
BALI
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Balikesir 0
BALI 0
51.7%
OOR 0
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
BALI
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Balikesir +3
BALI +3
60.8%
OOR -3
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
BALI
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
BalikesirOGM Ormanspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/11
TBL
75.8Avg total
37.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.540.379.8-0.838%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.781.6+0.340%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.977.8-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.975.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.240.980.2-1.731%-
vs Similar (12)40.540.380.8+0.242%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H14/11
TBL
81.1Avg total
41.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.640.282.8+2.448%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.238.680.9+3.643%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.784.6+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.081.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.639.477.0-1.840%-
vs Similar (9)42.845.087.8-2.222%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.137.681.7+6.567%-
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.2
43.8%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
71.2%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.823.0
57.8%
53.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
71.2%18.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balikesir
LWLLLWLWLL
OGM Ormanspor
WLWWWLWLLL
#14
League position
#8
-6.9
Net rating
-7.5
85.8
Offensive rating
86.6
92.7
Defensive rating
94.2
46.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.5%
3-point %
29.2%
61.2%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 86.6Defence92.7 · 94.2Shooting46.3% · 52.1%3-point %33.5% · 29.2%Ball care14.7% · 15.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Balikesir   ■ OGM Ormanspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Balikesir wins
3
OGM Ormanspor wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Balikesir v OGM Ormanspor83-100
27/12/25OGM Ormanspor v Balikesir84-63
15/02/25Balikesir v OGM Ormanspor100-71
25/10/24OGM Ormanspor v Balikesir72-86
26/03/22OGM Ormanspor v Balikesir77-88
26/11/21Balikesir v OGM Ormanspor65-69
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABuyukcekmece77-93
08/11/26HMersin SK98-76
31/10/26AHarem Spor73-77 OT
25/10/26HCO Basket79-89 OT
18/10/26AFinal Spor52-68
11/10/26HKecioren Baglum94-92
07/10/26AGoztepe67-78
03/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler91-85
27/09/26HKahramanmaras69-79
20/09/26ADarussafaka65-67
OGM Ormansporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HAnkara Kolejliler79-59
07/11/26AKahramanmaras75-81
31/10/26HDarussafaka92-90 OT
23/10/26AFenerbahce 277-70
17/10/26HGaziantep89-85
10/10/26AiLab Basketbol91-93
07/10/26HKonya BBSK93-67
03/10/26AMKE Ankaragucu84-91
19/09/26HGoztepe73-85
13/09/26ABuyukcekmece75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balikesir
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game75.881.870.8
Allowed / game79.581.278.0
Point differential-3.6+0.6-7.2
Avg total155.3163.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
OGM Ormanspor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game82.885.280.4
Allowed / game80.477.283.6
Point differential+2.4+8.0-3.2
Avg total163.2162.4164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harem Spor108280%82.370.1+12.2
2 Goztepe108280%84.975.9+9.0
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Mersin SK108280%89.081.5+7.5
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Buyukcekmece106460%81.077.5+3.5
7 Final Spor106460%80.978.7+2.2
8 OGM Ormanspor105550%82.880.4+2.4
9 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
10 Fenerbahce 294544%73.978.7-4.8
11 Darussafaka104640%77.883.9-6.1
12 CO Basket114736%72.682.8-10.2
13 MKE Ankaragucu103730%80.190.2-10.1
14 Balikesir113827%75.879.5-3.6
15 Ankara Kolejliler113827%73.580.3-6.8
16 Konya BBSK92722%80.284.9-4.7
17 Kecioren Baglum112918%87.488.6-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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