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Balkan vs Cherno More Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game66.3
BulgariaNBLRound 22· Arena Botevgrad
Other2026-27
Meetings · Balkan v Cherno More
20 Mar 2027
BAL v CHER
upcoming
11 May 2026
BAL80
CHER78
09 May 2026
BAL91
CHER89
06 Apr 2026
BAL80
CHER79
16 Nov 2025
BAL85
CHER82
10 May 2025
BAL94
CHER86
08 May 2025
BAL72
CHER82
06 Mar 2025
BAL77
CHER73
22 Dec 2024
BAL95
CHER78
13 Apr 2024
BAL80
CHER68
15 Mar 2024
BAL88
CHER69
21 Oct 2023
BAL86
CHER80
03 Dec 2022
BAL98
CHER87
06 Nov 2021
BAL88
CHER69
19 Jan 2021
BAL113
CHER41
07 Feb 2020
BAL101
CHER53
19 Oct 2019
BAL101
CHER66
16 Nov 2018
BAL102
CHER62
30 Dec 2017
BAL104
CHER83
25 Mar 2017
BAL94
CHER71
12 Nov 2016
BAL85
CHER73
02 Apr 2016
BAL85
CHER62
18 Feb 2016
BAL105
CHER80
16 Jan 2016
BAL106
CHER73
04 Apr 2015
BAL81
CHER69
19 Feb 2015
BAL75
CHER81
16 Nov 2014
BAL96
CHER78
23 May 2014
BAL0
CHER20
09 Nov 2013
BAL84
CHER89
29 Apr 2013
BAL82
CHER70
20 Mar 2013
BAL76
CHER72
03 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER73
13 Apr 2012
BAL75
CHER61
29 Dec 2011
BAL71
CHER78
19 Mar 2011
BAL75
CHER72
28 Nov 2010
BAL87
CHER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H05/06
NBL
Ulm
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A30/09
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
60-101
60
101
-41
H07/10
Eurocup
Botev 2012
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#23
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#13
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#10
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-21
22-19
21-22
17-31
22-23
20-21
25-23
16-24
5-29
20-29
19-19
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
157.2Avg total
78.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.571.8164.2+20.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)87.569.5157.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.978.3157.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.272.2152.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.683.2150.8-15.60%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (24)89.378.2167.5+11.079%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#14
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-16
18-25
16-21
22-32
29-25
20-18
23-16
16-26
20-21
26-15
27-29
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
169.4Avg total
86.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.766.3158.0+25.3100%
Season at home (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Season away (2)94.069.0163.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.283.2169.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)93.681.4175.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)84.487.6172.0-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.079.3173.3+14.680%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
BalkanCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/06
NBL
Ulm
#9
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A30/09
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
21-53
21
53
-32
H07/10
Eurocup
Botev 2012
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#23
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#13
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
77.4Avg total
38.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.282.4+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.039.580.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.184.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.977.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.275.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.841.672.4-10.820%-
vs Similar (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (24)44.939.884.6+5.171%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.384.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.239.284.4+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)42.641.183.6+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)40.244.284.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.039.085.0+6.980%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
30.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
70.7%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.9
55.6%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
30.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.415.4
65.8%
70.7%15.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WLWLWLWLLW
Cherno More
WWWLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#1
+3.6
Net rating
+5.5
91.7
Offensive rating
98.9
88.1
Defensive rating
93.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.4%
3-point %
30.3%
60.8%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 98.9Defence88.1 · 93.4Shooting50.8% · 51.2%3-point %30.4% · 30.3%Ball care17.7% · 12.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Balkan   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Balkan wins
4
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Cherno More v Balkan59-77
11/05/26Balkan v Cherno More80-78
09/05/26Balkan v Cherno More91-89
06/04/26Balkan v Cherno More80-79
26/01/26Cherno More v Balkan93-66
16/11/25Balkan v Cherno More85-82
15/05/25Cherno More v Balkan80-78
13/05/25Cherno More v Balkan86-78
10/05/25Balkan v Cherno More94-86
08/05/25Balkan v Cherno More72-82
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66
07/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.60-101
30/09/26AUlm84-98
05/06/26HLok. Plovdiv81-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
09/05/26ABalkan89-91
04/05/26HSpartak Pleven94-91
01/05/26ASpartak Pleven74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.597.587.5
Allowed / game71.874.069.5
Point differential+20.8+23.5+18.0
Avg total164.2171.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.787.094.0
Allowed / game66.361.069.0
Point differential+25.3+26.0+25.0
Avg total158.0148.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
7 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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