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Balkan vs Cherno More Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 77-73
19-21 22-17 17-21 19-14
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.6
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Cherno More
Bulgaria
Position#3
Record9-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.6
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Cherno More
20 Mar 2027
BAL v CHER
upcoming
11 May 2026
BAL80
CHER78
09 May 2026
BAL91
CHER89
06 Apr 2026
BAL80
CHER79
16 Nov 2025
BAL85
CHER82
10 May 2025
BAL94
CHER86
08 May 2025
BAL72
CHER82
06 Mar 2025
BAL77
CHER73
22 Dec 2024
BAL95
CHER78
13 Apr 2024
BAL80
CHER68
15 Mar 2024
BAL88
CHER69
21 Oct 2023
BAL86
CHER80
03 Dec 2022
BAL98
CHER87
06 Nov 2021
BAL88
CHER69
19 Jan 2021
BAL113
CHER41
07 Feb 2020
BAL101
CHER53
19 Oct 2019
BAL101
CHER66
16 Nov 2018
BAL102
CHER62
30 Dec 2017
BAL104
CHER83
25 Mar 2017
BAL94
CHER71
12 Nov 2016
BAL85
CHER73
02 Apr 2016
BAL85
CHER62
18 Feb 2016
BAL105
CHER80
16 Jan 2016
BAL106
CHER73
04 Apr 2015
BAL81
CHER69
19 Feb 2015
BAL75
CHER81
16 Nov 2014
BAL96
CHER78
23 May 2014
BAL0
CHER20
09 Nov 2013
BAL84
CHER89
29 Apr 2013
BAL82
CHER70
20 Mar 2013
BAL76
CHER72
03 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER73
13 Apr 2012
BAL75
CHER61
29 Dec 2011
BAL71
CHER78
19 Mar 2011
BAL75
CHER72
28 Nov 2010
BAL87
CHER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
74avg 73
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
103avg 73
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
95-78
95
78
+17
77avg 73
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 73
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
103-76
103
76
+27
101avg 73
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 73
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 73
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
87avg 73
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 73
H10/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 73
H02/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-17
20-25
22-9
23-30
25-31
18-20
30-15
21-18
29-23
24-17
21-20
27-25
24-17
31-23
19-26
25-22
29-18
28-21
21-15
27-29
20-26
19-19
24-26
22-27
16-24
20-15
14-20
30-15
18-28
20-17
19-9
24-17
17-21
29-12
21-22
23-25
13-20
22-7
19-22
173.2Avg total
90.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.180.6168.7+7.576%
Season at home (9)87.078.0165.0+9.067%
Season away (8)89.483.5172.9+5.988%
Last 10 (10)90.982.3173.2+8.680%
Last 5 (5)83.480.2163.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.684.5158.1-10.920%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.882.0167.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (11)90.678.7169.4+11.991%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
97-60
97
60
+37
99avg 74
H30/11
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
95avg 74
A09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
64avg 74
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
85avg 74
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
118-108 OT
118
108
+10
120avg 74
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 74
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 74
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 74
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 74
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 74
H10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
25-11
17-26
32-8
29-17
25-26
23-12
18-21
18-21
23-29
17-24
20-21
17-31
17-13
28-19
29-27
28-25
24-26
27-22
23-29
15-13
21-17
30-25
16-22
14-23
19-23
12-26
25-19
25-26
34-19
25-21
23-16
24-22
20-23
21-17
15-10
20-25
25-18
26-28
31-17
175.9Avg total
92.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.983.6169.5+2.256%
Season at home (8)91.481.1172.5+10.275%
Season away (8)80.486.1166.5-5.838%
Last 10 (10)92.083.9175.9+8.180%
Last 5 (5)88.282.0170.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.693.5171.1-15.920%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.889.2167.0-11.50%
vs Weaker (10)91.781.5173.2+10.280%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
BalkanCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/03
NBL
90.7Avg total
45.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.781.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.980.3+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.841.683.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.390.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.488.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.339.777.0-2.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.043.286.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)45.541.286.6+4.373%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H30/11
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/02
NBL
86.9Avg total
44.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.782.8-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.041.181.1-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.246.184.3-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.386.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.344.981.2-8.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.245.883.0-8.50%-
vs Weaker (10)44.641.786.3+2.960%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.8
55.9%
53.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
71.3%16.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.3
57.4%
53.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.3
33.9%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.217.7
73.1%
71.3%17.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWWLLWWWWW
Cherno More
WWWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
+11.3
Net rating
+10.7
118.0
Offensive rating
117.8
106.7
Defensive rating
107.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
33.9%
62.6%
Assist %
62.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 117.8Defence106.7 · 107.1Shooting54.4% · 54.4%3-point %34.8% · 33.9%Ball care14.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 35.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Balkan   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Balkan wins
1
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Balkan v Cherno More95-78
13/10/24Cherno More v Balkan75-80
13/04/24Balkan v Cherno More80-68
15/03/24Balkan v Cherno More88-69
09/03/24Cherno More v Balkan79-95
29/12/23Cherno More v Balkan89-81
21/10/23Balkan v Cherno More86-80
14/04/23Cherno More v Balkan76-105
04/02/23Cherno More v Balkan85-88
03/12/22Balkan v Cherno More98-87
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HBeroe77-74
10/02/25HLevski91-72
02/02/25AMinyor87-69
25/01/25HSpartak Pleven72-86
20/01/25ARilski Sportist90-100
11/01/25HShumen103-76
06/01/25AAcademic Plovdiv101-91
22/12/24HCherno More95-78
15/12/24ABeroe110-106 OT
07/12/24ALevski83-71
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25HBeroe102-88
01/02/25ALevski80-72
25/01/25HMinyor107-82
19/01/25ASpartak Pleven70-91
13/01/25HRilski Sportist82-77
04/01/25AShumen118-108 OT
30/12/24HAcademic Plovdiv91-90
22/12/24ABalkan78-95
09/12/24ABeroe95-76
30/11/24HLevski97-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW76%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%67%88%
Points / game88.187.089.4
Allowed / game80.678.083.5
Point differential+7.5+9.0+5.9
Avg total168.7165.0172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Cherno More
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game85.991.480.4
Allowed / game83.681.186.1
Point differential+2.2+10.2-5.8
Avg total169.5172.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1816289%92.974.8+18.1
2 Balkan1713476%88.180.6+7.5
3 Cherno More169756%85.983.6+2.2
4 Spartak Pleven179853%86.883.9+2.8
5 Beroe189950%86.488.5-2.1
6 Academic Plovdiv189950%82.686.6-3.9
7 Minyor1881044%84.288.6-4.4
8 Levski1841422%76.484.3-7.9
9 Shumen1821611%82.794.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1922171977
Cherno More2117211473
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