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Balkan vs Cherno More Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 94-86
25-18 24-20 20-24 25-24
Position#2
Record20-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.8
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#3
Record18-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.9
BulgariaNBLNBL - Semi-finals· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Cherno More
20 Mar 2027
BAL v CHER
upcoming
11 May 2026
BAL80
CHER78
09 May 2026
BAL91
CHER89
06 Apr 2026
BAL80
CHER79
16 Nov 2025
BAL85
CHER82
10 May 2025
BAL94
CHER86
08 May 2025
BAL72
CHER82
06 Mar 2025
BAL77
CHER73
22 Dec 2024
BAL95
CHER78
13 Apr 2024
BAL80
CHER68
15 Mar 2024
BAL88
CHER69
21 Oct 2023
BAL86
CHER80
03 Dec 2022
BAL98
CHER87
06 Nov 2021
BAL88
CHER69
19 Jan 2021
BAL113
CHER41
07 Feb 2020
BAL101
CHER53
19 Oct 2019
BAL101
CHER66
16 Nov 2018
BAL102
CHER62
30 Dec 2017
BAL104
CHER83
25 Mar 2017
BAL94
CHER71
12 Nov 2016
BAL85
CHER73
02 Apr 2016
BAL85
CHER62
18 Feb 2016
BAL105
CHER80
16 Jan 2016
BAL106
CHER73
04 Apr 2015
BAL81
CHER69
19 Feb 2015
BAL75
CHER81
16 Nov 2014
BAL96
CHER78
23 May 2014
BAL0
CHER20
09 Nov 2013
BAL84
CHER89
29 Apr 2013
BAL82
CHER70
20 Mar 2013
BAL76
CHER72
03 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER73
13 Apr 2012
BAL75
CHER61
29 Dec 2011
BAL71
CHER78
19 Mar 2011
BAL75
CHER72
28 Nov 2010
BAL87
CHER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
55avg 75
H22/03
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
102-75
102
75
+27
94avg 75
A29/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
60avg 75
A06/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
104-89
104
89
+15
96avg 75
H14/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
86avg 75
A21/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 75
A26/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
76avg 75
H30/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 75
A02/05
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
102-75
102
75
+27
98avg 75
H04/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 75
H08/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
12-22
15-21
20-17
25-24
25-14
24-24
28-13
24-26
17-26
13-26
21-25
23-12
22-25
22-22
37-30
–
–
–
–
19-25
29-24
22-21
26-21
22-28
20-16
13-22
32-19
18-38
17-13
22-12
29-25
24-20
28-19
26-21
24-15
25-30
12-18
17-21
18-13
157.3Avg total
81.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.278.8164.0+6.471%
Season at home (15)86.178.7164.8+7.367%
Season away (13)84.278.8163.0+5.377%
Last 10 (10)81.076.3157.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)88.684.2172.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.891.0167.8-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.383.7169.0+1.657%
vs Weaker (17)85.674.3159.9+11.388%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 81
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Shumen
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 81
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-85
75
85
-10
71avg 81
A31/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
94-80
94
80
+14
96avg 81
H07/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
99-80
99
80
+19
98avg 81
H12/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 81
A18/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 81
H26/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
89avg 81
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
91-86
91
86
+5
98avg 81
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 81
A08/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
23-19
20-22
20-18
19-12
21-20
17-19
26-18
22-22
16-20
14-28
23-15
26-16
26-15
20-23
22-26
23-16
28-19
19-20
29-25
20-25
22-17
14-12
24-19
21-22
25-18
30-22
20-19
25-22
16-20
23-25
23-20
24-21
25-10
23-24
19-31
30-25
18-12
21-17
13-18
169.2Avg total
88.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.681.9168.4+4.767%
Season at home (13)93.181.5174.6+11.585%
Season away (14)80.582.2162.7-1.750%
Last 10 (10)88.980.3169.2+8.690%
Last 5 (5)89.881.6171.4+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.783.7157.3-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.183.4164.5-2.238%
vs Weaker (18)91.180.0171.1+11.189%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
BalkanCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H22/03
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A29/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A06/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/04
NBL
Levski
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A02/05
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H08/05
NBL
86.2Avg total
42.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.842.885.6+0.052%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.782.7+1.460%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.088.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (9)42.343.986.2-1.633%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.444.283.6-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.344.987.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (16)43.941.585.4+2.462%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Shumen
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H07/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H12/04
NBL
Levski
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H26/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/05
NBL
82.9Avg total
45.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.882.3+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.382.6+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.282.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.637.382.9+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.483.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.038.071.0-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.041.683.6+0.438%-
vs Weaker (18)44.639.083.6+5.667%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.0
53.6%
53.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.9
29.6%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.418.2
77.8%
71.3%18.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.6
59.1%
53.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.516.1
68.5%
71.3%16.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWLWWWWLWL
Cherno More
WWWWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
+5.2
Net rating
+10.9
110.0
Offensive rating
111.7
104.8
Defensive rating
100.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.6%
3-point %
32.8%
64.5%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 111.7Defence104.8 · 100.8Shooting49.6% · 55.3%3-point %29.6% · 32.8%Ball care15.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Balkan   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
08/05/25Balkan v Cherno More72-82
16/03/25Cherno More v Balkan89-81
06/03/25Balkan v Cherno More77-73
22/12/24Balkan v Cherno More95-78
13/10/24Cherno More v Balkan75-80
13/04/24Balkan v Cherno More80-68
15/03/24Balkan v Cherno More88-69
09/03/24Cherno More v Balkan79-95
29/12/23Cherno More v Balkan89-81
21/10/23Balkan v Cherno More86-80
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25HCherno More72-82
04/05/25HMinyor102-75
02/05/25AMinyor86-88
30/04/25HMinyor87-85
26/04/25ALevski96-91
21/04/25AMinyor20-0
14/04/25HSpartak Pleven104-89
06/04/25ARilski Sportist75-103
29/03/25AShumen102-75
22/03/25HAcademic Plovdiv66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25ABalkan82-72
02/05/25ABeroe91-86
30/04/25HBeroe100-96 OT
26/04/25HBeroe96-81
18/04/25ALevski80-73
12/04/25HMinyor99-80
07/04/25HSpartak Pleven94-80
31/03/25ARilski Sportist75-85
25/03/25AShumen83-69
16/03/25HBalkan89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %71%67%77%
Points / game85.286.184.2
Allowed / game78.878.778.8
Point differential+6.4+7.3+5.3
Avg total164.0164.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cherno More
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%85%50%
Points / game86.693.180.5
Allowed / game81.981.582.2
Point differential+4.7+11.5-1.7
Avg total168.4174.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%15%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2724389%93.477.6+15.9
2 Balkan2820871%85.278.8+6.4
3 Cherno More2718967%86.681.9+4.7
4 Spartak Pleven28161257%88.684.0+4.7
5 Academic Plovdiv27141352%81.785.3-3.6
6 Beroe26121446%88.390.1-1.8
7 Minyor27101737%80.287.2-7.0
8 Levski2642215%76.685.5-8.9
9 Shumen242228%82.595.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2524202594
Cherno More1820242486
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