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Cherno More vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-81
26-22 23-19 20-22 20-18
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game74.0
BulgariaBulgarian CupBulgarian Cup - Final· Arena Samokov
Other2025
Meetings · Cherno More v Balkan
11 Dec 2026
CHER v BAL
upcoming
14 May 2026
CHER59
BAL77
26 Jan 2026
CHER93
BAL66
15 May 2025
CHER80
BAL78
13 May 2025
CHER86
BAL78
16 Mar 2025
CHER89
BAL81
13 Oct 2024
CHER75
BAL80
09 Mar 2024
CHER79
BAL95
29 Dec 2023
CHER89
BAL81
14 Apr 2023
CHER76
BAL105
04 Feb 2023
CHER85
BAL88
05 Apr 2022
CHER72
BAL84
02 Mar 2022
CHER79
BAL101
30 Mar 2021
CHER78
BAL99
11 Dec 2020
CHER72
BAL86
14 Mar 2020
CHER v BAL
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
CHER67
BAL88
14 Apr 2019
CHER76
BAL97
26 Jan 2019
CHER79
BAL99
24 Mar 2018
CHER76
BAL81
21 Oct 2017
CHER75
BAL82
13 Jan 2017
CHER58
BAL76
14 Nov 2015
CHER83
BAL80
24 Jan 2015
CHER75
BAL74
27 May 2014
CHER20
BAL0
30 Mar 2014
CHER105
BAL81
28 Feb 2014
CHER101
BAL93
10 Jan 2014
CHER80
BAL63
01 May 2013
CHER86
BAL91
12 Jan 2013
CHER67
BAL74
25 Feb 2012
CHER54
BAL66
12 Nov 2011
CHER73
BAL59
29 Apr 2011
CHER81
BAL66
15 Jan 2011
CHER77
BAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
118-108 OT
118
108
+10
120avg 74
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 74
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 74
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 74
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 74
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 74
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
71avg 74
A06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 74
H09/03
NBL
Beroe
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 74
H13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
84-66
84
66
+18
49avg 74
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
24-26
27-22
23-29
15-13
21-17
30-25
16-22
14-23
19-23
12-26
25-19
25-26
34-19
25-21
23-16
24-22
20-23
21-17
15-10
20-25
25-18
26-28
31-17
21-19
17-22
21-17
14-19
27-16
21-14
21-22
21-22
19-23
21-21
25-18
23-22
22-19
17-14
24-13
21-20
171.3Avg total
89.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)88.084.0172.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)84.066.0150.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.481.9171.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)87.477.8165.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.892.2168.9-15.417%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.886.8163.6-10.00%
vs Weaker (12)90.979.6170.5+11.383%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 74
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
103-76
103
76
+27
101avg 74
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 74
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 74
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
87avg 74
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 74
H10/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 74
H02/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 74
H06/03
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
72avg 74
H13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
82avg 74
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
24-17
31-23
19-26
25-22
29-18
28-21
21-15
27-29
20-26
19-19
24-26
22-27
16-24
20-15
14-20
30-15
18-28
20-17
19-9
24-17
17-21
29-12
21-22
23-25
13-20
22-7
19-22
19-21
22-17
17-21
19-14
20-26
25-15
22-12
16-12
20-24
22-16
23-25
29-18
166.4Avg total
87.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.574.0162.5+14.5100%
Season at home (2)88.574.0162.5+14.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.578.9166.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)84.473.4157.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.686.8159.3-14.28%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.080.2164.2+3.880%
vs Weaker (12)90.979.1170.0+11.892%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Cherno MoreBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/03
NBL
Beroe
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
84.2Avg total
43.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.281.4-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.579.4+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.644.583.1-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.884.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.843.177.8-8.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.444.882.2-7.40%-
vs Weaker (12)44.440.084.4+4.467%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/03
NBL
Levski
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.280.4+0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)43.042.185.1+0.954%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.940.477.3-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.642.284.8+0.460%-
vs Weaker (12)45.241.186.2+4.175%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.0
53.5%
51.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
32.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
68.9%15.9
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.6
57.3%
51.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
32.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.916.9
73.8%
68.9%16.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WWWLWWWLWW
Balkan
WWWWWWLLWW
#1
League position
#2
+7.4
Net rating
+12.5
110.9
Offensive rating
115.6
103.5
Defensive rating
103.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
30.6%
59.7%
Assist %
59.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 115.6Defence103.5 · 103.1Shooting51.6% · 53.0%3-point %32.6% · 30.6%Ball care15.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Cherno More   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cherno More wins
9
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Balkan v Cherno More77-73
22/12/24Balkan v Cherno More95-78
13/10/24Cherno More v Balkan75-80
13/04/24Balkan v Cherno More80-68
15/03/24Balkan v Cherno More88-69
09/03/24Cherno More v Balkan79-95
29/12/23Cherno More v Balkan89-81
21/10/23Balkan v Cherno More86-80
14/04/23Cherno More v Balkan76-105
04/02/23Cherno More v Balkan85-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ASpartak Pleven84-66
13/03/25HBeroe88-84
09/03/25HAcademic Plovdiv90-74
06/03/25ABalkan73-77
10/02/25HBeroe102-88
01/02/25ALevski80-72
25/01/25HMinyor107-82
19/01/25ASpartak Pleven70-91
13/01/25HRilski Sportist82-77
04/01/25AShumen118-108 OT
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HRilski Sportist94-83
13/03/25HLevski83-65
06/03/25HCherno More77-73
02/03/25HBeroe77-74
10/02/25HLevski91-72
02/02/25AMinyor87-69
25/01/25HSpartak Pleven72-86
20/01/25ARilski Sportist90-100
11/01/25HShumen103-76
06/01/25AAcademic Plovdiv101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
Bulgarian Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.088.084.0
Allowed / game75.084.066.0
Point differential+11.0+4.0+18.0
Avg total161.0172.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
Bulgarian Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+14.5+14.5-
Avg total162.5162.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan220100%88.574.0+14.5
2 Cherno More220100%86.075.0+11.0
3 Rilski Sportist21150%86.587.5-1.0
4 Spartak Pleven21150%77.080.0-3.0
5 Beroe1010%84.088.0-4.0
6 Academic Plovdiv1010%81.090.0-9.0
7 Minyor1010%76.088.0-12.0
8 Levski1010%65.083.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More2623202089
Balkan2219221881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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