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Ball State vs Akron Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 65-78
0-0 36-40 0-0 29-38
Position#288
Record8-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game70.0
Ball State
USA
vs
Akron 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record21-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ball State v Akron
20 Feb 2026
BALL65
AKRO78
25 Feb 2025
BALL82
AKRO87
09 Jan 2024
BALL76
AKRO80
06 Jan 2023
BALL70
AKRO63
01 Mar 2022
BALL60
AKRO79
19 Feb 2021
BALL79
AKRO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-43
0-0
43-44
0-0
44-31
0-0
32-40
0-0
33-20
0-0
35-47
0-0
29-22
0-0
29-31
0-0
27-39
0-0
28-34
0-0
27-40
0-0
25-37
0-0
36-27
0-0
37-41
0-0
27-30
0-0
26-33
0-0
31-40
0-0
37-35
0-0
15-32
0-0
42-37
134.0Avg total
63.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.070.0136.0-4.031%
Season at home (12)71.565.9137.4+5.650%
Season away (14)61.373.5134.8-12.214%
Last 10 (10)63.770.3134.0-6.640%
Last 5 (5)60.670.4131.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.779.7146.4-13.00%
vs Similar (14)62.970.4133.4-7.521%
vs Weaker (4)64.562.2126.8+2.275%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A07/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-34
0-0
44-43
0-0
52-51
0-0
52-38
0-0
43-27
0-0
39-36
0-0
48-26
0-0
38-39
0-0
41-49
0-0
50-32
0-0
38-29
0-0
31-23
0-0
31-27
0-0
35-37
0-0
29-35
0-0
40-44
0-0
44-43
0-0
55-49
0-0
53-34
0-0
37-39
157.8Avg total
84.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.974.8164.7+15.081%
Season at home (16)95.677.0172.6+18.688%
Season away (10)80.771.4152.1+9.370%
Last 10 (10)84.373.5157.8+10.890%
Last 5 (5)78.672.0150.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)77.487.4164.8-10.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.573.7164.2+16.892%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
Ball StateAkron
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
62.7Avg total
30.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.463.1-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.132.167.2+2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)26.832.759.5-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.462.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.233.861.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.839.670.4-8.810%-
vs Similar (14)29.130.759.8-1.629%-
vs Weaker (4)31.227.859.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/02
NCAA
77.7Avg total
42.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.635.878.4+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.136.981.1+7.274%-
Last 30 away (11)39.933.873.7+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)42.235.577.7+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.672.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.443.679.0-8.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.934.678.5+9.283%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
9
Akron wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Akron v Ball State87-77
26/02/25Ball State v Akron82-87
05/02/25Akron v Ball State81-73
10/01/24Ball State v Akron76-80
01/03/23Akron v Ball State87-83
07/01/23Ball State v Akron70-63
02/03/22Ball State v Akron60-79
12/01/22Akron v Ball State84-74
20/02/21Ball State v Akron79-88
30/01/21Akron v Ball State74-42
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AOhio57-69
14/02/26HKent State68-75
12/02/26HBuffalo53-63
07/02/26ALouisiana Monroe73-68
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
24/01/26HNorthern Illinois58-53
21/01/26ACentral Michigan68-67
17/01/26HOhio76-71
14/01/26AAkron77-87
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AWestern Michigan90-73
14/02/26HUMass99-92
07/02/26ATroy69-79
03/02/26AEastern Michigan66-64
30/01/26HKent State69-52
28/01/26HToledo91-81
24/01/26AOhio86-65
20/01/26ABuffalo82-63
17/01/26HWestern Michigan104-89
14/01/26HBall State87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game66.071.561.3
Allowed / game70.065.973.5
Point differential-4.0+5.6-12.2
Avg total136.0137.4134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %81%88%70%
Points / game89.995.680.7
Allowed / game74.877.071.4
Point differential+15.0+18.6+9.3
Avg total164.7172.6152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%81%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)26260100%92.374.4+18.0
2 Akron2621581%89.974.8+15.0
3 Kent State2719870%85.479.9+5.5
4 Bowling Green27161159%81.970.5+11.4
5 Buffalo26151158%78.374.7+3.6
6 UMass27151256%80.977.0+3.9
7 Ohio27141352%77.377.0+0.2
8 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
9 Eastern Michigan27101737%71.072.7-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2591636%71.176.2-5.2
11 Western Michigan2691735%74.879.7-5.0
12 Central Michigan2681831%73.276.9-3.7
13 Ball State2681831%66.070.0-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ball State03602965
Akron04003878
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