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Akron vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-81
41-49 50-32
Position#14
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game75.2
Akron 🏆
USA
vs
Position#156
Record11-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akron v Toledo
14 Mar 2026
AKRO79
TOLE76
27 Jan 2026
AKRO91
TOLE81
14 Mar 2025
AKRO100
TOLE90
14 Jan 2025
AKRO85
TOLE78
02 Feb 2024
AKRO77
TOLE70
07 Feb 2023
AKRO74
TOLE84
16 Jan 2021
AKRO95
TOLE94
18 Jan 2020
AKRO89
TOLE99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
L
100-115
100
115
-15
H13/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Concord
#629
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-47
58-68
48-34
45-38
47-25
68-39
36-33
37-43
43-30
39-39
43-27
34-40
43-34
44-43
52-51
52-38
43-27
39-36
48-26
38-39
165.6Avg total
89.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.775.2167.9+17.480%
Season at home (13)97.877.5175.2+20.385%
Season away (7)83.171.1154.3+12.071%
Last 10 (10)89.975.7165.6+14.280%
Last 5 (5)87.272.2159.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.384.8162.2-7.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.374.5165.8+16.791%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
0-0
31-41
0-0
47-34
0-0
37-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
36-56
0-0
37-31
23-22
23-13
25-22
16-16
0-0
52-50
0-0
49-35
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-52
19-23
21-17
24-16
17-27
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-49
0-0
39-38
0-0
34-34
163.2Avg total
83.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.278.2160.5+4.055%
Season at home (10)86.276.7162.9+9.570%
Season away (10)78.379.8158.1-1.540%
Last 10 (10)83.080.2163.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)84.282.2166.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.884.5156.2-12.825%
vs Similar (15)82.181.0163.1+1.140%
vs Weaker (10)88.374.2162.5+14.190%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
AkronToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Concord
#629
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A24/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
44.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.335.277.5+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.335.578.8+7.768%-
Last 30 away (11)40.634.775.4+5.973%-
Last 10 (10)44.533.477.9+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.833.078.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.842.877.7-8.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.033.777.7+10.383%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/01
NCAA
79.0Avg total
39.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.677.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.578.2+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.876.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.047.081.0-13.025%-
vs Similar (15)38.637.375.9+1.353%-
vs Weaker (10)42.235.477.6+6.870%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Akron wins
5
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Akron v Toledo100-90
05/03/25Toledo v Akron87-96
15/01/25Akron v Toledo85-78
21/02/24Toledo v Akron72-64
03/02/24Akron v Toledo77-70
22/02/23Toledo v Akron84-63
08/02/23Akron v Toledo74-84
11/03/22Toledo v Akron62-70
29/01/22Toledo v Akron84-76
03/02/21Toledo v Akron91-76
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AOhio86-65
20/01/26ABuffalo82-63
17/01/26HWestern Michigan104-89
14/01/26HBall State87-77
10/01/26ABowling Green77-67
07/01/26HCentral Michigan82-69
03/01/26AMiami (Ohio)73-76
30/12/25HConcord115-64
20/12/25HEastern Michigan93-72
13/12/25HMurray State100-115
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HBowling Green73-72
20/01/26AUMass82-84
17/01/26AValle de Egues81-83
16/01/26AKent State84-87
14/01/26HOhio101-85
11/01/26HCBC Valladolid87-73
09/01/26HMiami (Ohio)73-87
07/01/26ANorthern Illinois75-61
03/01/26ACentral Michigan78-75
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %80%85%71%
Points / game92.797.883.1
Allowed / game75.277.571.1
Point differential+17.4+20.3+12.0
Avg total167.9175.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%85%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game82.286.278.3
Allowed / game78.276.779.8
Point differential+4.0+9.5-1.5
Avg total160.5162.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)20200100%94.574.7+19.9
2 Akron2016480%92.775.2+17.4
3 Kent State2014670%89.783.2+6.5
4 Bowling Green2013765%86.270.5+15.8
5 Buffalo2013765%79.574.5+5.0
6 UMass2113862%79.774.2+5.5
7 Toledo2011955%82.278.2+4.0
8 Ohio21111052%77.577.6-0.0
9 Eastern Michigan2091145%72.071.8+0.2
10 Western Michigan2081240%76.078.9-3.0
11 Ball State2071335%67.969.8-1.9
12 Northern Illinois1961332%72.976.6-3.7
13 Central Michigan2051525%71.579.2-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Akron415091
Toledo493281
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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