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Ball State vs Akron Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-87
39-47 43-40
Position#243
Record14-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Akron 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record21-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Akron
20 Feb 2026
BALL65
AKRO78
25 Feb 2025
BALL82
AKRO87
09 Jan 2024
BALL76
AKRO80
06 Jan 2023
BALL70
AKRO63
01 Mar 2022
BALL60
AKRO79
19 Feb 2021
BALL79
AKRO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
38-20
38-56
35-28
31-39
41-36
39-30
154.2Avg total
77.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.674.2150.9+2.452%
Season at home (15)79.673.2152.8+6.460%
Season away (12)72.975.5148.4-2.642%
Last 10 (10)77.976.3154.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)79.675.2154.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.277.5149.8-5.225%
vs Similar (10)74.777.6152.3-2.940%
vs Weaker (14)77.172.1149.1+5.057%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A22/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H25/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
105-92
105
92
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
50-33
52-28
50-47
37-33
43-37
48-31
37-40
38-36
43-37
36-30
44-35
52-42
53-50
33-36
52-46
28-31
45-32
29-43
38-41
158.1Avg total
84.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.673.7157.3+9.978%
Season at home (14)89.172.1161.2+17.1100%
Season away (13)77.575.5153.0+2.154%
Last 10 (10)84.873.3158.1+11.590%
Last 5 (5)82.077.2159.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.675.2148.8-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.374.1158.4+10.389%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.7+5.7
Ball StateAkron
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.470.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.232.769.9+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)34.236.570.8-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.671.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.868.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (10)34.236.470.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker (14)36.232.168.4+4.157%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A22/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H25/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A22/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
39.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.972.0+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.932.372.2+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)36.135.671.8+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.572.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)35.034.669.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.834.473.2+4.372%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
8
Akron wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Akron v Ball State81-73
10/01/24Ball State v Akron76-80
01/03/23Akron v Ball State87-83
07/01/23Ball State v Akron70-63
02/03/22Ball State v Akron60-79
12/01/22Akron v Ball State84-74
20/02/21Ball State v Akron79-88
30/01/21Akron v Ball State74-42
11/01/20Akron v Ball State75-60
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HBuffalo80-66
19/02/25AToledo66-67
15/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-83 OT
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AOhio67-84
19/02/25HNorthern Illinois73-63
16/02/25ACentral Michigan85-82
12/02/25HWestern Michigan105-92
08/02/25HSouth Alabama80-65
05/02/25HBall State81-73
01/02/25AKent State85-71
29/01/25ANorthern Illinois80-70
25/01/25HMiami (Ohio)102-75
22/01/25ABuffalo90-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%60%42%
Points / game76.679.672.9
Allowed / game74.273.275.5
Point differential+2.4+6.4-2.6
Avg total150.9152.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Akron
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%100%54%
Points / game83.689.177.5
Allowed / game73.772.175.5
Point differential+9.9+17.1+2.1
Avg total157.3161.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2721678%83.673.7+9.9
2 Miami (Ohio)2720774%81.473.7+7.7
3 Kent State2718967%72.867.8+5.0
4 Toledo27161159%77.877.4+0.4
5 Ohio27151256%80.075.3+4.7
6 Ball State27141352%76.674.2+2.4
7 Eastern Michigan28141450%73.076.4-3.5
8 Central Michigan27121544%75.771.6+4.1
9 Bowling Green28121643%74.674.9-0.2
10 UMass28111739%73.174.5-1.4
11 Western Michigan2791833%72.076.9-4.9
12 Buffalo2781930%71.581.1-9.6
13 Northern Illinois2752219%71.576.7-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State394382
Akron474087
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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