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Ball State vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-69
42-26 49-43
Position#243
Record7-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#257
Record6-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Bowling Green
11 Jan 2025
BALL91
BOWL69
30 Jan 2024
BALL72
BOWL81
11 Feb 2023
BALL93
BOWL72
01 Jan 2022
BALL81
BOWL80
16 Feb 2021
BALL62
BOWL75
15 Feb 2020
BALL71
BOWL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#340
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
32-38
29-36
34-25
46-31
48-26
33-30
27-43
41-39
28-43
47-42
39-40
37-17
43-26
39-43
50-33
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
143.8Avg total
74.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.270.9146.1+4.350%
Season at home (8)78.169.1147.2+9.050%
Season away (6)71.373.3144.7-2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.769.1143.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)80.469.6150.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.878.2152.0-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.577.4147.9-6.920%
vs Weaker (14)74.866.1140.9+8.764%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
43-31
29-34
39-46
43-40
27-33
26-23
35-37
55-37
47-44
45-46
32-39
20-46
48-47
43-25
44-37
32-30
36-41
38-42
45-37
151.2Avg total
76.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.074.9152.9+3.143%
Season at home (9)80.471.3151.8+9.156%
Season away (5)73.681.4155.0-7.820%
Last 10 (10)76.075.2151.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)76.678.0154.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.576.8144.3-9.317%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.977.3153.2-1.446%
vs Weaker (10)72.970.0142.9+2.950%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
Ball StateBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#340
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H21/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.666.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.731.866.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)33.733.567.2+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.970.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.070.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.635.767.3-4.120%-
vs Weaker (14)35.029.164.1+5.971%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#315
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
20-46
20
46
-26
H21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H23/12
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.867.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.032.868.8+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)31.435.266.5-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.072.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.873.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.068.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.335.771.0-0.446%-
vs Weaker (10)30.831.262.0-0.440%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ball State wins
5
Bowling Green wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
31/12/24HAnderson (Ind.)89-76
21/12/24HEvansville80-43
14/12/24ABellarmine86-82
08/12/24ASiu Edwardsville69-82
27/11/24HRichmond Spiders60-73
26/11/24HFlorida Tech94-57
25/11/24AEastern Kentucky63-61
21/11/24HDetroit59-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AWestern Michigan83-79
03/01/25HAkron68-71
23/12/24HAquinas87-62
21/12/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)68-93
15/12/24AUMKC77-85
07/12/24HMorgan State102-81
30/11/24HNew Mexico State61-60
29/11/24HWeber State70-73
23/11/24ABellarmine68-80
20/11/24HNiagara76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.278.171.3
Allowed / game70.969.173.3
Point differential+4.3+9.0-2.0
Avg total146.1147.2144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %43%56%20%
Points / game78.080.473.6
Allowed / game74.971.381.4
Point differential+3.1+9.1-7.8
Avg total152.9151.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1511473%69.262.5+6.7
2 Miami (Ohio)1410471%83.071.7+11.3
3 Akron149564%80.472.7+7.7
4 Ohio159660%80.874.0+6.8
5 Toledo159660%77.377.2+0.1
6 Ball State147750%75.270.9+4.3
7 Eastern Michigan147750%72.176.5-4.4
8 Bowling Green146843%78.074.9+3.1
9 Central Michigan156940%72.870.8+2.0
10 UMass1661038%73.774.8-1.1
11 Buffalo1551033%72.581.5-8.9
12 Northern Illinois1541127%70.976.3-5.3
13 Western Michigan1431121%71.074.9-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State424991
Bowling Green264369
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