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Ball State vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-81
31-33 41-48
Position#226
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#127
Record14-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ball State v Bowling Green
11 Jan 2025
BALL91
BOWL69
30 Jan 2024
BALL72
BOWL81
11 Feb 2023
BALL93
BOWL72
01 Jan 2022
BALL81
BOWL80
16 Feb 2021
BALL62
BOWL75
15 Feb 2020
BALL71
BOWL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
43-43
27-39
36-41
30-41
39-41
29-31
36-40
35-33
41-47
33-40
39-37
32-29
44-33
35-37
37-35
45-31
42-28
39-26
42-45
149.3Avg total
74.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.370.0145.3+5.255%
Season at home (11)80.566.3146.7+14.273%
Season away (9)69.074.7143.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)74.175.2149.3-1.130%
Last 5 (5)79.271.2150.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.881.4160.2-2.620%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.682.4154.0-10.914%
vs Weaker (18)77.766.3144.1+11.478%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#340
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#427
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-31
54-34
28-29
51-29
34-42
48-40
41-36
26-47
38-35
45-43
43-32
40-40
36-37
42-36
39-31
45-48
35-35
39-39
31-31
41-57
157.3Avg total
79.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.571.7148.2+4.870%
Season at home (14)79.670.4150.0+9.379%
Season away (6)69.374.8144.2-5.550%
Last 10 (10)79.777.6157.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)80.280.4160.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.382.9152.2-13.611%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.173.6148.7+1.550%
vs Weaker (9)77.173.4150.6+3.778%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
Ball StateBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.570.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.133.471.4+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.968.7-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.768.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.669.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.436.470.8-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.043.076.0-10.014%-
vs Weaker (18)37.230.667.8+6.667%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#340
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#427
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.867.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.132.566.6+1.655%-
Last 30 away (10)31.336.567.8-5.230%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.968.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.270.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.738.170.8-5.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.333.168.4+2.240%-
vs Weaker (9)31.232.763.9-1.444%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ball State wins
3
Bowling Green wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HNorthern Illinois81-71
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
20/01/24HMiami (Ohio)80-87 OT
17/01/24AEastern Michigan76-62
14/01/24AToledo72-77
10/01/24HAkron76-80
06/01/24HCentral Michigan65-71
03/01/24AKent State69-82
22/12/23AMinnesota63-80
16/12/23AIndiana State72-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AToledo72-88
24/01/24HKent State84-90 OT
20/01/24HWestern Michigan84-79
17/01/24AMiami (Ohio)78-73
13/01/24ANorthern Illinois83-72
10/01/24HOhio83-78
06/01/24AAkron67-83
03/01/24HEastern Michigan92-90 OT
22/12/23HSiena Heights79-58
19/12/23HHampton75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLLLW73%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game75.380.569.0
Allowed / game70.066.374.7
Point differential+5.2+14.2-5.7
Avg total145.3146.7143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %70%79%50%
Points / game76.579.669.3
Allowed / game71.770.474.8
Point differential+4.8+9.3-5.5
Avg total148.2150.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2015575%76.265.8+10.4
2 Bowling Green2014670%76.571.7+4.8
3 UMass2013765%81.372.0+9.3
4 Toledo2013765%79.276.1+3.0
5 Ball State2011955%75.370.0+5.2
6 Central Michigan2011955%66.871.2-4.5
7 Miami (Ohio)1910953%74.471.3+3.2
8 Ohio20101050%77.571.0+6.6
9 Kent State20101050%77.874.5+3.3
10 Eastern Michigan2091145%67.374.4-7.1
11 Western Michigan2081240%73.574.9-1.4
12 Northern Illinois1961332%76.780.2-3.4
13 Buffalo1921711%67.179.3-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State314172
Bowling Green334881
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