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LSU vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-61
45-18 32-43
Position#264
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game59.0
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#303
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#34
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A03/03
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H10/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H18/03
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H12/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-23
35-48
30-24
45-31
35-35
41-42
36-38
36-34
39-23
37-45
26-29
41-50
19-24
35-35
41-34
33-29
31-26
30-26
47-25
44-37
138.3Avg total
72.0Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.359.0134.3+16.3100%
Season at home (3)75.359.0134.3+16.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.066.3138.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)69.463.0132.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.064.7132.7+3.360%
vs Weaker (15)73.565.6139.1+7.960%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
32-41
23-33
27-26
24-49
45-41
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
30-40
35-38
40-33
28-38
28-16
26-33
32-32
37-35
30-38
37-32
132.5Avg total
65.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.564.2128.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)67.570.5138.0-3.00%
Season away (2)61.558.0119.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)65.067.5132.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)64.667.0131.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.775.8145.5-6.120%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.767.4136.1+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)77.261.8139.0+15.575%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +0.5+0.5
LSUIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#34
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/03
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H10/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H18/03
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H18/11
NCAA
61.6Avg total
33.5Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.563.2+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.327.764.0+8.682%-
Last 30 away (13)30.531.862.2-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)33.528.161.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.827.660.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.128.962.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker (15)34.430.164.5+4.353%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
30.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.167.1-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.833.468.1+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)31.134.966.0-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)30.633.664.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.863.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.937.168.9-5.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.433.165.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (4)36.028.264.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LSU wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22HNew Orleans91-62
12/11/22HArkansas State61-52
10/11/22HUMKC74-63
18/03/22HIowa State54-59
11/03/22AArkansas67-79
10/03/22HMissouri76-68
05/03/22HAlabama80-77 OT
03/03/22AArkansas76-77
27/02/22HMissouri75-55
24/02/22AKentucky66-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22HNorthwestern St.67-70
13/11/22ANorthwestern St.69-67
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49
08/11/22HWestern Illinois68-71
04/03/22ANorthern Iowa65-78
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66
24/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-90
22/02/22HLoyola Chicago50-59
19/02/22ABradley64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.375.3-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+16.3+16.3-
Avg total134.3134.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game64.567.561.5
Allowed / game64.270.558.0
Point differential+0.2-3.0+3.5
Avg total128.8138.0119.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%82.354.0+28.3
2 Alabama440100%84.857.5+27.2
3 Arkansas330100%73.754.0+19.7
4 Missouri550100%91.874.2+17.6
5 Auburn440100%74.558.0+16.5
6 LSU330100%75.359.0+16.3
7 Ole Miss440100%73.862.8+11.0
8 Mississippi St.43175%69.051.5+17.5
9 Florida43175%79.866.5+13.2
10 Oklahoma43175%63.855.8+8.0
11 Georgia43175%70.266.8+3.5
12 Tennessee32167%74.057.0+17.0
13 Kentucky53260%85.470.4+15.0
14 Texas A&M53260%77.070.8+6.2
15 Vanderbilt42250%70.066.5+3.5
16 South Carolina52340%62.673.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State330100%88.066.3+21.7
2 Drake440100%75.262.0+13.2
3 Bradley43175%79.266.0+13.2
4 Southern Illinois43175%66.259.5+6.8
5 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
6 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
7 Illinois (Chi.)42250%69.264.2+5.0
8 Illinois State42250%64.564.2+0.2
9 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
10 Belmont52340%73.277.2-4.0
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU453277
Illinois State184361
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