PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-67 (OT)
35-27 27-35 8-5
Position#182
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#303
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Illinois State
17 Dec 2026
MURR v ILLI
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
MURR65
ILLI70
02 Jan 2025
MURR68
ILLI74
30 Jan 2024
MURR59
ILLI61
01 Dec 2022
MURR70
ILLI67
05 Dec 2020
MURR76
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
51-31
37-43
34-34
37-33
36-37
37-36
27-32
33-38
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
149.0Avg total
76.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.370.5146.8+5.850%
Season at home (2)79.562.0141.5+17.550%
Season away (4)74.874.8149.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)76.972.1149.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)78.066.4144.4+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Weaker (26)76.862.4139.3+14.492%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
30-40
35-38
40-33
28-38
28-16
26-33
32-32
37-35
30-38
37-32
18-45
43-32
35-38
31-40
22-24
22-33
130.4Avg total
63.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.367.0128.3-5.729%
Season at home (2)67.570.5138.0-3.00%
Season away (5)58.865.6124.4-6.840%
Last 10 (10)63.866.6130.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)61.469.8131.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.876.1144.9-7.313%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.067.9134.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (3)76.058.7134.7+17.367%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.0+0.0
Murray StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
36.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.930.367.2+6.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.928.468.2+11.575%-
Last 30 away (14)33.632.466.0+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.469.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.267.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)37.529.767.2+7.762%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A23/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.466.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.333.468.7+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.735.264.9-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.063.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)27.435.462.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.137.369.4-5.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.433.563.8-3.136%-
vs Weaker (3)36.027.063.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
0
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
17/11/21Illinois State v Murray State65-77
05/12/20Murray State v Illinois State76-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
20/03/22HSt. Peters60-70
18/03/22HSan Francisco92-87 OT
06/03/22HMorehead State71-67
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22ARhode Island44-57
22/11/22AWestern Kentucky66-78
21/11/22ALSU61-77
18/11/22HNorthwestern St.67-70
13/11/22ANorthwestern St.69-67
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49
08/11/22HWestern Illinois68-71
04/03/22ANorthern Iowa65-78
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.379.574.8
Allowed / game70.562.074.8
Point differential+5.8+17.5+0.0
Avg total146.8141.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game61.367.558.8
Allowed / game67.070.565.6
Point differential-5.7-3.0-6.8
Avg total128.3138.0124.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State87188%83.669.9+13.8
2 Drake76186%74.464.4+10.0
3 Southern Illinois75271%65.458.3+7.1
4 Bradley85362%72.062.2+9.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)85362%71.565.5+6.0
6 Belmont74357%75.775.0+0.7
7 Murray State63350%76.370.5+5.8
8 Valparaiso73443%67.674.3-6.7
9 Northern Iowa62433%72.067.5+4.5
10 Illinois State72529%61.367.0-5.7
11 Evansville92722%59.769.9-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Murray State3527870
Illinois State2735567
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.