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Ball State vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-61
47-30 28-31
Position#103
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game67.4
Ball State 🏆
USA
vs
Miami (FL)
USA
Position#122
Record21-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-31
41-36
40-36
37-42
36-29
40-30
42-28
46-41
41-34
42-35
17-24
41-30
29-28
41-35
40-37
50-46
30-31
40-32
29-26
42-50
142.9Avg total
74.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.667.4143.9+9.269%
Season at home (9)78.263.4141.7+14.889%
Season away (7)74.472.4146.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)74.868.1142.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)71.867.8139.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.179.2154.3-4.140%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.771.3143.0+0.443%
vs Weaker (11)75.267.3142.5+7.982%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H23/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#609
W
90-51
90
51
+39
H30/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
30-38
32-37
48-51
51-25
39-26
33-34
43-31
29-26
27-42
35-39
35-37
31-32
35-37
37-34
54-46
43-28
45-44
32-42
41-31
148.0Avg total
76.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.871.8148.6+5.164%
Season at home (22)79.470.9150.3+8.573%
Season away (11)71.873.5145.3-1.645%
Last 10 (10)76.471.6148.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)79.276.0155.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.083.2151.2-15.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.179.5156.6-2.460%
vs Weaker (15)80.364.0144.3+16.380%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
Ball StateMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.967.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.431.266.6+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)34.534.969.4-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.463.2+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)29.029.258.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.636.169.7-2.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.933.665.4-1.743%-
vs Weaker (11)35.830.766.5+5.173%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H23/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#609
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.471.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.234.272.4+3.958%-
Last 30 away (11)33.734.868.5-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.368.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.243.875.0-12.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.737.674.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)38.229.267.4+9.073%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
0
Miami (FL) wins
No previous meetings.
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AOhio71-76
07/01/23HAkron70-63
04/01/23AToledo90-83
29/12/22HChicago State70-63
22/12/22HGeorgia Southern58-54
17/12/22HIllinois State83-69
10/12/22HEvansville88-69
08/12/22AEastern Illinois76-59
03/12/22ADuquesne77-78
27/11/22ASan Jose State65-67
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ANC State81-83 OT
12/01/23HBoston College88-72
11/01/23HBuffalo91-80
07/01/23HKent State66-69
05/01/23AGeorgia Tech70-76
04/01/23ACentral Michigan56-68
30/12/22ANotre Dame76-65
30/12/22HSMWC Pomeroys90-51
23/12/22HWright State80-88
21/12/22HVirginia66-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game76.678.274.4
Allowed / game67.463.472.4
Point differential+9.2+14.8+2.0
Avg total143.9141.7146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332211
Win %64%73%45%
Points / game76.879.471.8
Allowed / game71.870.973.5
Point differential+5.1+8.5-1.6
Avg total148.6150.3145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1714382%74.562.2+12.3
2 Akron1712571%72.861.9+10.9
3 Ball State1611569%76.667.4+9.2
4 Toledo1610662%84.679.5+5.1
5 UMass1610662%71.569.4+2.1
6 Ohio179853%76.471.5+4.9
7 Buffalo168850%78.876.9+1.9
8 Bowling Green178947%78.176.1+2.0
9 Central Michigan1661038%67.268.8-1.6
10 Western Michigan1761135%72.272.9-0.7
11 Northern Illinois1651131%67.975.1-7.2
12 Eastern Michigan1741324%72.781.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1714382%75.866.9+8.9
2 Virginia1512380%69.759.5+10.2
3 NC State1814478%79.668.6+11.1
4 Duke1713476%72.762.9+9.8
5 Wake Forest1712571%76.972.4+4.6
6 Virginia Tech1711665%74.265.8+8.4
7 North Carolina1711665%80.073.7+6.3
8 Pittsburgh1711665%74.868.7+6.1
9 Syracuse1711665%75.169.5+5.6
10 Miami (FL)33211264%76.871.8+5.1
11 Notre Dame179853%69.569.5+0.1
12 Georgia Tech168850%71.169.4+1.8
13 Boston College178947%65.168.5-3.4
14 SMU Mustangs1761135%69.073.5-4.5
15 Stanford1651131%68.367.9+0.4
16 Florida State1751229%69.474.4-5.1
17 California1731418%60.966.6-5.7
18 Louisville1721512%63.174.9-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State472875
Miami (FL)303161
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