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Ball State vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-86
36-40 41-46
Position#288
Record3-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#5
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ball State v Miami (Ohio)
20 Dec 2025
BALL77
MIAM86
07 Jan 2025
BALL72
MIAM80
20 Jan 2024
BALL80
MIAM87
25 Jan 2022
BALL81
MIAM64
18 Jan 2020
BALL71
MIAM62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mansfield
#469
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
52-26
26-39
29-47
35-37
27-31
28-27
24-43
29-35
44-45
15-23
22-32
38-38
58-47
32-33
20-31
40-39
24-29
30-30
34-39
133.8Avg total
63.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.969.4134.3-4.527%
Season at home (5)76.267.8144.0+8.460%
Season away (6)55.570.7126.2-15.20%
Last 10 (10)63.969.9133.8-6.020%
Last 5 (5)62.668.2130.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.678.3147.9-8.714%
vs Similar (13)68.373.2141.5-4.923%
vs Weaker (9)76.173.7149.8+2.467%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#717
W
129-49
129
49
+80
H08/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A15/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H23/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana East
#618
W
109-65
109
65
+44
H03/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H06/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A13/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
59-22
70-27
40-26
36-35
37-29
39-42
56-36
55-48
34-42
48-29
53-24
56-41
48-30
45-31
41-35
43-49
35-25
44-44
46-34
37-42
162.2Avg total
92.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.369.6161.9+22.6100%
Season at home (7)98.167.6165.7+30.6100%
Season away (4)82.073.2155.2+8.8100%
Last 10 (10)92.869.4162.2+23.4100%
Last 5 (5)90.871.6162.4+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)76.076.2152.2-0.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.271.1156.4+14.188%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +14.6+14.62nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +8.5+8.5
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +14.6+14.62nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +8.5+8.5
Ball StateMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mansfield
#469
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
15-23
15
23
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A14/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
30.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.167.8-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.371.4+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)30.433.964.3-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)30.532.963.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.663.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.339.072.3-5.729%-
vs Similar (13)32.532.464.9+0.231%-
vs Weaker (9)36.033.469.4+2.644%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#717
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H23/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Indiana East
#618
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H03/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A13/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
NCAA
75.2Avg total
44.9Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.133.673.7+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.032.174.1+9.971%-
Last 30 away (13)37.535.673.2+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)44.930.375.2+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.629.674.2+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.738.374.0-2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.232.473.6+8.875%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ball State wins
5
Miami (Ohio) wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ACampbell64-69
10/12/25HSouth Dakota St.64-68
04/12/25AEvansville52-64
30/11/25HLe Moyne96-85
29/11/25ALafayette37-55
28/11/25AMonmouth73-80
23/11/25AIndiana State52-70
16/11/25HUALR62-68
12/11/25AWisconsin55-86
08/11/25HMansfield84-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AWright State83-76
13/12/25AEastern Kentucky79-69
10/12/25AUNC Asheville90-87 OT
06/12/25HMaine Black Bears93-61
03/12/25HIndiana East109-65
26/11/25HNC Greensboro82-71
23/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff111-84
21/11/25HMercyhurst Lakers76-71
15/11/25AAir Force76-61
08/11/25HTrinity (IL)129-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game64.976.255.5
Allowed / game69.467.870.7
Point differential-4.5+8.4-15.2
Avg total134.3144.0126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.398.182.0
Allowed / game69.667.673.2
Point differential+22.6+30.6+8.8
Avg total161.9165.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)11110100%92.369.6+22.6
2 Buffalo1210283%78.371.3+7.0
3 Akron129375%95.677.9+17.7
4 Bowling Green118373%87.264.8+22.4
5 Kent State118373%96.082.2+13.8
6 UMass118373%80.373.6+6.6
7 Toledo126650%82.977.9+5.0
8 Eastern Michigan126650%71.972.8-0.8
9 Ohio115645%76.578.9-2.4
10 Western Michigan125742%74.180.2-6.1
11 Northern Illinois114736%77.578.8-1.4
12 Central Michigan114736%73.577.4-3.9
13 Ball State113827%64.969.4-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State364177
Miami (Ohio)404686
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