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Ball State vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-64
31-19 50-45
Position#237
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#240
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ball State v Miami (Ohio)
20 Dec 2025
BALL77
MIAM86
07 Jan 2025
BALL72
MIAM80
20 Jan 2024
BALL80
MIAM87
25 Jan 2022
BALL81
MIAM64
18 Jan 2020
BALL71
MIAM62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#155
L
50-96
50
96
-46
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-45
27-51
53-30
32-28
29-37
35-48
37-36
38-19
36-34
45-46
28-28
37-38
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
30-34
38-40
35-38
35-45
146.3Avg total
71.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.877.4151.2-3.641%
Season at home (8)77.270.2147.5+7.062%
Season away (9)70.783.8154.4-13.122%
Last 10 (10)71.075.3146.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.181.6152.7-10.513%
vs Similar (9)76.980.9157.8-4.044%
vs Weaker (5)80.863.8144.6+17.0100%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Spalding
#423
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A29/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
29-32
35-36
41-53
34-32
34-45
46-23
34-33
33-40
58-41
35-26
42-51
33-44
39-31
32-33
38-29
27-45
36-41
27-37
58-45
152.0Avg total
75.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.070.8148.8+7.253%
Season at home (10)79.966.7146.6+13.260%
Season away (7)75.376.6151.9-1.343%
Last 10 (10)75.676.4152.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)74.678.4153.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.480.5150.9-10.110%
vs Similar (9)75.673.1148.7+2.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.364.0144.3+16.3100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
Ball StateMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#155
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H12/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.471.0+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.369.7+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.572.3-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.969.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.436.469.8-3.020%-
vs Similar (9)37.836.073.8+1.867%-
vs Weaker (5)40.826.467.2+14.4100%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Spalding
#423
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H22/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.269.4+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.667.9+4.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.134.670.7+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.369.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.837.067.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.141.074.1-7.920%-
vs Similar (9)36.731.668.2+5.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.028.866.8+9.270%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
1
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
20/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Ball State81-71
18/01/20Ball State v Miami (Ohio)71-62
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/22AToledo70-83
14/01/22HBuffalo68-74
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72
05/01/22HKent State65-66
01/01/22HBowling Green81-80
22/12/21HEastern Illinois75-55
18/12/21AIllinois State64-85
12/12/21HIndiana-Kokomo85-58
08/12/21AXavier50-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HNorthern Illinois85-82
19/01/22HOhio63-86
15/01/22AWestern Michigan70-62
12/01/22HToledo72-75
08/01/22ABowling Green83-87 OT
29/12/21ABuffalo91-81
21/12/21HSpalding80-56
18/12/21HBellarmine68-77
15/12/21AClemson76-89
04/12/21AIndiana State68-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game73.877.270.7
Allowed / game77.470.283.8
Point differential-3.6+7.0-13.1
Avg total151.2147.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%60%43%
Points / game78.079.975.3
Allowed / game70.866.776.6
Point differential+7.2+13.2-1.3
Avg total148.8146.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1714382%73.967.2+6.7
2 Toledo1915479%79.867.5+12.4
3 Akron1712571%72.462.5+9.9
4 Buffalo1610662%80.571.6+8.9
5 Miami (Ohio)179853%78.070.8+7.2
6 Bowling Green1910953%82.978.1+4.8
7 Kent State189950%67.562.4+5.1
8 UMass1881044%77.079.3-2.3
9 Eastern Michigan1771041%71.173.5-2.4
10 Ball State1771041%73.877.4-3.6
11 Northern Illinois1551033%62.571.6-9.1
12 Western Michigan1841422%65.977.9-12.0
13 Central Michigan1421214%64.683.9-19.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State315081
Miami (Ohio)194564
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