Ballarat vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-76

26-16 23-13 21-22 17-25

Position#5

Record15-8

FormLWLWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game84.3

Ballarat 🏆

BA CoE

Position#15

Record2-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game89.1

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Ballarat v BA CoE

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BA CoE winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

81-76

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

92-86

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

104-70

104

+34

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-100

100

-25

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

107-84

107

+23

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

93-104

104

-11

A14/07

SEABL

Dandenong

100-87

100

+13

H16/07

SEABL

Bendigo

80-94

-14

A22/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

89-82

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

98-79

+19

H30/07

SEABL

19-20

25-21

14-15

23-20

29-20

21-16

24-29

18-21

32-18

25-14

24-14

23-24

27-25

11-35

19-13

18-27

25-22

37-18

23-28

22-16

20-19

30-25

24-24

19-36

25-23

20-19

30-23

25-22

22-26

22-29

22-13

14-26

20-27

24-17

23-22

22-16

21-19

15-15

26-22

36-23

178.1Avg total

91.9Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.7	84.3	173.0	+4.3	65%
Season at home (11)	94.3	82.3	176.5	+12.0	91%
Season away (12)	83.5	86.2	169.8	-2.8	42%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	86.2	178.1	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.0	89.2	181.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.7	90.5	172.2	-8.8	17%
vs Similar (6)	93.5	92.3	185.8	+1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	92.6	83.4	176.0	+9.2	78%

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoE

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

86-97

-11

H12/05

SEABL

Albury

#11

90-98

-8

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

77-86

-9

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

88-86

A02/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

73-90

-17

H16/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

77-81

-4

H30/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

63-94

-31

H16/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

72-95

-23

A22/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

65-83

-18

A23/07

SEABL

Dandenong

58-81

-23

H30/07

SEABL

16-21

37-23

12-24

21-29

22-22

19-18

22-29

27-29

22-18

12-20

22-23

21-25

28-21

17-21

24-27

19-17

25-21

8-20

22-15

18-34

12-23

24-17

24-16

17-25

19-19

16-24

11-27

17-24

15-25

22-18

21-24

14-28

27-18

12-22

18-17

8-26

13-12

15-30

16-15

14-24

164.0Avg total

74.9Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	74.7	89.1	163.9	-14.4	13%
Season at home (8)	75.6	88.0	163.6	-12.4	12%
Season away (7)	73.7	90.4	164.1	-16.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	89.1	164.0	-14.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	67.0	86.8	153.8	-19.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	72.0	89.3	161.4	-17.3	4%
vs Similar (4)	76.2	79.0	155.2	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratBA CoE

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.2	23.6	48.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	23.6	46.5	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.9	45.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	26.3	46.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.6	23.7	49.3	+1.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.3	44.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	20.9	44.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	25.7	47.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.8	20.7	43.4	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.9	39.3	-4.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

44-41

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

50-36

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

57-32

+25

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-60

-22

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

62-40

+22

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

50-44

A14/07

SEABL

Dandenong

45-42

H16/07

SEABL

Bendigo

44-55

-11

A22/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-44

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

36-34

H30/07

SEABL

89.8Avg total

47.0Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	45.9	92.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.1	44.4	93.6	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.8	47.2	90.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	42.8	89.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.8	87.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.5	50.3	90.8	-9.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.7	46.0	91.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	48.4	44.4	92.8	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

53-44

H12/05

SEABL

Albury

#11

41-40

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

34-38

-4

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

45-42

A02/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

33-41

-8

H16/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

36-40

-4

H30/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-43

-8

H16/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

37-43

-6

A22/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

39-40

-1

A23/07

SEABL

Dandenong

28-42

-14

H30/07

SEABL

79.4Avg total

38.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	41.6	77.2	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	40.7	76.8	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	42.5	77.6	-7.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	41.6	76.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.2	42.0	77.2	-6.8	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.8	38.8	77.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	18.3	41.0	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.8	45.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	21.1	38.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.8	23.3	41.1	-5.5	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.7	44.3	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	20.7	45.2	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.1	45.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.6	47.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.8	22.7	47.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.2	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	24.9	43.9	-5.8	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	26.1	43.7	-8.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	25.4	39.4	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.8	23.9	42.7	-5.1	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	22.2	38.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	40.7	85.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.2	39.0	86.2	+8.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	42.2	84.0	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.4	88.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	45.4	93.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.2	40.2	81.3	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	47.8	46.3	94.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.2	39.0	83.2	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	46.3	83.0	-9.6	3%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	46.0	82.8	-9.2	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	46.6	83.3	-9.9	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	47.8	84.6	-11.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	45.2	77.2	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	36.6	47.2	83.8	-10.6	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	40.2	77.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

BA CoE wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/16	BA CoE v Ballarat	79-97
01/08/15	Ballarat v BA CoE	101-84

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	98-79
29/07/17	A	Frankston	89-82
22/07/17	A	Bendigo	80-94
16/07/17	H	Dandenong	100-87
14/07/17	A	Albury	93-104
07/07/17	H	Geelong	107-84
01/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	75-100
24/06/17	H	Canberra	104-70
18/06/17	A	Southern Sabres	92-86
17/06/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-76

BA CoElast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/07/17	H	Dandenong	58-81
23/07/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	65-83
22/07/17	A	Southern Sabres	72-95
16/07/17	H	Mt Gambier	63-94
30/06/17	H	Canberra	77-81
16/06/17	H	NW Tasmania	73-90
02/06/17	A	Canberra	88-86
26/05/17	H	Frankston	77-86
21/05/17	H	Albury	90-98
12/05/17	H	Hobart Chargers	86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WLLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	91%	42%
Points / game	88.7	94.3	83.5
Allowed / game	84.3	82.3	86.2
Point differential	+4.3	+12.0	-2.8
Avg total	173.0	176.5	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	64%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BA CoE

SEABL 2017

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	13%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	13%	12%	14%
Points / game	74.7	75.6	73.7
Allowed / game	89.1	88.0	90.4
Point differential	-14.4	-12.4	-16.7
Avg total	163.9	163.6	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	23	20	3	87%	93.0	79.5	+13.4
2	Nunawading	24	17	7	71%	88.5	81.8	+6.8
3	Dandenong	23	16	7	70%	82.5	78.3	+4.2
4	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	88.2	81.5	+6.7
5	Hobart Chargers	23	15	8	65%	94.0	81.2	+12.8
6	Ballarat	23	15	8	65%	88.7	84.3	+4.3
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	82.6	83.1	-0.5
8	Kilsyth	23	11	12	48%	79.9	80.7	-0.9
9	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	83.6	84.0	-0.4
10	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	23	7	16	30%	80.9	87.8	-6.9
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	BA CoE	15	2	13	13%	74.7	89.1	-14.4
15	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	26	23	21	17	87
BA CoE	16	13	22	25	76

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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