Ballarat vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 107-84

25-22 37-18 23-28 22-16

Position#5

Record11-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game82.9

Ballarat 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record11-7

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game81.7

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Ballarat v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

82-92

-10

A13/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

86-55

+31

A20/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

81-76

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

99-83

+16

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

78-85

-7

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

87-95

-8

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

81-76

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

92-86

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

104-70

104

+34

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-100

100

-25

A01/07

SEABL

19-20

18-24

20-19

25-29

23-24

25-14

19-9

19-8

17-16

32-26

18-11

14-23

27-27

24-19

25-16

23-21

20-34

21-18

20-17

17-16

17-33

20-24

26-15

24-23

19-20

25-21

14-15

23-20

29-20

21-16

24-29

18-21

32-18

25-14

24-14

23-24

27-25

11-35

19-13

18-27

168.3Avg total

86.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	86.6	82.9	169.5	+3.6	65%
Season at home (8)	91.5	81.9	173.4	+9.6	88%
Season away (9)	82.2	83.9	166.1	-1.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	81.8	168.3	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	85.4	173.2	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	81.4	90.5	171.9	-9.1	12%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	89.1	94.9	184.0	-5.7	29%
vs Weaker (15)	93.3	82.8	176.1	+10.5	80%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

83-77

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

87-92

-5

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

102-94

102

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

79-73

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-77

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

72-95

-23

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

88-93

-5

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-85

A01/07

SEABL

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

32-23

21-22

16-14

14-18

24-27

25-19

17-22

21-24

29-26

34-24

17-31

22-13

18-24

22-18

14-13

25-18

29-19

21-24

15-16

17-18

14-23

13-17

26-31

19-24

27-41

21-35

19-6

27-22

18-23

12-22

31-29

27-19

26-15

24-15

15-30

27-25

174.7Avg total

88.0Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.8	81.7	168.4	+5.1	61%
Season at home (7)	84.3	77.4	161.7	+6.9	57%
Season away (11)	88.4	84.4	172.7	+4.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	86.7	174.7	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	90.8	176.4	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.8	93.8	179.6	-8.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	80.0	78.5	158.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (21)	90.2	81.0	171.2	+9.1	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	23.7	47.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.7	24.2	48.9	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.1	23.3	46.4	-0.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.2	48.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	25.0	44.1	-5.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.9	21.9	44.7	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	26.7	23.9	50.5	+2.8	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.8	43.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.8	47.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	29.8	50.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.8	20.5	37.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (21)	24.3	20.4	44.8	+3.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	22.2	45.8	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	23.5	43.4	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	24.5	45.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.3	25.9	46.1	-5.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	20.7	43.3	+1.8	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	21.2	44.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	23.0	39.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	24.2	19.7	43.9	+4.6	76%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

37-44

-7

A13/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

48-38

+10

A20/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

49-42

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

51-46

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-52

-11

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-57

-20

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

44-41

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

50-36

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

57-32

+25

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-60

-22

A01/07

SEABL

90.0Avg total

45.2Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	46.6	91.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	48.2	46.5	94.7	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.9	46.8	89.7	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	44.8	90.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	45.2	90.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.6	49.5	89.1	-9.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.1	47.7	90.9	-4.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	49.2	44.6	93.8	+4.6	67%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

53-45

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

49-46

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

63-50

+13

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

50-43

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

27-40

-13

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-76

-28

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-45

-15

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

50-30

+20

A01/07

SEABL

90.4Avg total

45.4Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	42.2	87.4	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	41.3	86.8	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	43.0	87.9	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	45.0	90.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.8	87.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	52.8	90.0	-15.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (21)	48.6	40.1	88.7	+8.5	90%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.3	40.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	18.8	43.4	+5.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	21.1	42.8	+0.5	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.0	20.8	41.7	+0.2	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	40.3	83.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	37.9	82.7	+6.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.7	42.2	84.9	+0.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.0	78.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.2	82.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	44.6	44.1	88.7	+0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.1	38.2	82.3	+5.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	40.6	83.6	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	41.0	84.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.7	84.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	44.0	88.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	48.6	41.0	89.6	+7.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	42.8	38.5	81.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.6	41.0	82.6	+0.7	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/17	Geelong v Ballarat	100-76
02/07/16	Ballarat v Geelong	78-91
08/07/15	Ballarat v Geelong	77-93
11/04/15	Geelong v Ballarat	87-89

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	75-100
24/06/17	H	Canberra	104-70
18/06/17	A	Southern Sabres	92-86
17/06/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-76
04/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	87-95
02/06/17	A	NW Tasmania	78-85
27/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	99-83
21/05/17	H	Kilsyth	81-76
20/05/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	86-55
13/05/17	A	Nunawading	82-92

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/07/17	A	NW Tasmania	92-85
30/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	88-93
23/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	94-104
17/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	72-95
04/06/17	A	Kilsyth	82-77
03/06/17	A	Nunawading	79-73
27/05/17	A	Canberra	102-94
26/05/17	H	NW Tasmania	87-92
20/05/17	H	Bendigo	83-77
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WLLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	65%	88%	44%
Points / game	86.6	91.5	82.2
Allowed / game	82.9	81.9	83.9
Point differential	+3.6	+9.6	-1.7
Avg total	169.5	173.4	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	61%
Home	LWWLL	57%
Away	WWLLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	7	11
Win %	61%	57%	64%
Points / game	86.8	84.3	88.4
Allowed / game	81.7	77.4	84.4
Point differential	+5.1	+6.9	+4.0
Avg total	168.4	161.7	172.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	43%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	16	14	2	88%	90.4	79.6	+10.8
2	Nunawading	18	14	4	78%	90.6	81.6	+8.9
3	Hobart Chargers	16	11	5	69%	97.0	82.1	+14.9
4	Ballarat	17	11	6	65%	86.6	82.9	+3.6
5	Dandenong	17	11	6	65%	81.8	78.7	+3.1
6	Geelong	18	11	7	61%	86.8	81.7	+5.1
7	Bendigo	18	9	9	50%	85.7	84.5	+1.2
8	Southern Sabres	18	9	9	50%	82.8	83.4	-0.7
9	NW Tasmania	17	8	9	47%	81.1	82.8	-1.8
10	Albury	18	8	10	44%	92.0	93.3	-1.3
11	Kilsyth	18	8	10	44%	78.9	81.1	-2.2
12	Frankston	18	5	13	28%	79.5	88.1	-8.6
13	Melbourne Tigers	17	4	13	24%	75.8	89.9	-14.1
14	BA CoE	11	2	9	18%	78.5	89.5	-11.0
15	Canberra	17	2	15	12%	78.6	89.1	-10.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	25	37	23	22	107
Geelong	22	18	28	16	84

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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