Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 100-87

25-23 20-19 30-23 25-22

Position#5

Record12-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game84.1

Ballarat 🏆

Dandenong

Position#2

Record13-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game77.9

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Ballarat v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

81-76

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

99-83

+16

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

78-85

-7

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

87-95

-8

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

81-76

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

92-86

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

104-70

104

+34

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-100

100

-25

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

107-84

107

+23

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

93-104

104

-11

A14/07

SEABL

17-16

32-26

18-11

14-23

27-27

24-19

25-16

23-21

20-34

21-18

20-17

17-16

17-33

20-24

26-15

24-23

19-20

25-21

14-15

23-20

29-20

21-16

24-29

18-21

32-18

25-14

24-14

23-24

27-25

11-35

19-13

18-27

25-22

37-18

23-28

22-16

20-19

30-25

24-24

19-36

175.6Avg total

89.7Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	88.0	84.1	172.1	+3.9	63%
Season at home (9)	93.2	82.1	175.3	+11.1	89%
Season away (10)	83.3	85.9	169.2	-2.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	85.9	175.6	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	88.8	183.0	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.1	90.6	171.7	-9.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	91.1	92.0	183.1	-0.9	43%
vs Weaker (16)	93.3	84.1	177.4	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

90-74

+16

A13/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

82-117

117

-35

A19/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

79-72

A20/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

83-84

-1

H27/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

85-64

+21

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

82-67

+15

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

91-77

+14

H18/06

SEABL

Bendigo

98-78

+20

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

74-67

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

87-75

+12

H15/07

SEABL

23-19

25-23

19-13

23-19

14-32

21-27

25-30

22-28

20-16

15-21

18-19

26-16

26-27

17-22

20-19

20-16

24-19

19-14

24-21

18-10

25-13

18-17

20-19

19-18

21-20

19-19

28-23

23-15

22-30

31-16

23-15

22-17

20-10

20-24

12-25

22-8

19-23

24-20

17-17

27-15

162.6Avg total

85.1Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	81.6	77.9	159.5	+3.7	68%
Season at home (10)	83.8	74.6	158.4	+9.2	80%
Season away (9)	79.2	81.6	160.8	-2.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	77.5	162.6	+7.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	72.8	159.2	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	84.5	88.0	172.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	80.9	83.9	164.8	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker (16)	85.9	76.8	162.6	+9.1	75%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.6	47.5	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.7	24.1	48.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	23.2	46.4	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	20.8	47.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	26.0	44.9	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	26.2	23.6	49.8	+2.7	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	21.9	46.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	23.9	44.4	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	24.6	45.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.4	26.0	48.4	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	41.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	56%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

49-42

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

51-46

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-52

-11

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-57

-20

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

44-41

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

50-36

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

57-32

+25

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-60

-22

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

62-40

+22

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

50-44

A14/07

SEABL

92.9Avg total

47.9Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	46.6	92.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.2	46.0	95.2	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	47.2	90.9	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	45.0	92.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	42.4	93.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.7	50.6	90.3	-10.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	46.0	47.4	93.4	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	49.2	44.6	93.8	+4.7	69%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

48-42

A13/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

35-59

-24

A19/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

35-37

-2

A20/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-49

-6

H27/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

43-33

+10

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

43-30

+13

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

40-39

H18/06

SEABL

Bendigo

53-46

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

40-34

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

43-43

H15/07

SEABL

83.5Avg total

42.3Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.1	83.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	40.8	84.0	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.2	83.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.4	82.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	44.0	84.7	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.1	40.8	83.9	+2.2	69%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.5	41.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.8	41.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.3	22.4	44.7	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.2	38.7	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.4	41.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	0%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.4	17.9	39.2	+3.5	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.4	43.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	16.2	38.4	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.6	37.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.2	21.7	44.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.8	84.5	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	38.4	83.1	+6.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	43.0	85.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.9	82.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	46.4	89.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	45.1	44.6	89.7	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	44.1	39.6	83.6	+4.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	37.2	78.9	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	42.8	85.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	36.3	79.1	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	34.4	77.0	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.8	44.0	87.8	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.9	44.5	83.4	-5.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.8	35.9	78.8	+6.9	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/17	Dandenong v Ballarat	79-95
05/06/16	Dandenong v Ballarat	104-93 OT
14/05/16	Ballarat v Dandenong	94-92
22/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	91-85
02/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	80-97
23/05/15	Ballarat v Dandenong	90-101

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/17	A	Albury	93-104
07/07/17	H	Geelong	107-84
01/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	75-100
24/06/17	H	Canberra	104-70
18/06/17	A	Southern Sabres	92-86
17/06/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-76
04/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	87-95
02/06/17	A	NW Tasmania	78-85
27/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	99-83
21/05/17	H	Kilsyth	81-76

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/17	H	Nunawading	87-75
07/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	74-67
01/07/17	H	Bendigo	98-78
18/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	91-77
04/06/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	82-67
03/06/17	H	Kilsyth	85-64
27/05/17	H	Southern Sabres	83-84
20/05/17	A	NW Tasmania	79-72
19/05/17	A	Hobart Chargers	82-117
13/05/17	A	Albury	90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	63%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	63%	89%	40%
Points / game	88.0	93.2	83.3
Allowed / game	84.1	82.1	85.9
Point differential	+3.9	+11.1	-2.6
Avg total	172.1	175.3	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	56%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	LWLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	68%	80%	56%
Points / game	81.6	83.8	79.2
Allowed / game	77.9	74.6	81.6
Point differential	+3.7	+9.2	-2.3
Avg total	159.5	158.4	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	60%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	19	17	2	89%	91.9	78.3	+13.6
2	Nunawading	20	14	6	70%	89.3	82.4	+6.9
3	Dandenong	19	13	6	68%	81.6	77.9	+3.7
4	Hobart Chargers	19	12	7	63%	94.1	80.9	+13.2
5	Ballarat	19	12	7	63%	88.0	84.1	+3.9
6	Geelong	21	13	8	62%	86.9	81.5	+5.4
7	NW Tasmania	20	10	10	50%	80.8	82.8	-2.0
8	Bendigo	21	10	11	48%	87.4	86.5	+1.0
9	Albury	20	9	11	45%	92.0	93.0	-1.0
10	Southern Sabres	20	9	11	45%	82.2	84.0	-1.9
11	Kilsyth	21	9	12	43%	78.6	80.8	-2.2
12	Frankston	21	7	14	33%	80.7	87.6	-7.0
13	Melbourne Tigers	19	5	14	26%	76.0	89.9	-13.9
14	BA CoE	12	2	10	17%	77.2	89.8	-12.7
15	Canberra	19	3	16	16%	79.8	91.3	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	25	20	30	25	100
Dandenong	23	19	23	22	87

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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