Southern Sabres vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jun 2017

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 86-92

20-29 16-21 29-24 21-18

Position#10

Record7-8

FormWWLWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game82.3

Southern Sabres

Ballarat 🏆

Position#5

Record9-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game82.4

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Southern Sabres v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

70-63

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

84-80

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-89

-8

H06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

89-72

+17

H13/05

SEABL

Nunawading

80-107

107

-27

A20/05

SEABL

Dandenong

84-83

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

97-67

+30

H28/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

70-85

-15

A02/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

80-71

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

87-92

-5

A17/06

SEABL

11-13

26-15

11-15

22-20

22-21

18-22

19-15

25-22

19-23

15-19

30-31

17-16

30-19

23-17

20-19

16-17

17-29

25-28

25-26

13-24

27-26

22-17

19-20

16-20

24-13

17-20

27-20

29-14

22-27

12-17

24-23

12-18

24-20

24-16

14-18

18-17

26-24

18-20

30-28

13-20

163.1Avg total

82.2Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.9	82.3	162.1	-2.4	47%
Season at home (6)	82.3	76.2	158.5	+6.2	67%
Season away (9)	78.2	86.3	164.6	-8.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	80.9	163.1	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	79.6	163.2	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	78.6	89.8	168.4	-11.2	33%
vs Similar (11)	81.0	80.9	161.9	+0.1	55%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	71.2	156.0	+13.5	75%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

87-73

+14

H29/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

102-92

102

+10

H06/05

SEABL

Dandenong

95-79

+16

A07/05

SEABL

Nunawading

82-92

-10

A13/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

86-55

+31

A20/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

81-76

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

99-83

+16

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

78-85

-7

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

87-95

-8

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

81-76

H17/06

SEABL

26-26

21-21

18-13

22-13

27-27

18-24

26-6

31-35

26-11

15-25

28-25

26-18

19-20

18-24

20-19

25-29

23-24

25-14

19-9

19-8

17-16

32-26

18-11

14-23

27-27

24-19

25-16

23-21

20-34

21-18

20-17

17-16

17-33

20-24

26-15

24-23

19-20

25-21

14-15

23-20

168.4Avg total

87.8Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	85.8	82.4	168.2	+3.4	64%
Season at home (7)	89.7	83.6	173.3	+6.1	86%
Season away (7)	81.9	81.3	163.1	+0.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	80.6	168.4	+7.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	83.0	168.2	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	83.6	88.6	172.2	-5.0	25%
vs Similar (8)	90.0	94.0	184.0	-4.0	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	93.1	83.0	176.1	+10.1	79%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Southern SabresBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.6	40.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.0	46.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	23.5	43.2	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.6	47.6	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	23.9	49.3	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.8	45.9	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	26.1	24.1	50.3	+2.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-0.9	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.6	46.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	23.6	44.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	20.9	44.1	+2.2	50%	-

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

37-28

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

40-43

-3

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-42

-8

H06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

53-36

+17

H13/05

SEABL

Nunawading

42-57

-15

A20/05

SEABL

Dandenong

49-43

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

41-33

H28/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-44

-10

A02/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

48-36

+12

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

44-44

A17/06

SEABL

82.8Avg total

42.2Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.1	81.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	41.3	83.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.6	82.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.7	44.3	84.0	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	34.5	75.5	+6.5	75%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

47-47

H29/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

45-51

-6

H06/05

SEABL

Dandenong

41-36

A07/05

SEABL

Nunawading

37-44

-7

A13/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

48-38

+10

A20/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

49-42

H21/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

51-46

H27/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-52

-11

A02/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-57

-20

A04/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

44-41

H17/06

SEABL

89.4Avg total

44.0Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	45.8	91.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.3	45.1	94.3	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	46.6	89.4	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	45.4	89.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	47.6	92.0	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.6	47.0	88.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.8	46.0	90.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	49.3	45.1	94.4	+4.2	64%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	14.6	36.0	+6.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	23.1	43.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.9	17.6	38.4	+3.3	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.2	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	22.3	40.2	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	20.5	40.4	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.1	43.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.0	83.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	44.9	82.9	-7.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.9	45.5	84.4	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.8	36.8	80.5	+7.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	40.9	84.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	40.0	83.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	41.8	84.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	35.2	79.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.4	76.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.0	45.4	89.4	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.8	37.9	81.7	+5.9	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Southern Sabres wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
01/07/16	Southern Sabres v Ballarat	100-93
16/04/16	Ballarat v Southern Sabres	87-90
20/06/15	Southern Sabres v Ballarat	79-90

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/06/17	A	Kilsyth	87-92
04/06/17	H	Frankston	80-71
02/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	70-85
28/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	97-67
27/05/17	A	Dandenong	84-83
20/05/17	A	Nunawading	80-107
13/05/17	H	Kilsyth	89-72
06/05/17	H	Mt Gambier	81-89
29/04/17	H	Geelong	84-80
22/04/17	A	NW Tasmania	70-63

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/06/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-76
04/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	87-95
02/06/17	A	NW Tasmania	78-85
27/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	99-83
21/05/17	H	Kilsyth	81-76
20/05/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	86-55
13/05/17	A	Nunawading	82-92
07/05/17	A	Dandenong	95-79
06/05/17	H	Albury	102-92
29/04/17	H	Bendigo	87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	47%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	6	9
Win %	47%	67%	33%
Points / game	79.9	82.3	78.2
Allowed / game	82.3	76.2	86.3
Point differential	-2.4	+6.2	-8.1
Avg total	162.1	158.5	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	64%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	86%	43%
Points / game	85.8	89.7	81.9
Allowed / game	82.4	83.6	81.3
Point differential	+3.4	+6.1	+0.6
Avg total	168.2	173.3	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	14	12	2	86%	88.8	78.9	+9.9
2	Nunawading	16	13	3	81%	90.0	80.8	+9.2
3	Geelong	15	10	5	67%	85.9	79.2	+6.7
4	Hobart Chargers	14	9	5	64%	96.1	81.6	+14.5
5	Ballarat	14	9	5	64%	85.8	82.4	+3.4
6	Dandenong	16	10	6	62%	80.8	78.8	+2.0
7	Albury	14	8	6	57%	93.9	90.3	+3.6
8	Bendigo	16	9	7	56%	86.2	82.9	+3.3
9	NW Tasmania	15	7	8	47%	80.3	82.0	-1.7
10	Southern Sabres	15	7	8	47%	79.9	82.3	-2.4
11	Kilsyth	16	6	10	38%	76.8	81.4	-4.6
12	Frankston	15	3	12	20%	78.9	89.6	-10.7
13	BA CoE	10	2	8	20%	78.6	90.3	-11.7
14	Melbourne Tigers	15	3	12	20%	75.8	91.4	-15.6
15	Canberra	13	1	12	8%	79.5	88.8	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Southern Sabres	20	16	29	21	86
Ballarat	29	21	24	18	92

← all games of the day

Southern Sabres vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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