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Ballarat W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 89-79
24-18 22-17 18-25 25-19
Position#9
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#11
Record6-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game80.6
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 11
Women2022
Meetings · Ballarat W v Keilor Thunder W
11 Jul 2025
BALL87
KEIL80
09 Jul 2022
BALL89
KEIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#14
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
93-48
93
48
+45
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-15
13-9
22-16
18-26
23-22
23-18
9-19
28-22
8-12
19-18
27-18
25-15
21-20
15-16
16-12
26-26
15-22
16-13
18-24
20-24
9-26
14-15
29-12
31-14
20-17
19-15
17-17
20-10
27-19
25-9
21-10
22-21
8-10
13-11
14-12
20-17
21-23
10-16
18-13
144.9Avg total
76.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.970.8146.7+5.157%
Season at home (6)74.370.0144.3+4.367%
Season away (8)77.171.4148.5+5.850%
Last 10 (10)76.668.3144.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)78.065.2143.2+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.477.0142.4-11.621%
vs Similar (6)70.574.2144.7-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.765.9145.6+13.880%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
22-19
12-21
30-27
14-17
20-23
16-20
10-33
30-20
13-20
23-15
19-22
19-28
14-24
16-15
16-16
26-26
22-15
13-16
24-18
15-15
29-20
19-18
21-24
22-18
12-14
22-26
16-20
14-28
15-18
13-15
19-13
27-18
17-22
19-16
28-20
12-21
24-28
24-17
25-14
158.9Avg total
77.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.180.6155.7-5.546%
Season at home (7)77.480.7158.1-3.357%
Season away (6)72.380.5152.8-8.233%
Last 10 (10)77.581.4158.9-3.950%
Last 5 (5)78.677.0155.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.186.4156.6-16.314%
vs Similar (2)84.578.5163.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (4)79.071.5150.5+7.575%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Ballarat WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
77.1Avg total
39.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.374.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.538.473.9-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.274.8-1.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.577.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.275.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.539.372.8-5.829%-
vs Similar (6)34.741.876.5-7.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.534.875.3+5.770%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)38.344.082.3-5.738%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.141.180.3-2.057%-
Last 30 away (6)37.347.384.7-10.017%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.448.385.7-10.914%-
vs Similar (2)40.042.082.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)39.037.576.5+1.575%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ballarat W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
28/05/22Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W85-75
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/22AKnox W81-84 OT
25/06/22HRingwood W57-54
19/06/22ADandenong Rangers W93-48
18/06/22HHobart Chargers W87-63
04/06/22AGeelong W72-77
28/05/22AKeilor Thunder W75-85
22/05/22AWaverley W77-63
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers W82-70
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers W73-85
14/05/22AKilsyth W69-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/22HKilsyth W85-80
26/06/22HHobart Chargers W91-76
18/06/22ARingwood W61-74
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers W72-78
29/05/22AWaverley W84-77
28/05/22HBallarat W85-75
22/05/22ANunawading W65-83
21/05/22HDandenong Rangers W85-77
15/05/22HMt. Gambier W60-93
07/05/22AGeelong W87-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.974.377.1
Allowed / game70.870.071.4
Point differential+5.1+4.3+5.8
Avg total146.7144.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game75.177.472.3
Allowed / game80.680.780.5
Point differential-5.5-3.3-8.2
Avg total155.7158.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%86.570.4+16.1
2 Mt. Gambier W1311285%76.265.2+11.1
3 Ringwood W1411379%72.659.6+13.0
4 Nunawading W1511473%79.967.3+12.5
5 Geelong W1410471%82.874.5+8.3
6 Launceston W139469%83.273.4+9.8
7 Knox W159660%74.761.6+13.1
8 Casey Cavaliers W148657%79.473.9+5.6
9 Ballarat W148657%75.970.8+5.1
10 Waverley W137654%74.279.7-5.5
11 Keilor Thunder W136746%75.180.6-5.5
12 Kilsyth W146843%67.871.2-3.4
13 Sandringham W146843%73.677.4-3.9
14 Eltham W135838%74.978.5-3.5
15 Frankston W1441029%68.473.7-5.4
16 Melbourne Tigers W1331023%56.072.2-16.2
17 Dandenong Rangers W1431121%68.784.4-15.7
18 Hobart Chargers W141137%60.979.8-18.9
19 Diamond Valley W141137%62.381.4-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat W2422182589
Keilor Thunder W1817251979
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