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Bamberg vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-68
16-14 23-22 27-15 17-17
Position#5
Record5-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game72.2
Bamberg 🏆
vs
Position#42
Record0-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bamberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 81
H19/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 81
A23/12
Champions League
Bayern
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 81
A27/12
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 81
H30/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
80avg 81
H03/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 81
A06/01
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 81
A08/01
BBL
Bilbao
#26
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 81
H12/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A16/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 81
H24/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
13-21
24-7
29-18
15-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
24-23
17-23
10-22
19-16
22-18
17-20
15-18
13-17
17-19
26-15
16-30
19-21
19-18
16-16
18-17
21-16
19-20
17-19
23-26
23-25
17-21
20-17
28-14
25-23
20-26
19-23
16-17
20-17
23-29
24-18
27-16
24-21
156.7Avg total
79.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.272.2157.4+13.0100%
Season at home (2)86.578.5165.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)84.368.0152.3+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.879.8163.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.788.7164.4-13.014%
vs Similar (12)78.881.2159.9-2.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.378.8171.1+13.591%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#26
L
64-69
64
69
-5
53avg 66
H08/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 66
A12/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 66
H20/12
Lega A
Bilbao
#26
L
54-82
54
82
-28
46avg 66
A23/12
Champions League
Venezia
#4
W
76-72
76
72
+4
72avg 66
H27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 66
A02/01
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 66
A05/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
64avg 66
H10/01
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
65-78
65
78
-13
63avg 66
H12/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
23-20
5-17
18-17
21-15
13-19
23-20
21-16
20-15
15-20
23-19
11-25
22-16
17-17
22-23
24-15
18-19
10-22
11-22
15-19
25-14
12-15
10-24
29-19
16-19
26-22
24-10
14-16
17-19
14-22
18-16
20-23
24-15
15-24
14-20
16-23
20-20
13-25
13-12
19-21
145.9Avg total
70.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.081.8144.8-18.80%
Season at home (3)64.082.3146.3-18.30%
Season away (2)61.581.0142.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)70.975.0145.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)71.875.8147.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.583.6155.1-12.121%
vs Similar (12)81.182.2163.3-1.233%
vs Weaker (4)85.078.2163.2+6.875%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
BambergFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H19/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/12
Champions League
Bayern
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H03/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A06/01
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
BBL
Bilbao
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/01
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A16/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H24/01
BBL
78.1Avg total
37.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.184.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.540.281.8+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)43.243.386.4-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.478.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.480.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.745.184.9-5.443%-
vs Similar (12)40.244.284.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.837.884.6+9.064%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#26
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H20/12
Lega A
Bilbao
#26
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A23/12
Champions League
Venezia
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/01
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A05/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/01
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/01
Champions League
73.2Avg total
35.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.479.5-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.941.183.0+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.839.775.5-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.373.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.075.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.940.278.1-2.450%-
vs Similar (12)40.440.280.7+0.242%-
vs Weaker (4)39.241.881.0-2.525%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.7
57.5%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.012.4
82.7%
73.2%12.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.3
28.9%
35.4%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
73.2%12.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bamberg
WLWLWLLLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
LLLWWLWLWL
#5
League position
#42
+1.4
Net rating
-6.3
111.8
Offensive rating
97.4
110.4
Defensive rating
103.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.8%
3-point %
28.9%
66.2%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 97.4Defence110.4 · 103.7Shooting54.4% · 48.4%3-point %33.8% · 28.9%Ball care19.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bamberg   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bamberg wins
0
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
27/10/20Fortitudo Bologna v Bamberg63-100
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig98-84
16/01/21ALudwigsburg75-83
12/01/21HBilbao90-75
08/01/21AVechta82-90
06/01/21AUlm74-67
03/01/21HOldenburg78-85
30/12/20HBayreuth67-73
27/12/20ABayern70-84
23/12/20AKarsiyaka76-70
19/12/20HBonn80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/21HKarsiyaka65-78
10/01/21HTrieste69-82
05/01/21AKarsiyaka69-80
02/01/21ACantu80-67
27/12/20HVenezia76-72
23/12/20ABilbao54-82
20/12/20HCremona85-71
16/12/20AReggiana69-79
12/12/20APesaro78-70
08/12/20HBilbao64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bamberg
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.286.584.3
Allowed / game72.278.568.0
Point differential+13.0+8.0+16.3
Avg total157.4165.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Champions League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.064.061.5
Allowed / game81.882.381.0
Point differential-18.8-18.3-19.5
Avg total144.8146.3142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg550100%85.272.2+13.0
2 Basket Zaragoza65183%87.884.0+3.8
3 Turk Telekom65183%81.279.5+1.7
4 San Pablo Burgos54180%90.676.8+13.8
5 Brindisi54180%87.083.6+3.4
6 Nymburk64267%91.078.8+12.2
7 Tofas64267%88.280.3+7.8
8 Tenerife64267%92.084.5+7.5
9 Nizhny Novgorod64267%82.777.2+5.5
10 Strasbourg64267%82.077.7+4.3
11 VEF Riga64267%80.376.2+4.2
12 Hapoel Holon64267%79.875.8+4.0
13 AEK Athens64267%85.782.0+3.7
14 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
15 Sassari64267%87.388.2-0.8
16 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
17 Igokea85362%76.176.1+0.0
18 Karsiyaka53260%78.273.0+5.2
19 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
20 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
21 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
23 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Bilbao52340%73.873.2+0.6
26 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
27 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
31 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
32 Darussafaka51420%76.885.4-8.6
33 Oostende51420%81.490.0-8.6
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna5050%63.081.8-18.8
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bamberg1623271783
Fortitudo Bologna1422151768
← all games of the day
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