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Bamberg vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-86
21-23 16-21 27-17 29-25
Position#13
Record6-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.6
Bamberg 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2017
Meetings · Bamberg v Zalgiris Kaunas
16 Jan 2018
BAM93
ZAL86
24 Feb 2017
BAM86
ZAL91
08 Jan 2016
BAM96
ZAL63
19 Dec 2013
BAM80
ZAL84
14 Feb 2013
BAM87
ZAL88
15 Dec 2011
BAM68
ZAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bamberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#14
W
103-66
103
66
+37
H26/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A29/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A02/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#8
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H05/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H07/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A11/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
17-26
18-18
17-7
17-24
26-20
15-19
16-18
22-21
27-29
23-22
12-16
13-29
22-21
16-18
15-13
30-8
28-24
24-10
21-24
18-15
20-14
10-15
10-25
21-9
15-29
19-23
20-24
26-26
16-14
16-16
12-18
21-21
19-17
25-15
15-24
25-20
16-19
23-26
24-25
154.1Avg total
76.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.879.6153.4-5.835%
Season at home (9)72.479.4151.9-7.044%
Season away (8)75.479.8155.1-4.425%
Last 10 (10)76.577.6154.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)74.279.0153.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.581.0154.5-7.523%
vs Similar (10)74.977.6152.5-2.740%
vs Weaker (7)87.369.1156.4+18.1100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A21/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/01
LKL
Unicaja
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H12/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
12-12
23-16
27-22
21-22
29-27
22-23
16-12
19-16
15-20
20-10
17-17
20-15
14-14
16-13
22-18
22-19
14-19
12-15
26-15
19-21
16-11
19-17
24-25
18-16
13-17
14-15
20-29
23-15
23-22
26-10
22-21
17-19
15-21
20-15
27-22
25-20
21-15
15-22
20-22
151.1Avg total
79.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.179.7159.8+0.465%
Season at home (8)79.180.8159.9-1.675%
Season away (9)80.978.8159.7+2.156%
Last 10 (10)79.172.0151.1+7.190%
Last 5 (5)79.475.0154.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.590.5169.0-12.00%
vs Similar (6)79.881.3161.2-1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.370.1151.5+11.286%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
BambergZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#14
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H26/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A02/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/01
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
41.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.277.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.737.977.6+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.138.777.8+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.081.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.242.880.1-5.623%-
vs Similar (10)38.635.674.2+3.060%-
vs Weaker (7)44.733.478.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/01
LKL
Unicaja
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
LKL
74.4Avg total
38.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.776.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.278.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.735.273.9+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.174.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.842.078.8-5.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.034.575.5+6.677%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.0
43.5%
51.7%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.7
39.9%
37.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.613.6
81.9%
76.3%13.6
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.0
53.1%
51.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.67.1
40.3%
37.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
76.3%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bamberg
LWLLLWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWWWWW
#13
League position
#4
-10.3
Net rating
+0.3
104.0
Offensive rating
112.8
114.3
Defensive rating
112.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
40.3%
55.5%
Assist %
67.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 112.8Defence114.3 · 112.5Shooting49.6% · 55.3%3-point %39.9% · 40.3%Ball care16.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds22.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Bamberg   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bamberg wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-90
07/01/18HUlm80-77
05/01/18HKhimki M.70-74
02/01/18ABayreuth75-85
29/12/17AAnadolu Efes58-69
26/12/17HMitteldeutscher103-66
21/12/17HReal Madrid66-81
19/12/17AZalgiris Kaunas84-88
17/12/17AOldenburg74-81
14/12/17HOlympiacos67-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/18AJuventus81-79
12/01/18HUnicaja79-77
07/01/18HNevezis94-68
05/01/18ACrvena zvezda65-77
30/12/17AJuventus78-74
28/12/17HOlympiacos74-68
23/12/17HAlytaus Dzukija72-60
21/12/17AValencia71-63
19/12/17HBamberg88-84
16/12/17ASkycop89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bamberg
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game73.872.475.4
Allowed / game79.679.479.8
Point differential-5.8-7.0-4.4
Avg total153.4151.9155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game80.179.180.9
Allowed / game79.780.878.8
Point differential+0.4-1.6+2.1
Avg total159.8159.9159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1713476%89.179.1+10.1
2 Panathinaikos1712571%78.875.6+3.1
3 Olympiacos1712571%75.173.5+1.6
4 Fenerbahce1711665%80.173.6+6.5
5 Real Madrid1711665%85.679.2+6.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1711665%80.179.7+0.4
7 Khimki M.1810856%77.379.2-1.9
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.482.0-1.6
9 Baskonia178947%81.179.9+1.2
10 Unicaja1771041%77.080.6-3.6
11 Crvena zvezda1871139%77.281.7-4.6
12 Barcelona1761135%80.678.8+1.8
13 Bamberg1761135%73.879.6-5.8
14 Valencia1751229%76.179.4-3.3
15 Anadolu Efes1751229%78.182.0-3.9
16 Olimpia Milano1741324%79.485.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bamberg2116272993
Zalgiris Kaunas2321172586
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