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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Bamberg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-72
18-22 29-17 24-16 15-17
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2016
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Bamberg
19 Dec 2017
ZAL88
BAM84
24 Nov 2016
ZAL86
BAM72
04 Mar 2016
ZAL75
BAM73
14 Nov 2013
ZAL91
BAM81
04 Apr 2013
ZAL90
BAM81
10 Nov 2011
ZAL81
BAM70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bamberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
93avg 108
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
74-87
74
87
-13
108avg 108
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
108avg 108
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
116avg 108
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
no box
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
120avg 108
H16/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
112avg 108
A18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H21/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
13-16
19-19
12-19
16-21
16-22
25-21
17-23
27-10
17-17
9-18
28-23
25-15
10-11
21-35
24-22
20-17
28-22
20-18
22-9
12-16
23-20
24-29
27-27
14-15
25-14
11-17
13-9
20-20
29-17
20-14
18-24
21-19
20-21
28-27
17-28
29-24
21-17
22-21
26-22
160.0Avg total
81.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.483.9163.2-4.525%
Season at home (4)79.879.5159.2+0.250%
Season away (4)79.088.2167.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)81.378.7160.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.088.5165.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.481.4162.8+0.040%
vs Weaker (23)82.669.8152.3+12.887%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
104avg 102
H26/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
97avg 102
A28/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
60-48
60
48
+12
no box
A30/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
106-102 OT
106
102
+4
no box
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H06/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
99avg 102
A10/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A12/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
104avg 102
H15/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
101avg 102
A17/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A20/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
22-22
26-20
20-22
19-19
19-21
19-19
17-19
20-13
13-9
14-11
13-15
18-21
20-25
23-18
30-27
20-11
23-18
23-14
24-16
17-23
23-17
10-20
20-12
11-32
24-12
21-15
23-18
14-11
15-27
32-20
17-21
23-16
24-16
16-23
11-26
18-20
21-15
30-20
20-25
156.3Avg total
80.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.081.1161.1-1.125%
Season at home (4)89.087.8176.8+1.250%
Season away (4)71.074.5145.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)80.376.0156.3+4.350%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.777.0156.7+2.729%
vs Weaker (22)90.169.9160.0+20.2100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Zalgiris KaunasBamberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/11
LKL
77.2Avg total
41.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.577.6+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.035.078.0+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.177.2+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.277.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.679.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.635.271.8+1.440%-
vs Weaker (23)42.236.378.6+5.974%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A30/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A20/11
BBL
74.7Avg total
37.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.077.2+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.933.976.9+9.071%-
Last 30 away (13)41.236.577.7+4.846%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.874.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.337.977.1+1.429%-
vs Weaker (22)43.534.177.6+9.573%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.5
51.1%
50.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.1%
37.3%23.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
76.9%
75.6%13.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.2%
50.7%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
37.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.610.4
83.0%
75.6%10.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWLWLL
Bamberg
WLLWLWWWLL
#10
League position
#13
-6.1
Net rating
-3.0
107.0
Offensive rating
105.7
113.2
Defensive rating
108.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.1%
3-point %
40.4%
66.1%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 105.7Defence113.2 · 108.7Shooting51.1% · 54.2%3-point %34.1% · 40.4%Ball care19.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds38.2% · 19.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Bamberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Bamberg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/16HPieno Zvaigzdes98-84
18/11/16ACSKA Moscow86-95
16/11/16HGalatasaray87-75
13/11/16ASkycop63-55
10/11/16ABarcelona86-92
06/11/16AJuventus90-66
04/11/16HDarussafaka80-83
30/10/16ANevezis81-68
28/10/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
26/10/16AFenerbahce68-82
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16AAlba Berlin89-80
17/11/16ABaskonia74-81
15/11/16HCrvena zvezda78-79
12/11/16AGiessen79-77
10/11/16ADarussafaka70-72
06/11/16HBayern90-59
03/11/16HOlimpia Milano106-102 OT
30/10/16ALudwigsburg60-48
28/10/16ABarcelona74-78
26/10/16HPanathinaikos83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.479.879.0
Allowed / game83.979.588.2
Point differential-4.5+0.2-9.2
Avg total163.2159.2167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bamberg
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.089.071.0
Allowed / game81.187.874.5
Point differential-1.1+1.2-3.5
Avg total161.1176.8145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow87188%91.483.8+7.6
2 Real Madrid86275%91.180.9+10.2
3 Baskonia85362%81.577.6+3.9
4 Darussafaka85362%81.680.0+1.6
5 Fenerbahce85362%76.978.4-1.5
6 Olympiacos95456%79.377.7+1.7
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%83.282.1+1.1
8 Panathinaikos84450%80.278.9+1.4
9 Olimpia Milano84450%89.590.8-1.2
10 Barcelona84450%71.275.2-4.0
11 Anadolu Efes94544%87.689.0-1.4
12 Crvena zvezda94544%72.974.9-2.0
13 Bamberg82625%80.081.1-1.1
14 Unics Kazan82625%79.282.9-3.6
15 Zalgiris Kaunas82625%79.483.9-4.5
16 Galatasaray82625%84.592.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1829241586
Bamberg2217161772
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