PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game93.8
SpainACBRound 29· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Barcelona v Murcia
18 Apr 2027
BAR v MUR
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
BAR87
MUR90
02 Nov 2025
BAR78
MUR81
08 Dec 2024
BAR86
MUR79
20 Apr 2024
BAR97
MUR86
24 May 2023
BAR86
MUR57
19 Sep 2021
BAR85
MUR78
31 Jan 2021
BAR92
MUR63
11 Nov 2018
BAR105
MUR73
29 Oct 2017
BAR94
MUR97
05 Mar 2017
BAR73
MUR70
20 Mar 2016
BAR77
MUR71
30 Nov 2014
BAR90
MUR70
12 Jan 2014
BAR96
MUR63
14 Oct 2012
BAR87
MUR68
29 Jan 2012
BAR90
MUR53
20 Dec 2009
BAR84
MUR72
22 Jan 2009
BAR96
MUR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 84
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 84
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 84
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 84
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 84
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
182.3Avg total
91.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.095.0192.0+2.067%
Season at home (3)102.389.3191.7+13.0100%
Season away (3)91.7100.7192.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)91.590.8182.3+0.770%
Last 5 (5)93.285.8179.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.188.6180.7+3.555%
vs Weaker (12)95.986.1182.0+9.8100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
60avg 79
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 79
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 79
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 79
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 79
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 79
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 79
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 79
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
125-98
125
98
+27
no box
H31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
174.7Avg total
87.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.393.8187.2-0.550%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)87.986.8174.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)92.888.4181.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.7105.3190.0-20.70%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.493.9183.3-4.443%
vs Weaker (20)90.580.5171.1+10.085%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
BarcelonaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
87.9Avg total
43.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.486.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.884.7+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.087.5+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.587.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.142.887.9+2.355%-
vs Weaker (12)45.539.585.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
78.9Avg total
38.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.083.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.540.482.9+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.883.2-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.378.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.052.388.3-16.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.343.986.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker (20)42.938.381.2+4.670%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
75.7%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.7
32.2%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.7%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWLLWWL
Murcia
WLWLWLWWLL
#7
League position
#10
-0.3
Net rating
-1.5
104.9
Offensive rating
94.9
105.3
Defensive rating
96.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.2%
3-point %
32.2%
50.9%
Assist %
53.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 94.9Defence105.3 · 96.3Shooting58.1% · 49.4%3-point %39.2% · 32.2%Ball care14.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Barcelona wins
5
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Murcia v Barcelona100-94
06/06/26Murcia v Barcelona76-100
04/06/26Barcelona v Murcia87-90
02/06/26Murcia v Barcelona68-91
01/02/26Murcia v Barcelona84-83
02/11/25Barcelona v Murcia78-81
26/01/25Murcia v Barcelona90-95 OT
08/12/24Barcelona v Murcia86-79
20/04/24Barcelona v Murcia97-86
19/11/23Murcia v Barcelona82-73
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game97.0102.391.7
Allowed / game95.089.3100.7
Point differential+2.0+13.0-9.0
Avg total192.0191.7192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game93.397.585.0
Allowed / game93.890.8100.0
Point differential-0.5+6.8-15.0
Avg total187.2188.2185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.