Barcelona host Paris in the EuroLeague on 17 November 2026, with the model designating Barcelona as the favourite and forecasting a decisive 73% win probability for the Catalans against 27% for the French side, a projected 94-87 score and 180.6 total points. Barcelona enter the game 7-3 overall, averaging 91.0 points and conceding 88.7, while Paris sit 5-6 with 91.0 points scored and 94.1 allowed; both teams have 3-2 records in their recent five games, with Barcelona winning all five and Paris winning four of five. In recent outings Barcelona beat Breogan 99-91 at home, Hapoel Tel-Aviv 93-90 away and Unicaja 92-89 away, whereas Paris defeated Fenerbahce 111-109 at home, JL Bourg 107-77 at home and Anadolu Efes 95-90 away. Their head-to-head record is even at 2-2, the last encounter ending 85-74 in favour of Paris on 12 February 2026. The spread of -8.5 gives Barcelona a 44% chance to cover, while the over line of 184.5 carries a 40% probability, and the game carries a 4% chance of overtime. The Catalans' home points per game of 91.6 and allowed 91.2 hint that the match will be tightly contested, with Paris's recent 89.2 points per game on the road suggesting a resilient defence that could keep the game close.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 89.6 | 87.4 | 177.0 | +2.3 | 73% |
| Season at home (5) | 91.6 | 91.2 | 182.8 | +0.4 | 60% |
| Season away (6) | 88.0 | 84.2 | 172.2 | +3.8 | 83% |
| Last 10 (10) | 92.3 | 90.2 | 182.5 | +2.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.6 | 87.6 | 179.2 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 88.0 | 96.8 | 184.8 | -8.8 | 44% |
| vs Similar (11) | 91.5 | 87.5 | 179.0 | +4.1 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 95.7 | 86.2 | 181.9 | +9.5 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 91.0 | 94.1 | 185.1 | -3.1 | 45% |
| Season at home (6) | 92.5 | 96.2 | 188.7 | -3.7 | 33% |
| Season away (5) | 89.2 | 91.6 | 180.8 | -2.4 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 99.6 | 92.3 | 191.9 | +7.3 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 103.8 | 96.4 | 200.2 | +7.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 86.3 | 94.0 | 180.3 | -7.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (11) | 95.6 | 96.1 | 191.7 | -0.5 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 92.8 | 82.9 | 175.8 | +9.9 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 42.6 | 85.0 | -0.2 | 40% | 17% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.8 | 42.1 | 83.9 | -0.3 | 47% | 13% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.1 | 43.1 | 86.1 | +0.0 | 33% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 44.3 | 87.4 | -1.2 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 43.0 | 84.2 | -1.8 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 38.3 | 44.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 | 11% | 22% |
| vs Similar (11) | 44.0 | 43.0 | 87.0 | +1.0 | 45% | 18% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 44.4 | 40.3 | 84.7 | +4.1 | 60% | 10% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.1 | 45.5 | 90.6 | -0.5 | 37% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 48.4 | 47.6 | 96.0 | +0.8 | 31% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.3 | 43.1 | 84.4 | -1.9 | 43% | 21% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.1 | 45.3 | 92.4 | +1.8 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.4 | 45.2 | 94.6 | +4.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 42.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | -3.0 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (11) | 45.2 | 48.4 | 93.5 | -3.2 | 27% | 45% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 46.4 | 43.4 | 89.8 | +3.0 | 46% | 54% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 189.5 | 71.4% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +11.0pp |
| Paris +13.5 | 72.4% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +8.1pp |
| Barcelona win | 73.2% | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -1.6pp |
| Barcelona (regulation) | 70.6% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | - | -1.8pp |
| Under 192.5 | 77.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.5 | 21.9 | 55.2% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 11.1 | 35.7% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.0 | 14.2 | 77.1% | 14.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.6 | 21.6 | 55.2% | 43.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.1 | 12.5 | 35.7% | 37.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.0 | 77.1% | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 | Barcelona v Paris | 74-85 |
| 16/12/25 | Paris v Barcelona | 69-85 |
| 03/01/25 | Paris v Barcelona | 79-90 |
| 15/11/24 | Barcelona v Paris | 87-103 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Panathinaikos | 76-74 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Breogan | 99-91 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 93-90 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Unicaja | 92-89 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Valencia | 98-94 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Bayern | 88-84 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Basket Zaragoza | 99-81 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Olimpia Milano | 89-81 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Joventut Badalona | 89-113 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Olympiacos | 100-105 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Fenerbahce | 111-109 OT |
| 08/11/26 | H | JL Bourg | 107-77 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Anadolu Efes | 95-90 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Cholet | 90-94 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Chalon/Saone | 116-112 OT |
| 29/10/26 | A | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 99-94 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Dubai | 99-93 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Roanne | 96-75 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Valencia | 93-104 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Boulazac | 90-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 73% |
| Home | WLWLW | 60% |
| Away | WWWWW | 83% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| Win % | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Points / game | 89.6 | 91.6 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.4 | 91.2 | 84.2 |
| Point differential | +2.3 | +0.4 | +3.8 |
| Avg total | 177.0 | 182.8 | 172.2 |
| Over 184.5 | 18% | 40% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 83% (6) | 67% (3) | 100% (3) |
| Overtime % | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 45% |
| Home | WLLLW | 33% |
| Away | LLWWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 45% | 33% | 60% |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 92.5 | 89.2 |
| Allowed / game | 94.1 | 96.2 | 91.6 |
| Point differential | -3.1 | -3.7 | -2.4 |
| Avg total | 185.1 | 188.7 | 180.8 |
| Over 184.5 | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (6) | 50% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 86.4 | 78.5 | +7.9 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 88.5 | 80.7 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 96.4 | 88.9 | +7.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 89.6 | 87.4 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 98.5 | 90.1 | +8.4 | |
| 6 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 83.3 | 77.7 | +5.5 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 82.9 | 78.6 | +4.3 | |
| 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 85.6 | 82.4 | +3.3 | |
| 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 86.5 | 85.6 | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 90.4 | 87.2 | +3.2 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 79.5 | 77.7 | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 85.9 | 87.5 | -1.5 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 88.4 | 90.9 | -2.5 | |
| 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 91.0 | 94.1 | -3.1 | |
| 15 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 88.5 | 93.2 | -4.6 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 86.1 | 90.7 | -4.6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 84.3 | 92.1 | -7.8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 86.8 | 95.2 | -8.4 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 81.3 | 89.3 | -8.0 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 79.9 | 91.9 | -12.0 |
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