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Barcelona vs San Pablo Burgos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 28· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Barcelona v San Pablo Burgos
11 Apr 2027
BAR v SPB
upcoming
09 May 2026
BAR91
SPB76
01 May 2022
BAR84
SPB69
20 Sep 2020
BAR89
SPB86
10 Mar 2019
BAR97
SPB88
08 Oct 2017
BAR111
SPB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
89-113
89
113
-24
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
27-24
21-30
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
183.6Avg total
91.7Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.096.2194.2+1.860%
Season at home (3)102.389.3191.7+13.0100%
Season away (2)91.5106.5198.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)91.791.9183.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)92.690.6183.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.987.3179.2+4.656%
vs Weaker (14)95.485.9181.3+9.693%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
21-19
30-16
22-33
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
14-28
16-25
25-16
25-24
20-19
25-25
25-30
17-22
18-24
21-22
20-24
25-15
23-25
15-21
16-20
18-13
25-18
20-18
17-22
17-31
34-20
18-17
29-26
18-18
21-17
14-22
19-23
17-17
171.0Avg total
84.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.887.0176.8+2.840%
Season at home (2)84.588.5173.0-4.00%
Season away (3)93.386.0179.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.886.2171.0-1.430%
Last 5 (5)81.082.6163.6-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.290.8175.0-6.78%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.889.8180.7+1.058%
vs Weaker (6)91.085.0176.0+6.067%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
BarcelonaSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.5+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.041.286.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker (14)45.739.685.3+6.171%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
Eurocup
84.4Avg total
41.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.887.6-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.145.089.1-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.384.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.345.186.4-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.244.888.0-1.542%-
vs Weaker (6)45.044.389.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.9
57.9%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.6
38.8%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
75.7%15.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.0
55.0%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.7%15.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWLLWWLL
San Pablo Burgos
LWLLLLLWWL
#7
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
-1.4
103.7
Offensive rating
94.2
103.1
Defensive rating
95.6
58.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.8%
3-point %
32.3%
51.4%
Assist %
55.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 94.2Defence103.1 · 95.6Shooting58.1% · 52.7%3-point %38.8% · 32.3%Ball care15.8% · 17.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Barcelona   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Barcelona wins
0
San Pablo Burgos wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
04/10/26AMurcia94-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRigas Zelli71-79
24/10/26AManresa99-81
21/10/26ATortona79-89
17/10/26HObradoiro CAB72-79
14/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem84-85
11/10/26ABilbao87-96
07/10/26AAris80-93
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
27/09/26HBaskonia97-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game98.0102.391.5
Allowed / game96.289.3106.5
Point differential+1.8+13.0-15.0
Avg total194.2191.7198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game89.884.593.3
Allowed / game87.088.586.0
Point differential+2.8-4.0+7.3
Avg total176.8173.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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