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Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 77-73
18-14 20-24 20-18 19-17
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game67.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau
17 Dec 2024
PAVL62
KASP70
16 Dec 2024
PAVL86
KASP69
19 Nov 2023
PAVL77
KASP85
18 Nov 2023
PAVL74
KASP96
10 Apr 2023
PAVL60
KASP61
19 Nov 2022
PAVL70
KASP47
24 Oct 2022
PAVL77
KASP73
01 Dec 2017
PAVL64
KASP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
H23/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
100-96
100
96
+4
A24/02
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H25/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A23/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A24/03
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/03
Premier League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H20/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A21/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
51-94
51
94
-43
A23/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
16-18
21-24
17-23
28-17
27-25
14-19
31-35
14-15
13-22
15-16
24-17
14-26
20-16
21-22
12-18
17-22
15-20
18-17
17-15
18-23
18-17
18-13
28-15
19-25
20-23
14-24
19-19
16-27
19-10
27-8
25-21
20-19
21-16
13-15
19-18
12-26
20-18
14-27
5-23
153.9Avg total
74.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.879.8150.5-9.050%
Season at home (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Season away (2)69.080.0149.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)74.679.3153.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)73.077.4150.4-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.283.1153.3-12.916%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.069.8147.8+8.275%
vs Weaker (7)88.775.6164.3+13.1100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A27/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A28/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H05/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
52-108
52
108
-56
H06/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A13/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A14/04
National League
Shymkent
#1
L
44-100
44
100
-56
A20/10
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
99-40
99
40
+59
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A22/10
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A23/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
13-22
23-25
32-21
25-18
12-20
20-21
27-19
17-17
12-31
22-23
13-26
16-23
15-31
11-33
10-21
25-23
18-14
16-14
21-23
20-23
14-5
7-14
11-14
11-34
7-19
16-26
10-21
23-6
21-12
26-7
29-15
19-32
25-16
12-19
14-11
20-16
11-12
10-9
17-16
146.5Avg total
68.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.867.8135.5+0.050%
Season at home (1)99.040.0139.0+59.0100%
Season away (3)57.377.0134.3-19.733%
Last 10 (10)68.977.6146.5-8.740%
Last 5 (5)64.665.4130.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)59.782.2141.9-22.59%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.579.8157.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (2)78.546.5125.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
PavlodarKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/02
Premier League
SDYUSH Almaty
#7
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A24/02
Premier League
Karaganda
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H25/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/03
Premier League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/03
Premier League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H20/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/10
Higher League
77.1Avg total
37.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.776.8-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.039.175.1-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.478.2+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.977.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.041.876.8-6.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.534.072.5+4.575%-
vs Weaker (7)46.033.179.1+12.986%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A27/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H05/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H06/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A13/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/04
National League
Shymkent
#1
L
18-53
18
53
-35
A20/10
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/10
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A23/10
Higher League
74.0Avg total
34.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.841.274.0-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.541.275.7-6.720%-
Last 30 away (15)31.241.172.3-9.927%-
Last 10 (10)34.239.874.0-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.069.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.243.175.4-10.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.540.073.5-6.533%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.060.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
01/12/17Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau64-81
30/11/17Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar79-48
29/11/17Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar72-47
12/12/15Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar88-34
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22ABars Petropavlovsk51-94
22/10/22HAtyrau 273-68
21/10/22AChelSU Kostanay87-66
20/10/22HBC Almaty 272-91
25/03/21HAtyrau 282-68
24/03/21AKazygurt67-74
23/03/21ABars Petropavlovsk67-82
25/02/21HKaraganda66-70
24/02/21ASDYUSH Almaty100-96
23/02/21HAtyrau 281-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22AAktobe 258-53
22/10/22ATigers-KazATU70-78
21/10/22HAltay99-40
20/10/22AShymkent44-100
14/04/22AAktobe52-56
13/04/22AAktobe80-74
06/04/22HAstana52-108
05/04/22HAstana64-97
28/03/22ATobol Kostanay84-78
27/03/22ATobol Kostanay86-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.872.569.0
Allowed / game79.879.580.0
Point differential-9.0-7.0-11.0
Avg total150.5152.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game67.899.057.3
Allowed / game67.840.077.0
Point differential+0.0+59.0-19.7
Avg total135.5139.0134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%98.246.0+52.2
2 Shymkent550100%92.466.4+26.0
3 BC Almaty 243175%101.872.2+29.5
4 Karaganda53260%70.670.6+0.0
5 GOTOBELES Astana42250%86.074.5+11.5
6 Kaspiy Aktau42250%67.867.8+0.0
7 Pavlodar42250%70.879.8-9.0
8 Tigers-KazATU42250%70.282.2-12.0
9 Aktobe 241325%56.271.8-15.5
10 ChelSU Kostanay41325%57.876.5-18.8
11 Atyrau 25050%65.474.4-9.0
12 Altay4040%40.5112.8-72.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1820201977
Kaspiy Aktau1424181773
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