Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 89-60

15-16 30-17 24-21 20-6

Position#2

Record26-4

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game63.1

Bars Petropavlovsk 🏆

Pavlodar

Position#7

Record14-16

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game78.2

Higher League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Almaty 2

86-87

-1

H20/02

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

83-49

+34

H21/02

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-77

-2

H16/03

Higher League

Atyrau 2

90-85

H17/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

82-66

+16

A18/03

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

67-110

110

-43

H19/03

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

104-61

104

+43

H20/03

Higher League

Altay

#12

98-51

+47

A06/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

80-75

H07/04

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

81-63

+18

A08/04

Higher League

28-28

21-22

16-14

21-23

18-18

17-9

26-11

22-11

15-18

20-18

20-23

20-18

27-19

23-19

21-23

19-24

24-9

21-12

19-25

18-20

16-33

17-21

24-28

10-28

33-26

19-12

24-12

28-11

25-10

34-6

21-21

18-14

20-20

23-21

16-11

21-23

28-12

13-15

21-13

19-23

157.0Avg total

84.6Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	86.5	63.1	149.5	+23.4	87%
Season at home (19)	84.8	69.2	154.0	+15.6	79%
Season away (11)	89.4	52.5	141.8	+36.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	72.4	157.0	+12.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	72.0	158.0	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	79.2	87.6	166.8	-8.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.9	58.2	146.1	+29.8	96%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

75-100

100

-25

A16/02

Higher League

Altay

#12

79-61

+18

A17/02

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

80-74

A11/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

79-75

A12/03

Higher League

Shymkent

82-88

-6

H13/03

Higher League

Karaganda

66-81

-15

A14/03

Higher League

Altay

#12

70-74

-4

A15/03

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

75-84

-9

H06/04

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

89-91

-2

A07/04

Higher League

Atyrau 2

80-70

+10

H08/04

Higher League

22-24

17-28

18-24

14-21

19-10

18-20

28-10

23-17

22-18

17-16

18-23

15-18

26-15

15-19

23-23

19-18

27-23

15-26

21-21

23-28

19-17

10-20

14-16

14-8

20-25

14-22

22-19

14-27

23-24

17-16

21-17

27-25

29-21

16-23

17-22

22-16

21-22

21-18

16-14

157.3Avg total

77.5Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	74.9	78.2	153.1	-3.2	47%
Season at home (11)	74.6	80.4	155.0	-5.7	45%
Season away (19)	75.1	76.9	152.0	-1.8	47%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	79.8	157.3	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	80.0	156.0	-4.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.7	85.8	156.5	-15.1	21%
vs Similar (7)	74.4	72.3	146.7	+2.1	71%
vs Weaker (9)	81.9	70.9	152.8	+11.0	67%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskPavlodar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	15.0	37.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.2	17.1	39.3	+5.2	74%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.7	11.5	35.2	+12.3	91%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.3	42.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.9	13.6	36.6	+9.3	84%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	20.8	40.4	-1.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.1	23.9	41.9	-5.8	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	16.3	37.7	+5.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.5	12.1	35.6	+11.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.5	36.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.4	15.2	36.6	+6.2	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	74%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	20.8	38.7	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	17.1	37.9	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	16.8	38.1	+4.6	78%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Almaty 2

49-50

-1

H20/02

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

35-27

H21/02

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau

35-36

-1

H16/03

Higher League

Atyrau 2

50-38

+12

H17/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

45-21

+24

A18/03

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

33-54

-21

H19/03

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

52-38

+14

H20/03

Higher League

Altay

#12

59-16

+43

A06/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

43-41

H07/04

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

41-27

+14

A08/04

Higher League

79.0Avg total

44.2Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	31.5	75.0	+11.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	41.2	36.2	77.4	+5.1	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	47.3	23.5	70.8	+23.7	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	34.8	79.0	+9.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	35.2	80.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.3	28.8	73.2	+15.5	92%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

39-52

-13

A16/02

Higher League

Altay

#12

33-31

A17/02

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

45-35

+10

A11/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

41-33

A12/03

Higher League

Shymkent

46-41

H13/03

Higher League

Karaganda

42-45

-3

A14/03

Higher League

Altay

#12

34-33

A15/03

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

37-51

-14

H06/04

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

56-46

+10

A07/04

Higher League

Atyrau 2

43-38

H08/04

Higher League

82.1Avg total

41.6Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.9	41.5	79.4	-3.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.1	63%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.5	82.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.6	85.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.0	44.6	80.6	-8.6	21%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.1	33.4	75.6	+8.7	86%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	33.8	74.3	+6.8	78%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	15.4	38.5	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	23.5	16.4	39.9	+7.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.3	13.6	35.9	+8.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.6	14.8	38.4	+8.8	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.7	26%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.4	36.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.8	35.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.9	21.6	38.5	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	19.1	35.9	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	15.3	35.1	+4.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	14.5	34.5	+5.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.6	19.7	35.3	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	31.5	74.6	+11.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	43.6	33.1	76.6	+10.5	74%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.1	28.9	71.0	+13.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.6	29.3	72.9	+14.3	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	35.6	38.3	73.9	-2.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	35.8	39.7	75.5	-3.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	39.3	75.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	37.4	71.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	33.9	40.6	74.5	-6.8	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	32.3	38.9	71.1	-6.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.3	37.1	78.4	+4.2	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Pavlodar wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	81-50
23/10/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	94-51
23/03/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	82-67
02/02/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	96-65
01/02/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	69-65
23/11/20	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	61-71
02/03/20	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	81-70
02/02/20	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	79-102
13/12/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	67-73
19/11/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	65-74

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	A	Aktobe 2	81-63
07/04/23	H	Tigers-KazATU	80-75
06/04/23	A	Altay	98-51
20/03/23	H	GOTOBELES Astana	104-61
19/03/23	H	BC Almaty 2	67-110
18/03/23	A	ChelSU Kostanay	82-66
17/03/23	H	Atyrau 2	90-85
16/03/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	75-77
21/02/23	H	GOTOBELES Astana	83-49
20/02/23	H	BC Almaty 2	86-87

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	H	Atyrau 2	80-70
07/04/23	A	ChelSU Kostanay	89-91
06/04/23	H	BC Almaty 2	75-84
15/03/23	A	Altay	70-74
14/03/23	A	Karaganda	66-81
13/03/23	H	Shymkent	82-88
12/03/23	A	Tigers-KazATU	79-75
11/03/23	A	Aktobe 2	80-74
17/02/23	A	Altay	79-61
16/02/23	A	Karaganda	75-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	87%
Home	LWLWW	79%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	19	11
Win %	87%	79%	100%
Points / game	86.5	84.8	89.4
Allowed / game	63.1	69.2	52.5
Point differential	+23.4	+15.6	+36.9
Avg total	149.5	154.0	141.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	68%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pavlodar

Higher League 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	47%
Home	LLLLW	45%
Away	WWLLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	11	19
Win %	47%	45%	47%
Points / game	74.9	74.6	75.1
Allowed / game	78.2	80.4	76.9
Point differential	-3.2	-5.7	-1.8
Avg total	153.1	155.0	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	18%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Shymkent	31	30	1	97%	93.0	71.8	+21.2
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	30	26	4	87%	86.5	63.1	+23.4
3	BC Almaty 2	31	26	5	84%	92.6	67.6	+25.0
4	Karaganda	31	21	10	68%	75.5	67.6	+7.9
5	Pavlodar	30	14	16	47%	74.9	78.2	-3.2
6	Atyrau 2	31	14	17	45%	75.5	73.0	+2.5
7	Tigers-KazATU	31	14	17	45%	77.7	78.5	-0.7
8	Kaspiy Aktau	31	13	18	42%	66.5	72.9	-6.4
9	GOTOBELES Astana	31	10	21	32%	71.9	79.7	-7.8
10	ChelSU Kostanay	31	9	22	29%	68.8	78.5	-9.7
11	Aktobe 2	31	5	26	16%	66.4	79.7	-13.3
12	Altay	31	3	28	10%	56.7	95.0	-38.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	15	30	24	20	89
Pavlodar	16	17	21	6	60

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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