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Basket Zaragoza vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-82
28-18 21-25 20-20 25-19
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#41
Record0-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
66avg 79
A05/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
98-83
98
83
+15
91avg 79
A11/12
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
105-76
105
76
+29
103avg 79
H13/12
ACB
Szombathely
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 79
H16/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
91-102
91
102
-11
77avg 79
A20/12
ACB
Szombathely
#17
L
86-94
86
94
-8
77avg 79
A22/12
Champions League
Baskonia
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
77avg 79
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
no box
H02/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
no box
A05/01
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
105-85
105
85
+20
105avg 79
H16/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
27-22
19-24
18-25
25-28
30-18
20-19
23-18
30-12
26-18
24-15
25-31
19-14
31-17
15-26
20-19
23-28
14-19
24-38
30-17
28-22
22-27
22-21
14-24
22-29
22-22
24-22
21-19
17-23
29-23
23-20
14-17
23-30
19-21
21-20
23-15
27-15
24-18
23-29
31-23
181.7Avg total
93.4Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.684.4171.0+2.280%
Season at home (2)81.575.5157.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)90.090.3180.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)93.488.3181.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)94.891.6186.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.595.8181.3-10.30%
vs Similar (13)88.886.8175.6+1.954%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.581.5170.0+7.075%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
no box
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#11
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
61avg 64
H16/12
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
65-78
65
78
-13
59avg 64
A23/12
Champions League
Gdynia
#15
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Polpharma Starogard
#16
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
no box
H02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szombathely
#17
L
59-83
59
83
-24
48avg 64
H06/01
Champions League
HydroTruck Radom
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-27
14-17
19-24
19-19
23-22
21-29
27-20
15-24
20-20
18-27
13-14
14-27
26-18
26-13
28-20
14-19
16-19
22-20
13-20
19-11
16-21
24-17
17-12
24-19
25-19
25-21
26-32
15-17
14-23
17-22
16-20
7-17
11-29
17-15
24-22
29-19
17-16
20-22
20-21
161.7Avg total
79.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.2153.2-13.20%
Season at home (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
Season away (2)70.081.0151.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.082.7161.7-3.750%
Last 5 (5)76.679.0155.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.681.9153.5-10.310%
vs Similar (10)82.778.1160.8+4.680%
vs Weaker (10)82.672.3154.9+10.3100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Basket ZaragozaLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A11/12
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H13/12
ACB
Szombathely
#17
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H16/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/12
ACB
Szombathely
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A22/12
Champions League
Baskonia
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A05/01
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H16/01
ACB
89.8Avg total
47.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)44.741.586.1+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.340.886.2+4.542%-
Last 30 away (12)44.042.186.1+1.958%-
Last 10 (10)47.542.389.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.092.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.744.286.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (13)45.241.586.6+3.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.237.582.8+7.850%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H16/12
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A23/12
Champions League
Gdynia
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Polpharma Starogard
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szombathely
#17
L
18-46
18
46
-28
H06/01
Champions League
HydroTruck Radom
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
77.4Avg total
36.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.076.7-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.738.175.8-0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.177.7-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.273.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.341.374.6-8.020%-
vs Similar (10)37.338.375.6-1.060%-
vs Weaker (10)42.337.579.8+4.870%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.3
60.1%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.1
71.6%
73.2%14.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.6
50.3%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.2
30.8%
35.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.010.4
69.3%
73.2%10.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WWWLLLWWWL
Lublin
WLLWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#41
+3.4
Net rating
-17.1
113.8
Offensive rating
92.6
110.4
Defensive rating
109.8
56.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
22.4%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.7%
3-point %
30.8%
55.5%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 92.6Defence110.4 · 109.8Shooting56.5% · 48.7%3-point %34.7% · 30.8%Ball care15.8% · 22.4%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
0
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
21/10/20Lublin v Basket Zaragoza85-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HFuenlabrada105-85
05/01/21ANizhny Novgorod98-92 OT
02/01/21HReal Betis96-95 OT
27/12/20HBaskonia89-92
22/12/20ASzombathely86-94
20/12/20AObradoiro CAB91-102
16/12/20HSzombathely85-76
13/12/20HBilbao105-76
11/12/20AMoraBanc Andorra98-83
05/12/20AJoventut Badalona81-88
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HHydroTruck Radom86-78
06/01/21HSzombathely59-83
02/01/21HOstrow Wielkopolski62-82
30/12/20APolpharma Starogard100-91
27/12/20HGdynia76-61
23/12/20ANizhny Novgorod65-78
19/12/20AAnwil Wloclawek94-78
16/12/20HNizhny Novgorod66-85
06/12/20HBydgoszcz107-101 OT
03/12/20AZielona Gora75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
Champions League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.681.590.0
Allowed / game84.475.590.3
Point differential+2.2+6.0-0.3
Avg total171.0157.0180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Lublin
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.070.070.0
Allowed / game83.284.781.0
Point differential-13.2-14.7-11.0
Avg total153.2154.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg550100%85.272.2+13.0
2 San Pablo Burgos54180%90.676.8+13.8
3 Tenerife54180%94.882.2+12.6
4 Strasbourg54180%83.077.0+6.0
5 Brindisi54180%87.083.6+3.4
6 Basket Zaragoza54180%86.684.4+2.2
7 Turk Telekom54180%78.678.2+0.4
8 Igokea75271%74.773.6+1.1
9 Nymburk64267%91.078.8+12.2
10 Tofas64267%88.280.3+7.8
11 Nizhny Novgorod64267%82.777.2+5.5
12 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
13 Karsiyaka53260%78.273.0+5.2
14 VEF Riga53260%84.480.0+4.4
15 AEK Athens53260%83.880.4+3.4
16 Hapoel Holon53260%78.076.8+1.2
17 Sassari53260%86.489.6-3.2
18 Bakken Bears74357%86.381.6+4.7
19 Minsk74357%73.475.3-1.9
20 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
21 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
22 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
23 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Hapoel Jerusalem52340%81.878.8+3.0
26 Cholet52340%77.475.8+1.6
27 Bilbao52340%73.873.2+0.6
28 Peristeri52340%80.280.4-0.2
29 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
30 Limoges51420%74.276.6-2.4
31 Darussafaka51420%76.885.4-8.6
32 Oostende51420%81.490.0-8.6
33 Galatasaray51420%82.891.8-9.0
34 Rytas51420%77.287.4-10.2
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin5050%70.083.2-13.2
42 Fortitudo Bologna5050%63.081.8-18.8
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2821202594
Lublin1825201982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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