Baskonia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:15

Final 57-56

21-21 9-10 12-14 15-11

Position#2

Record25-9

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game79.3

Baskonia 🏆

Gran Canaria

Position#8

Record19-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game71.1

ACBACB - Quarter-finals

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Baskonia v Gran Canaria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gran Canaria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

78-89

-11

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

68-90

-22

A12/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

93-72

+21

H17/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

85-94

-9

H19/04

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

81-70

+11

H21/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

86-83

A27/04

ACB

Bilbao

93-75

+18

A01/05

ACB

Murcia

#13

98-95

A05/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

80-90

-10

H12/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

94-99

-5

A19/05

ACB

19-26

16-24

23-23

20-16

26-20

11-24

13-25

18-21

15-14

28-10

27-15

23-33

20-22

14-14

20-31

31-27

25-20

11-11

24-21

21-18

15-21

17-18

18-17

36-27

24-17

23-18

21-21

25-19

26-15

27-34

16-23

29-23

19-28

17-21

18-19

26-22

27-27

20-32

23-23

24-17

171.3Avg total

85.6Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	82.8	79.3	162.1	+3.5	74%
Season at home (17)	83.3	77.4	160.6	+5.9	82%
Season away (17)	82.3	81.2	163.5	+1.1	65%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	85.7	171.3	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	88.4	178.6	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.2	84.5	162.8	-6.2	12%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.0	79.3	156.3	-2.3	50%
vs Weaker (9)	86.7	81.8	168.4	+4.9	78%

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gran Canaria Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

76-77

-1

H23/03

Segunda FEB

Valencia

56-68

-12

A23/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

70-72

-2

H30/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

72-64

H07/04

ACB

Barcelona

73-70

A14/04

ACB

Real Madrid

74-76

-2

H21/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

89-97

-8

A28/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

66-59

H05/05

ACB

Unicaja

65-67

-2

A12/05

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

78-62

+16

H19/05

ACB

18-18

25-17

23-19

10-23

19-19

13-20

13-16

11-13

14-13

16-19

25-16

15-24

28-20

8-12

22-15

14-17

16-18

13-16

21-25

23-11

14-22

20-15

17-22

23-17

24-23

25-25

22-27

18-22

16-12

22-23

11-12

17-12

21-17

13-28

16-10

15-12

21-15

28-9

11-19

18-19

143.1Avg total

71.9Scored

71.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	73.3	71.1	144.3	+2.2	56%
Season at home (17)	71.1	65.5	136.6	+5.6	65%
Season away (17)	75.4	76.6	152.1	-1.2	47%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	71.2	143.1	+0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	72.2	146.6	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	62.9	72.5	135.4	-9.5	23%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	71.9	75.9	147.8	-4.0	30%
vs Weaker (6)	73.7	64.8	138.5	+8.8	67%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaGran Canaria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	18.4	35.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	17.1	33.1	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	14.1	17.6	31.7	-3.5	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	15.8	33.5	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	23.3	41.9	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.6	45.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.1	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.2	16.2	31.5	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.3	14.1	30.4	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.0	18.7	32.7	-4.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.4	36.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	13.5	16.5	30.1	-3.0	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	13.8	18.2	32.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	12.5	33.5	+8.5	67%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

35-50

-15

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

37-44

-7

A12/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

43-24

+19

H17/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

34-36

-2

H19/04

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

36-31

H21/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

32-39

-7

A27/04

ACB

Bilbao

47-35

+12

A01/05

ACB

Murcia

#13

53-49

A05/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

36-49

-13

H12/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

47-59

-12

A19/05

ACB

81.6Avg total

40.0Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.6	78.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	34.8	75.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	41.6	81.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	46.2	89.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.4	38.0	74.4	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.4	38.1	77.5	+1.3	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.1	39.7	82.8	+3.4	67%	-

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

43-35

H23/03

Segunda FEB

Valencia

32-39

-7

A23/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

30-32

-2

H30/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#12

36-32

H07/04

ACB

Barcelona

29-34

-5

A14/04

ACB

Real Madrid

34-37

-3

H21/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

49-48

A28/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

38-35

H05/05

ACB

Unicaja

34-45

-11

A12/05

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

49-24

+25

H19/05

ACB

73.5Avg total

37.4Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.2	33.9	66.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.4	31.1	63.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.1	37.0	69.1	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	27.6	34.2	61.8	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	33.8	36.8	70.6	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.7	28.3	67.0	+10.3	67%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.5	39.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	22.4	43.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.5	19.2	37.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.4	20.1	36.5	-3.7	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.9	42.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	22.3	47.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	21.6	49.6	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.3	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	16.3	33.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.0	16.7	32.7	-0.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	42.3	83.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	42.5	82.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	44.1	89.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	42.2	89.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.9	46.5	88.4	-4.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	42.1	85.7	+1.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.4	35.2	70.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	40.0	76.7	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	35.1	69.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	34.4	68.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.9	37.4	72.3	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.1	39.1	77.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	35.0	36.5	71.5	-1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Gran Canaria wins

Date	Game	Score
24/02/13	Baskonia v Gran Canaria	85-74
13/10/12	Gran Canaria v Baskonia	64-80
05/02/12	Baskonia v Gran Canaria	71-67
12/10/11	Gran Canaria v Baskonia	68-77
22/05/11	Gran Canaria v Baskonia	76-93
20/05/11	Baskonia v Gran Canaria	86-82
06/02/11	Gran Canaria v Baskonia	70-68
12/10/10	Baskonia v Gran Canaria	82-61
28/02/10	Gran Canaria v Baskonia	86-85
08/11/09	Baskonia v Gran Canaria	86-79

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/13	A	Tenerife	94-99
12/05/13	H	Estudiantes	80-90
05/05/13	A	Murcia	98-95
01/05/13	A	Bilbao	93-75
27/04/13	A	Fuenlabrada	86-83
21/04/13	H	Manresa	81-70
19/04/13	H	CSKA Moscow	85-94
17/04/13	H	CSKA Moscow	93-72
12/04/13	A	CSKA Moscow	68-90
10/04/13	A	CSKA Moscow	78-89

Gran Canarialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	78-62
12/05/13	A	Unicaja	65-67
05/05/13	H	Gipuzkoa	66-59
28/04/13	A	Joventut Badalona	89-97
21/04/13	H	Real Madrid	74-76
14/04/13	A	Barcelona	73-70
07/04/13	H	Estudiantes	72-64
30/03/13	H	Obradoiro CAB	70-72
23/03/13	A	Valencia	56-68
23/03/13	H	Castello	76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	74%
Home	LWWWL	82%
Away	LWWWL	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	74%	82%	65%
Points / game	82.8	83.3	82.3
Allowed / game	79.3	77.4	81.2
Point differential	+3.5	+5.9	+1.1
Avg total	162.1	160.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	41%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (14)	100% (5)	78% (9)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Gran Canaria

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	56%
Home	LWLWW	65%
Away	LLWLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	56%	65%	47%
Points / game	73.3	71.1	75.4
Allowed / game	71.1	65.5	76.6
Point differential	+2.2	+5.6	-1.2
Avg total	144.3	136.6	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	35%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	0% (2)	80% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	34	30	4	88%	87.8	75.4	+12.4
2	Baskonia	34	25	9	74%	82.8	79.3	+3.5
3	Barcelona	34	23	11	68%	79.2	71.6	+7.6
4	Valencia	34	22	12	65%	81.3	75.9	+5.4
5	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	34	21	13	62%	79.2	72.4	+6.8
6	Bilbao	34	19	15	56%	81.2	78.4	+2.9
7	Gran Canaria	34	19	15	56%	73.3	71.1	+2.2
8	Obradoiro CAB	34	18	16	53%	75.2	73.7	+1.4
9	Unicaja	34	18	16	53%	73.0	72.8	+0.2
10	Tenerife	34	17	17	50%	80.8	82.4	-1.7
11	Joventut Badalona	34	16	18	47%	78.0	80.5	-2.5
12	Estudiantes	34	15	19	44%	79.8	79.5	+0.2
13	Murcia	34	13	21	38%	79.1	84.9	-5.8
14	Real Betis	34	12	22	35%	72.0	76.6	-4.6
15	Fuenlabrada	34	12	22	35%	74.4	79.3	-4.9
16	Baloncesto Valladolid	34	12	22	35%	77.8	83.5	-5.7
17	Gipuzkoa	34	8	26	24%	73.2	80.9	-7.7
18	Manresa	34	6	28	18%	75.7	85.5	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	21	9	12	15	57
Gran Canaria	21	10	14	11	56

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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