Bilbao vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 75-93

17-24 18-23 21-21 19-25

Position#6

Record18-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game78.7

Bilbao

Baskonia 🏆

Position#2

Record23-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game77.9

ACBRound 29

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Bilbao v Baskonia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#12

101-78

101

+23

H12/03

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#12

88-79

A17/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

93-83

+10

A20/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#18

79-82

-3

A24/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

75-53

+22

H27/03

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

82-90

-8

H31/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

80-77

A07/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

64-75

-11

H13/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

#10

101-104

101

104

-3

A21/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

100-90

100

+10

H28/04

ACB

28-30

29-17

21-16

23-15

22-27

17-19

26-12

23-21

20-19

28-25

23-17

22-22

20-27

23-18

11-28

25-9

20-14

17-9

16-19

22-11

19-24

16-18

20-25

27-23

19-12

18-23

29-21

14-21

17-16

13-22

15-16

19-21

20-30

25-25

27-17

29-32

24-19

25-27

22-25

29-19

167.4Avg total

86.3Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	82.4	78.7	161.1	+3.7	60%
Season at home (15)	83.8	76.2	160.0	+7.6	80%
Season away (15)	81.0	81.2	162.2	-0.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	81.1	167.4	+5.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	87.2	172.6	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	90.0	98.0	188.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	79.8	76.2	156.0	+3.6	64%
vs Weaker (15)	84.4	77.6	162.0	+6.8	67%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

#11

86-82

A29/03

Euroleague

Unicaja

72-93

-21

A31/03

ACB

Siena

#14

76-64

+12

H04/04

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

84-80

H06/04

ACB

CSKA Moscow

78-89

-11

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

68-90

-22

A12/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

93-72

+21

H17/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

85-94

-9

H19/04

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

81-70

+11

H21/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

86-83

A27/04

ACB

22-19

24-24

22-17

18-22

20-22

16-29

23-21

13-21

15-11

24-16

18-15

19-22

23-18

25-24

13-18

23-20

19-26

16-24

23-23

20-16

26-20

11-24

13-25

18-21

15-14

28-10

27-15

23-33

20-22

14-14

20-31

31-27

25-20

11-11

24-21

21-18

15-21

17-18

18-17

36-27

162.6Avg total

80.9Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.7	77.9	159.5	+3.8	77%
Season at home (16)	83.5	76.6	160.1	+6.9	88%
Season away (14)	79.6	79.4	158.9	+0.2	64%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	81.7	162.6	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	81.8	164.4	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.3	85.1	163.4	-6.8	11%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	75.0	78.2	153.2	-3.2	55%
vs Weaker (9)	85.7	77.7	163.3	+8.0	89%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoBaskonia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	16.4	37.9	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.4	31.6	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.6	67%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#12

57-47

+10

H12/03

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#12

39-46

-7

A17/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

48-44

A20/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#18

43-45

-2

A24/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

37-23

+14

H27/03

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

35-42

-7

H31/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

37-35

A07/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

30-38

-8

H13/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

#10

45-55

-10

A21/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

49-46

H28/04

ACB

84.1Avg total

42.0Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	37.3	78.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	42.1	84.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	40.7	78.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.6	39.4	78.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.1	39.0	82.1	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

#11

46-43

A29/03

Euroleague

Unicaja

36-51

-15

A31/03

ACB

Siena

#14

39-27

+12

H04/04

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

48-42

H06/04

ACB

CSKA Moscow

35-50

-15

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

37-44

-7

A12/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

43-24

+19

H17/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

34-36

-2

H19/04

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

36-31

H21/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

32-39

-7

A27/04

ACB

77.3Avg total

38.6Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.5	77.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	34.9	76.2	+6.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.5	78.4	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.7	77.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	34.8	71.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.6	39.3	76.9	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.9	37.1	76.0	+1.8	82%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.0	35.8	78.8	+7.2	78%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	39.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.1	40.5	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.3	37.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	24.3	46.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+3.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.1	20.3	39.5	-1.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	20.2	40.7	+0.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.4	42.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.2	46.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	24.3	47.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	22.5	41.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	25.2	51.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	23.8	44.6	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	21.7	39.3	-4.2	9%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	38.9	81.9	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	39.0	83.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	44.0	90.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.0	48.7	93.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.3	38.6	79.9	+2.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	42.1	81.6	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	42.1	82.5	-1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	43.0	85.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	47.0	93.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.8	45.8	86.6	-5.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.1	41.1	77.2	-5.0	27%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	41.9	84.6	+0.8	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Baskonia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	81-80
20/05/12	Bilbao v Baskonia	88-90 OT
17/05/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	77-73
06/05/12	Baskonia v Bilbao	100-70
29/12/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	79-80
22/12/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	77-72
16/11/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	84-89
30/09/11	Bilbao v Baskonia	88-93
17/04/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	89-75
11/02/11	Baskonia v Bilbao	76-74

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	100-90
21/04/13	A	Tenerife	101-104
13/04/13	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	64-75
07/04/13	A	Murcia	80-77
31/03/13	H	Fuenlabrada	82-90
27/03/13	H	Budivelnyk	75-53
24/03/13	A	Manresa	79-82
20/03/13	A	Budivelnyk	93-83
17/03/13	A	Estudiantes	88-79
12/03/13	H	Ulm	101-78

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/13	A	Fuenlabrada	86-83
21/04/13	H	Manresa	81-70
19/04/13	H	CSKA Moscow	85-94
17/04/13	H	CSKA Moscow	93-72
12/04/13	A	CSKA Moscow	68-90
10/04/13	A	CSKA Moscow	78-89
06/04/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	84-80
04/04/13	H	Siena	76-64
31/03/13	A	Unicaja	72-93
29/03/13	A	Khimki M.	86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	60%
Home	LWWLW	80%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Points / game	82.4	83.8	81.0
Allowed / game	78.7	76.2	81.2
Point differential	+3.7	+7.6	-0.2
Avg total	161.1	160.0	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	53%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	67% (3)	25% (8)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

Baskonia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	77%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	LWLLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	77%	88%	64%
Points / game	81.7	83.5	79.6
Allowed / game	77.9	76.6	79.4
Point differential	+3.8	+6.9	+0.2
Avg total	159.5	160.1	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	44%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	92% (12)	100% (5)	86% (7)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	31	27	4	87%	87.3	75.8	+11.5
2	Baskonia	30	23	7	77%	81.7	77.9	+3.8
3	Barcelona	31	20	11	65%	79.5	72.2	+7.4
4	Valencia	31	19	12	61%	80.9	76.5	+4.4
5	Bilbao	30	18	12	60%	82.4	78.7	+3.7
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	31	18	13	58%	77.9	73.1	+4.8
7	Gran Canaria	31	17	14	55%	73.6	71.9	+1.7
8	Obradoiro CAB	31	16	15	52%	74.8	73.7	+1.1
9	Unicaja	31	16	15	52%	74.0	73.8	+0.2
10	Tenerife	31	15	16	48%	79.3	81.5	-2.2
11	Joventut Badalona	31	15	16	48%	78.0	80.6	-2.6
12	Estudiantes	31	14	17	45%	79.5	78.0	+1.5
13	Baloncesto Valladolid	31	12	19	39%	78.0	83.0	-5.1
14	Murcia	31	12	19	39%	77.8	83.0	-5.3
15	Fuenlabrada	31	11	20	35%	75.0	79.5	-4.5
16	Real Betis	31	11	20	35%	71.9	76.5	-4.7
17	Gipuzkoa	31	8	23	26%	73.4	80.5	-7.1
18	Manresa	31	6	25	19%	76.7	85.1	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	17	18	21	19	75
Baskonia	24	23	21	25	93

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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