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Bauru vs Uniao Corinthians Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 81-76
Projected total 157.7
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.7
Vs
67%
33%
■ BAUR 67%■ UNIA 33%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bauru v Uniao Corinthians
22 Nov 2026
BAUR v UNIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAUR60
UNIA52
04 Apr 2025
BAUR89
UNIA69
20 Nov 2023
BAUR95
UNIA67
10 Apr 2023
BAUR81
UNIA61
07 Dec 2021
BAUR92
UNIA67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Bauru host Uniao Corinthians in the NBB. Pythia makes Bauru the favourite at 67% and projects 81-76, about 158 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Bauru are 3-4 this season (76.7 scored, 77.7 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Uniao Corinthians are 4-3 this season (72.3 scored, 74.7 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru win
66.6%fair 1.50
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Uniao Corinthians win
33.4%fair 2.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 77
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 77
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
62-71
62
71
-9
47avg 77
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
70avg 77
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
81avg 77
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 77
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
22-20
15-25
26-19
24-14
29-17
16-26
19-18
16-15
16-20
18-20
12-16
20-19
23-17
18-22
21-23
23-22
11-20
25-17
24-9
15-20
19-19
9-23
18-17
23-26
12-26
21-16
19-15
24-16
21-23
15-13
14-26
16-18
20-21
12-17
16-21
28-26
26-16
19-19
25-17
155.2Avg total
76.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.777.7154.4-1.043%
Season at home (4)70.575.5146.0-5.025%
Season away (3)85.080.7165.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)76.778.5155.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.185.6167.8-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.282.9165.1-0.736%
vs Weaker (8)89.178.4167.5+10.888%
This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uniao CorinthiansBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCorinthians
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 72
H25/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
65avg 72
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
77-104
77
104
-27
67avg 72
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
68avg 72
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
40avg 72
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
63-75
63
75
-12
52avg 72
A27/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
A30/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
65-83
65
83
-18
32avg 72
A01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
70-61
70
61
+9
no box
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
24-18
24-16
19-19
15-23
16-30
29-20
17-17
18-22
28-21
10-33
21-28
20-22
14-18
29-13
20-21
15-15
21-20
13-36
22-17
13-22
10-13
22-24
18-16
26-22
18-24
19-17
24-17
19-19
13-20
21-18
12-26
21-19
19-14
17-13
13-15
18-14
22-19
15-14
12-15
154.4Avg total
74.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.374.7147.0-2.457%
Season at home (4)72.871.2144.0+1.575%
Season away (3)71.779.3151.0-7.733%
Last 10 (10)74.480.0154.4-5.650%
Last 5 (5)70.472.2142.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.487.7166.1-9.331%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.677.6158.2+3.075%
vs Weaker (6)78.575.2153.7+3.367%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
63.2%
Under 152
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
51.0%
Under 157
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
38.9%
Under 162
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bauru total 75.5
Over 75.5
71.4%
Under 75.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bauru total 79.5
Over 79.5
56.9%
Under 79.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bauru total 83.5
Over 83.5
41.3%
Under 83.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uniao Corinthians total 73.5
Over 73.5
60.8%
Under 73.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uniao Corinthians total 77.5
Over 77.5
45.4%
Under 77.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uniao Corinthians total 81.5
Over 81.5
31.0%
Under 81.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bauru -3
BAUR -3
58.2%
UNIA +3
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
BAUR
No market prices yet.
UNIA
No market prices yet.
Spread Bauru 0
BAUR 0
66.6%
UNIA 0
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
BAUR
No market prices yet.
UNIA
No market prices yet.
Spread Bauru +3
BAUR +3
74.6%
UNIA -3
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
BAUR
No market prices yet.
UNIA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
BauruUniao Corinthians
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A09/11
NBB
81.1Avg total
40.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.7+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.286.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.681.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.242.587.8+2.862%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.041.080.0-2.036%-
vs Weaker (8)44.238.182.4+6.188%-
This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uniao CorinthiansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H25/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A27/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/11
NBB
77.2Avg total
36.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.082.1-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.142.282.3-2.241%-
Last 30 away (13)40.141.781.8-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.577.2-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.273.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.544.885.2-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.038.879.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (6)37.739.076.7-1.350%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Uniao Corinthianstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Uniao Corinthians: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
49.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.4
27.1%
31.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
71.3%13.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLLLLWWLWL
Uniao Corinthians
WWLWLLWLLW
#11
League position
#7
-7.8
Net rating
-12.6
86.0
Offensive rating
86.2
93.8
Defensive rating
98.8
47.1%
Effective FG%
46.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.6%
3-point %
27.1%
65.7%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.0 · 86.2Defence93.8 · 98.8Shooting47.1% · 46.0%3-point %28.6% · 27.1%Ball care14.3% · 15.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bauru   ■ Uniao Corinthians
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bauru wins
2
Uniao Corinthians wins
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26APato98-78
05/11/26HMinas64-77
03/11/26HCruzeiro74-78
30/10/26APaulistano75-83
23/10/26HMogi61-79
21/10/26HSao Jose83-68
18/10/26AFlamengo82-81
29/04/26APaulistano62-71
26/04/26HPaulistano88-75
24/04/26HPaulistano80-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPato67-62
09/11/26HBrasilia70-61
01/11/26AFlamengo65-83
30/10/26ABotafogo87-80
27/10/26APinheiros63-75
22/10/26HMinas71-88
19/10/26HCruzeiro83-74
30/04/26AFlamengo77-104
27/04/26HFlamengo77-90
25/04/26HFlamengo84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game76.770.585.0
Allowed / game77.775.580.7
Point differential-1.0-5.0+4.3
Avg total154.4146.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uniao Corinthians
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game72.372.871.7
Allowed / game74.771.279.3
Point differential-2.4+1.5-7.7
Avg total147.0144.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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