Uniao Corinthians vs Pato Result & Analysis

Uniao Corinthians will host Pato on 14 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Uniao Corinthians the clear favourite, giving them an 80% chance of winning, a reflection of their 3-3 season record and 73.2 points per game compared with Pato's 2-5 record and 74.1 points per game. Uniao Corinthians have scored 73.2 points per game while allowing 76.8, and have gone 2-1 at home with 74.7 points per game and 74.3 points allowed; their last five games were 2-3. Pato has gone 1-2 on the road, averaging 70.7 points per game and conceding 79.7, and their last five games were 1-4. The teams are even in head-to-head history, 5-5 over ten meetings, with the last meeting ending 80-72 for Uniao Corinthians on 12 January 2026. Pythia projects a score of 83-74, with a total of 156.9 points, and an 80% probability that Uniao Corinthians will cover the -4.0 line, a 57% chance of the over on the 154.0 total, and a 4% likelihood of overtime. The game will be decided by the teams' recent performances, with Uniao Corinthians' home advantage and Pato's struggling road form setting the stage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uniao Corinthians winWon

80.0%fair 1.25

Best odds1.30

Implied76.4%

Edge+3.6pp

Pato winLost

20.0%fair 5.01

Best odds3.89

Implied23.6%

Edge-3.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Uniao Corinthians Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCorinthians

Date

Competition

Flamengo

72-102

102

-30

58avg 71

A22/04

NBB

Flamengo

84-83

79avg 71

H25/04

NBB

Flamengo

77-90

-13

65avg 71

H27/04

NBB

Flamengo

77-104

104

-27

67avg 71

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

83-74

68avg 71

H19/10

NBB

Minas

71-88

-17

40avg 71

H22/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-75

-12

52avg 71

A27/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

87-80

no box

A30/10

NBB

Flamengo

65-83

-18

32avg 71

A01/11

NBB

Brasilia

70-61

no box

H09/11

NBB

23-23

23-28

15-23

11-28

17-30

24-18

24-16

19-19

15-23

16-30

29-20

17-17

18-22

28-21

10-33

21-28

20-22

14-18

29-13

20-21

15-15

21-20

13-36

22-17

13-22

10-13

22-24

18-16

26-22

18-24

19-17

24-17

19-19

13-20

21-18

12-26

21-19

19-14

17-13

13-15

158.9Avg total

74.9Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.2	76.8	150.0	-3.7	50%
Season at home (3)	74.7	74.3	149.0	+0.3	67%
Season away (3)	71.7	79.3	151.0	-7.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	84.0	158.9	-9.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	77.4	148.6	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	78.2	87.7	165.9	-9.5	29%
vs Similar (8)	80.6	77.6	158.2	+3.0	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	80.8	77.8	158.6	+3.0	60%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPato

Date

Competition

Osasco

#18

68-77

-9

69avg 62

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

55-88

-33

50avg 62

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

71-92

-21

58avg 62

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

#13

74-80

-6

58avg 62

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

89-88

36avg 62

H24/10

NBB

Minas

65-86

-21

52avg 62

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

68-76

-8

48avg 62

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

66-80

-14

no box

H07/11

NBB

Bauru

#11

78-98

-20

no box

H09/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

79-77

no box

A12/11

NBB

19-14

20-21

14-23

15-19

12-25

16-19

16-27

11-17

15-24

18-27

18-28

20-13

10-13

18-20

13-30

33-17

22-26

16-22

27-13

24-27

14-24

18-24

16-23

17-15

17-17

18-21

10-19

23-19

18-24

19-16

13-24

16-16

26-28

16-26

19-19

17-25

15-21

20-19

15-22

29-15

155.5Avg total

71.3Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	74.1	83.6	157.7	-9.4	29%
Season at home (4)	76.8	86.5	163.2	-9.8	25%
Season away (3)	70.7	79.7	150.3	-9.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	84.2	155.5	-12.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	83.4	154.6	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.2	84.0	154.1	-13.8	5%
vs Similar (8)	77.1	76.8	153.9	+0.4	38%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	77.0	156.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5

Over 149.5

67.0%

@ 1.50+5.2pp

Under 149.5

33.0%

@ 2.50-5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

Over/Under 154.5 · main lineActual: Under 154.5

Over 154.5

55.3%

@ 1.88+5.6pp

Under 154.5

44.7%

@ 1.86-5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Under

Pinnacle

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

43.2%

@ 2.50+5.1pp

Under 159.5

56.8%

@ 1.50-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

Under

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Uniao Corinthians total 77Actual: Uniao Corinthians under 77

Over 77

74.1%

Under 77

25.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Uniao Corinthians total 81 · main lineActual: Uniao Corinthians under 81

Over 81

59.3%

@ 1.78+8.5pp

Under 81

40.7%

@ 1.86-8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.74

Uniao Corinthians total 85Actual: Uniao Corinthians under 85

Over 85

42.8%

Under 85

57.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Pato total 69.5Actual: Pato under 69.5

Over 69.5

65.4%

@ 1.45+2.6pp

Under 69.5

34.6%

@ 2.50-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.32

Pato total 73.5 · main lineActual: Pato under 73.5

Over 73.5

50.1%

@ 1.91+1.4pp

Under 73.5

49.9%

@ 1.83-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.78

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.68

Pato total 77.5Actual: Pato under 77.5

Over 77.5

34.9%

@ 2.62-0.4pp

Under 77.5

65.1%

@ 1.42+0.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.48

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Uniao Corinthians -11.5Actual: Pato +11.5

UNIA -11.5

43.0%

@ 2.55+5.0pp

PATO +11.5

57.0%

@ 1.52-5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

UNIA

Bet365

2.55

1xBet

2.33

Betano

2.32

PATO

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.50

1xBet

1.43

Spread Uniao Corinthians -8.5 · main lineActual: Pato +8.5

UNIA -8.5

53.9%

@ 2.00+3.7pp

PATO +8.5

46.1%

@ 1.88-3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

UNIA

Bet365

2.00

Betano

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

Pinnacle

1.86

PATO

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.85

Betfair

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Spread Uniao Corinthians -5.5Actual: Pato +5.5

UNIA -5.5

64.8%

@ 1.80+9.5pp

PATO +5.5

35.2%

@ 2.20-9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

UNIA

Betfair

1.80

SBO

1.70

Pinnacle

1.68

Bet365

1.66

Betano

1.57

PATO

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.17

Bet365

2.12

Pinnacle

2.08

Marathon Be

1.99

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Uniao CorinthiansPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	50%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	29%	59%
vs Similar (8)	23.4	17.5	40.9	+5.9	88%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	40%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	23%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	29%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	21.6	38.5	-4.8	15%	23%
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.7	22.0	38.7	-5.3	10%	43%
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.9	40.6	+0.9	62%	62%
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	0%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	27%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.3	38%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.4	40.9	-4.0	14%	71%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.2	23.1	43.2	-2.9	29%	82%
vs Similar (8)	17.6	21.2	38.9	-3.6	25%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	16.4	22.6	39.0	-6.2	20%	40%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.9	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	59%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.2	15%	69%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	29%	57%
vs Similar (8)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.8	62%	25%
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	100%

Uniao CorinthiansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

46-51

-5

A22/04

NBB

Flamengo

41-48

-7

H25/04

NBB

Flamengo

31-53

-22

H27/04

NBB

Flamengo

46-43

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

34-40

-6

H19/10

NBB

Minas

36-35

H22/10

NBB

Pinheiros

23-35

-12

A27/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

44-46

-2

A30/10

NBB

Flamengo

32-39

-7

A01/11

NBB

Brasilia

40-33

H09/11

NBB

79.6Avg total

37.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.5	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	42.8	82.9	-2.8	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	41.9	81.6	-2.3	29%	64%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.3	79.6	-5.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.6	72.6	-2.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	40.1	44.8	84.9	-4.6	24%	71%
vs Similar (8)	41.0	38.8	79.8	+2.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.0	40%	40%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osasco

#18

39-35

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

28-44

-16

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

33-51

-18

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

#13

28-33

-5

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#14

38-48

-10

H24/10

NBB

Minas

32-48

-16

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

35-38

-3

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

37-40

-3

H07/11

NBB

Bauru

#11

42-54

-12

H09/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

35-40

-5

A12/11

NBB

77.8Avg total

34.7Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	36.4	40.9	77.3	-4.5	30%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	35%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	35.1	43.1	78.2	-8.0	23%	38%
Last 10 (10)	34.7	43.1	77.8	-8.4	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	44.0	80.2	-7.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.7	42.3	77.0	-7.6	14%	43%
vs Similar (8)	41.0	37.4	78.4	+3.6	75%	38%
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	40.0	75.0	-5.0	0%	0%

This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Uniao Corinthians win

UNIA win

no forecast

@ 1.43

PATO win

no forecast

@ 3.23

1st half Spread Uniao Corinthians -4.5 · main lineActual: Uniao Corinthians -4.5

UNIA -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

PATO +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 78.75 · main lineActual: Under 78.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

Uniao Corinthians 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Uniao Corinthians under 41

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Pato 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Pato under 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: UNIA + total 78.5

UNIA & over

no forecast

@ 2.90

UNIA & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PATO + total 78.5

PATO & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

PATO & under

no forecast

@ 5.00

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Spread Uniao Corinthians -5.5Actual: Uniao Corinthians -5.5

UNIA -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

PATO +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Uniao Corinthians -3.5Actual: Uniao Corinthians -3.5

UNIA -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

PATO +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Uniao Corinthians -6.5Actual: Uniao Corinthians -6.5

UNIA -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

PATO +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Uniao Corinthians -2.5Actual: Uniao Corinthians -2.5

UNIA -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

PATO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Uniao Corinthians (regulation)

UNIA

no forecast

@ 1.48

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

PATO

no forecast

@ 3.10

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.6	-0.7	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.4	62%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	23.1	41.9	-4.2	29%	79%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	21.8	40.1	-3.4	35%	65%
vs Similar (8)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	50%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	24.6	20.2	44.8	+4.4	80%	80%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37
Last 30 (30)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.7	17%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	24%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	14.5	21.6	36.2	-7.1	8%	46%
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.8	38.9	-6.7	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.4	36.0	-6.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.1	21.7	37.8	-5.6	10%	52%
vs Similar (8)	19.2	17.6	36.9	+1.6	38%	62%
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	44%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.4	50%	43%
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.8	21.2	40.9	-1.4	47%	53%
vs Similar (8)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	38%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	60%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.0	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	35%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	38%	38%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.7	19.0	37.6	-0.3	38%	43%
vs Similar (8)	16.9	21.8	38.6	-4.9	25%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	15.0	44.0	+14.0	100%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.5	79.4	-1.7	47%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.7	62%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	42.8	78.9	-6.6	29%	71%
Last 10 (10)	37.6	41.7	79.3	-4.1	50%	90%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.8	76.0	-3.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.1	42.9	81.1	-4.8	35%	82%
vs Similar (8)	37.5	37.2	74.8	+0.2	50%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	43.6	37.6	81.2	+6.0	80%	60%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	35.4	40.2	75.6	-4.7	27%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	40.1	77.5	-2.6	35%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	32.8	40.3	73.2	-7.5	15%	46%
Last 10 (10)	36.6	41.1	77.7	-4.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.4	74.4	-4.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.8	40.6	75.4	-5.9	14%	48%
vs Similar (8)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.2	50%	62%
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	100%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

UNIA win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

PATO win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: UNIA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PATO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (UNIA:PATO): UNIA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Uniao Corinthians -2	77.2%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.55	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians -1.5	77.9%	1.40	Pinnacle 1.51	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.36	Betano 1.31	-	+16.8pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians -3	73.8%	1.52	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians over 74.5	80.8%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians -2.5	74.5%	1.40	Pinnacle 1.54	Bet365 1.42	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.28	-	+14.5pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians +4.5	88.0%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians +3.5	86.1%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians -3.5	71.8%	1.47	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.51	Marathon Bet 1.50	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.34	+13.1pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians -4	70.8%	1.53	Bet365 1.54	Pinnacle 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians over 75.5	78.0%	1.36	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians over 76.5	75.0%	1.38	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians over 77.5	71.7%	1.45	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians over 70.5	89.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians +1.5	81.8%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians -1	79.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians over 71.5	87.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians over 73.5	83.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians +2.5	84.4%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.21	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians over 69.5	91.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians over 67.5	94.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians (regulation)	77.8%	1.27	Betano 1.29	1xBet 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Pato under 79.5	71.9%	1.39	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians +12.5	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians over 65.5	96.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians +7.5	92.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians +17.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Over 147	72.9%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Over 148	70.8%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Over 147.5	71.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Over 139.5	85.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Over 144.5	77.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Overtime: no	96.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 129.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Pato under 92.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 146.5	73.4%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Pato under 90.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 134.5	91.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Uniao Corinthians win	80.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.30	WilliamHill 1.29	Betano 1.27	1xBet 1.26	Betfair 1.25	+3.6pp	Won
Pato over 67.5	72.4%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Lost
Pato under 88.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Pato over 64.5	81.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Pato under 83.5	83.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Pato over 63.5	83.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Pato under 86.5	89.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Pato over 62.5	86.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Pato under 84.5	85.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Pato under 82.5	80.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Pato under 80.5	75.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Pato +22.5	87.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Pato over 66.5	75.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Under 179.5	91.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Pato +17.5	76.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians under 93.5	84.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians under 91.5	79.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Under 174.5	85.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Pato +15.5	70.3%	1.29	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians under 90.5	76.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Under 169.5	78.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Uniao Corinthians under 89.5	73.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Uniao Corinthianstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Uniao Corinthians: 72.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.5	49.9%	49.8%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	7.4	27.1%	31.6%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.2	73.7%	71.3%	13.2

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	15.6	47.3%	49.8%	31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	7.6	25.7%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	11.3	7.1	62.8%	71.3%	7.1

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	18.2	56.2%	49.8%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.3	37.2%	31.6%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.7	76.5%	71.3%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.7	47.0%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.4	37.5%	31.6%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	71.3%	13.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	20.6	52.2%	49.8%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.6	30.2%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.9	72.4%	71.3%	13.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	16.8	49.5%	49.8%	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.8	28.6%	31.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	10.6	66.2%	71.3%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.8	51.6%	49.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.1	34.0%	31.6%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.7	69.6%	71.3%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.2%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.5	33.0%	31.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.5	71.1%	71.3%	15.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Uniao Corinthians

WLWLLWLLWL

Pato

WLLLLWLLLL

League position

#15

-12.6

Net rating

-23.7

86.2

Offensive rating

70.9

98.8

Defensive rating

94.5

46.0%

Effective FG%

43.1%

56.0%

Opp. effective FG%

51.3%

15.4%

Turnover %

20.2%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.18

27.1%

3-point %

25.7%

60.2%

Assist %

75.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Uniao Corinthians ■ Pato

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Uniao Corinthians wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/26	Pato v Uniao Corinthians	72-80
23/10/25	Uniao Corinthians v Pato	92-88
22/01/25	Pato v Uniao Corinthians	81-74
02/11/24	Uniao Corinthians v Pato	81-70
10/04/24	Uniao Corinthians v Pato	75-77
27/12/23	Pato v Uniao Corinthians	79-63
22/03/23	Pato v Uniao Corinthians	66-68
08/12/22	Uniao Corinthians v Pato	85-93
06/04/22	Pato v Uniao Corinthians	90-89
30/12/21	Uniao Corinthians v Pato	74-68

Uniao Corinthianslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Brasilia	70-61
01/11/26	A	Flamengo	65-83
30/10/26	A	Botafogo	87-80
27/10/26	A	Pinheiros	63-75
22/10/26	H	Minas	71-88
19/10/26	H	Cruzeiro	83-74
30/04/26	A	Flamengo	77-104
27/04/26	H	Flamengo	77-90
25/04/26	H	Flamengo	84-83
22/04/26	A	Flamengo	72-102

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	A	Caxias do Sul	79-77
09/11/26	H	Bauru	78-98
07/11/26	H	Flamengo	66-80
29/10/26	A	Cruzeiro	68-76
27/10/26	A	Minas	65-86
24/10/26	H	Botafogo	89-88
21/10/26	H	Paulistano	74-80
18/04/26	A	Paulistano	71-92
16/04/26	A	Pinheiros	55-88
11/04/26	A	Osasco	68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uniao Corinthians

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	73.2	74.7	71.7
Allowed / game	76.8	74.3	79.3
Point differential	-3.7	+0.3	-7.7
Avg total	150.0	149.0	151.0
Over 154.5	50%	67%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pato

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	29%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	25%	33%
Points / game	74.1	76.8	70.7
Allowed / game	83.6	86.5	79.7
Point differential	-9.4	-9.8	-9.0
Avg total	157.7	163.2	150.3
Over 154.5	43%	50%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	7	6	1	86%	83.1	73.9	+9.3
3	Pinheiros	8	6	2	75%	85.2	73.1	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	8	5	3	62%	78.9	71.6	+7.2
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
10	Corinthians Paulista	7	3	4	43%	80.0	79.0	+1.0
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Sao Jose	7	3	4	43%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
13	Paulistano	7	3	4	43%	69.6	73.9	-4.3
14	Botafogo	6	2	4	33%	76.7	83.0	-6.3
15	Pato	7	2	5	29%	74.1	83.6	-9.4
16	Osasco	6	1	5	17%	77.8	86.8	-9.0
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Uniao Corinthians	18	22	15	12	67
Pato	14	19	14	15	62

← all games of the day

Uniao Corinthians vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature