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Bayern vs Trier Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyBBLRound 25· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Trier
14 Mar 2027
BAY v TRI
upcoming
19 May 2026
BAY92
TRI65
17 May 2026
BAY101
TRI80
28 Dec 2025
BAY94
TRI83
28 Feb 2015
BAY92
TRI51
09 Mar 2014
BAY72
TRI60
10 Nov 2012
BAY72
TRI66
17 Dec 2011
BAY76
TRI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.070.1166.1+25.988%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 85
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 85
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#14
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 85
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#6
W
99-85
99
85
+14
no box
A15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
18-26
28-18
28-20
25-21
172.8Avg total
98.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.586.0184.5+12.588%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (4)99.292.2191.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)98.374.5172.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.472.0174.4+30.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (5)88.887.6176.4+1.260%
vs Weaker (14)99.179.0178.1+20.193%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
BayernTrier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/11
BBL
85.6Avg total
49.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.743.590.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.545.591.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)49.636.085.6+13.6100%-
Last 5 (5)50.433.083.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (5)46.443.690.0+2.840%-
vs Weaker (14)50.738.689.3+12.193%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.4%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+2.0
Net rating
+17.6
101.7
Offensive rating
106.0
99.7
Defensive rating
88.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
37.4%
66.1%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 106.0Defence99.7 · 88.4Shooting55.8% · 58.9%3-point %36.5% · 37.4%Ball care15.5% · 15.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Bayern   ■ Trier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bayern wins
1
Trier wins
DateGameScore
23/05/26Trier v Bayern62-99
19/05/26Bayern v Trier92-65
17/05/26Bayern v Trier101-80
20/04/26Trier v Bayern80-104
28/12/25Bayern v Trier94-83
16/11/25Trier v Bayern80-96
28/02/15Bayern v Trier92-51
07/12/14Trier v Bayern79-74
09/03/14Bayern v Trier72-60
22/12/13Trier v Bayern69-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AFrankfurt99-85
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game96.0104.082.7
Allowed / game70.167.275.0
Point differential+25.9+36.8+7.7
Avg total166.1171.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game98.597.899.2
Allowed / game86.079.892.2
Point differential+12.5+18.0+7.0
Avg total184.5177.5191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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