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Trier vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-96
17-23 20-28 22-22 21-23
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game78.5
Trier
Germany
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game64.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Quarter-finals· Arena Trier
Other2025-26
Meetings · Trier v Bayern
04 Jan 2027
TRI v BAY
upcoming
23 May 2026
TRI62
BAY99
20 Apr 2026
TRI80
BAY104
16 Nov 2025
TRI80
BAY96
07 Dec 2014
TRI79
BAY74
22 Dec 2013
TRI69
BAY76
17 Mar 2013
TRI90
BAY84
11 Feb 2012
TRI70
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Jena
#1
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A31/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#20
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 85
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
80avg 85
H28/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
87avg 85
A03/10
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 85
H05/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
78avg 85
H12/10
BBL
Bonn
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
109avg 85
H17/10
German Cup
Oldenburg
#10
L
85-108
85
108
-23
75avg 85
A24/10
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 85
H02/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 85
A09/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
25-24
33-17
13-19
25-19
23-16
19-23
20-9
25-24
17-6
20-28
26-20
23-35
20-17
25-23
29-17
24-22
23-20
22-16
12-23
16-20
21-17
23-16
18-20
31-22
27-24
27-21
22-23
27-28
23-23
16-29
19-28
17-17
24-26
32-23
23-21
28-16
13-20
19-21
20-19
173.3Avg total
90.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.078.5175.5+18.5100%
Season at home (1)107.090.0197.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)87.067.0154.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.083.3173.3+6.790%
Last 5 (5)89.286.8176.0+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)91.690.4182.0+1.280%
vs Similar (5)86.876.0162.8+10.8100%
vs Weaker (19)98.486.4184.7+12.084%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
99-64
99
64
+35
90avg 79
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
64avg 79
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
56avg 79
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 79
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 79
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
68avg 79
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
22-13
28-18
25-19
15-23
14-24
23-22
19-27
21-20
17-15
14-9
9-23
27-25
17-32
25-10
21-17
18-15
23-23
20-17
25-15
32-14
31-21
16-22
14-24
22-19
31-23
11-26
22-14
19-22
19-19
24-18
15-15
15-20
17-23
25-18
17-14
14-19
20-23
13-18
25-14
157.6Avg total
80.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.064.0163.0+35.0100%
Season at home (1)99.064.0163.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.976.7157.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)80.477.2157.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.690.6167.2-14.020%
vs Similar (11)77.572.5150.0+4.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.673.8160.4+12.885%
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
TrierBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H28/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A03/10
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/10
BBL
Bonn
#11
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H17/10
German Cup
Oldenburg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A24/10
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H02/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/11
BBL
86.2Avg total
45.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.541.489.9+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.739.990.6+10.787%-
Last 30 away (15)46.342.989.2+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.186.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.688.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.643.688.2+1.040%-
vs Similar (5)43.636.279.8+7.480%-
vs Weaker (19)50.842.593.4+8.374%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
41.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.680.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.940.583.5+2.468%-
Last 30 away (11)37.837.975.7-0.145%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.782.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.684.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.846.682.4-10.80%-
vs Similar (11)39.539.578.9+0.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.137.982.0+6.285%-
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.4
57.6%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.2
36.6%
33.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
72.3%14.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.3
51.3%
51.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.4%
72.3%13.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWLWWWWWWW
Bayern
LLWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#4
+6.5
Net rating
+6.2
113.3
Offensive rating
108.2
106.8
Defensive rating
102.0
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.6%
3-point %
36.0%
57.5%
Assist %
62.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 108.2Defence106.8 · 102.0Shooting56.3% · 52.6%3-point %36.6% · 36.0%Ball care19.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Trier   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trier wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
28/02/15Bayern v Trier92-51
07/12/14Trier v Bayern79-74
09/03/14Bayern v Trier72-60
22/12/13Trier v Bayern69-76
17/03/13Trier v Bayern90-84
10/11/12Bayern v Trier72-66
11/02/12Trier v Bayern70-68
17/12/11Bayern v Trier76-70
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AHeidelberg80-76
02/11/25HVechta96-87
24/10/25AOldenburg85-108
17/10/25HBonn107-90
12/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig78-73
05/10/25HBamberg92-87 OT
03/10/25AAlba Berlin97-92
28/09/25HRostock88-78
23/09/25ATubingen87-67
31/05/25AJena90-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-74
12/11/25HBarcelona74-75
09/11/25AVechta77-74
06/11/25AParis86-82
03/11/25HHeidelberg93-81
30/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-70
28/10/25HReal Madrid90-84
26/10/25AAlba Berlin61-67
24/10/25HOlympiacos71-96
20/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig99-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.0107.087.0
Allowed / game78.590.067.0
Point differential+18.5+17.0+20.0
Avg total175.5197.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%99.064.0+35.0
2 Alba Berlin110100%90.068.0+22.0
3 Trier220100%97.078.5+18.5
4 Bamberg330100%90.377.7+12.7
5 Oldenburg220100%79.067.5+11.5
6 Vechta220100%84.578.0+6.5
7 Jena220100%82.578.5+4.0
8 Rostock21150%90.081.0+9.0
9 Heidelberg21150%74.072.5+1.5
10 Ludwigsburg21150%87.089.0-2.0
11 Bonn21150%90.595.5-5.0
12 Wurzburg1010%60.061.0-1.0
13 Chemnitz1010%86.089.0-3.0
14 Frankfurt1010%96.0101.0-5.0
15 Hamburg1010%89.094.0-5.0
16 Crailsheim Merlins1010%78.085.0-7.0
17 Gottingen1010%84.091.0-7.0
18 Giessen1010%70.080.0-10.0
19 Phoenix Hagen1010%82.0101.0-19.0
20 Tubingen1010%67.087.0-20.0
21 Bremerhaven1010%75.097.0-22.0
22 Ulm1010%68.090.0-22.0
23 Syntainics MBC1010%78.0105.0-27.0
24 Basketball Braunschweig1010%64.099.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trier1720222180
Bayern2328222396
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