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Baylor vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-97
38-38 52-59
Position#200
Record11-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game75.9
vs
TCU 🏆
USA
Position#77
Record12-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Baylor v TCU
24 Jan 2026
BAYL90
TCU97
19 Jan 2025
BAYL71
TCU74
27 Jan 2024
BAYL102
TCU105
04 Jan 2023
BAYL87
TCU88
19 Feb 2022
BAYL72
TCU62
06 Feb 2021
BAYL v TCU
upcoming
01 Feb 2020
BAYL68
TCU52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
113-56
113
56
+57
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
124-61
124
61
+63
H29/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-31
50-36
55-30
58-26
40-31
71-36
69-33
55-28
23-29
40-40
24-25
36-45
26-33
29-44
57-39
37-40
37-43
25-37
36-55
37-37
157.0Avg total
85.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.375.9162.2+10.461%
Season at home (13)90.275.3165.5+14.969%
Season away (5)76.277.4153.6-1.240%
Last 10 (10)85.271.8157.0+13.450%
Last 5 (5)68.879.6148.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.575.5139.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.676.0155.6+3.654%
vs Weaker (11)87.569.8157.4+17.782%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H19/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H30/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
38-28
38-25
34-28
24-28
56-28
55-32
60-32
29-23
40-40
36-41
51-46
27-43
46-43
36-30
34-46
30-38
49-44
37-41
31-24
150.9Avg total
79.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.169.3148.4+9.863%
Season at home (14)78.965.7144.6+13.271%
Season away (5)79.679.4159.0+0.240%
Last 10 (10)79.571.4150.9+8.160%
Last 5 (5)78.082.6160.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.772.2136.9-7.633%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.271.9145.1+1.364%
vs Weaker (10)83.765.8149.5+17.970%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
BaylorTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H29/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/01
NCAA
76.3Avg total
41.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.773.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.334.274.4+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.173.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.976.3+6.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.075.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.736.866.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.936.572.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker (11)45.534.379.7+11.282%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H19/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.269.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.332.669.9+4.665%-
Last 30 away (10)31.637.368.9-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.868.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.671.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.636.366.9-5.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.733.168.8+2.664%-
vs Weaker (10)39.433.572.9+5.960%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baylor wins
4
TCU wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26TCU v Baylor69-63
05/03/25TCU v Baylor58-61
19/01/25Baylor v TCU71-74
27/02/24TCU v Baylor54-62
27/01/24Baylor v TCU102-105 OT
11/02/23TCU v Baylor68-72
05/01/23Baylor v TCU87-88
19/02/22Baylor v TCU72-62
08/01/22TCU v Baylor64-76
09/01/21TCU v Baylor49-67
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HTexas Tech73-92
17/01/26AKansas62-80
14/01/26AOklahoma State94-79
10/01/26HHouston55-77
08/01/26HIowa State60-70
03/01/26ATCU63-69
29/12/25HArlington Baptist Patriots124-61
21/12/25HSouthern Univ.111-67
20/12/25HAlcorn State113-56
10/12/25HNorfolk State97-67
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
15/01/26ABrigham Young70-76
10/01/26HArizona73-86
07/01/26AKansas100-104 OT
03/01/26HBaylor69-63
30/12/25HJackson State115-64
21/12/25HFlorida A&M80-56
19/12/25HOral Roberts72-53
16/12/25HIncarnate Word69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL61%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %61%69%40%
Points / game86.390.276.2
Allowed / game75.975.377.4
Point differential+10.4+14.9-1.2
Avg total162.2165.5153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW63%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %63%71%40%
Points / game79.178.979.6
Allowed / game69.365.779.4
Point differential+9.8+13.2+0.2
Avg total148.4144.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona20200100%89.867.5+22.2
2 Houston1917289%79.161.6+17.4
3 Brigham Young1917289%86.870.1+16.8
4 Iowa State2017385%84.865.7+19.1
5 Texas Tech2016480%84.273.8+10.4
6 UCF Knights1915479%84.377.0+7.3
7 Kansas1914574%77.867.6+10.3
8 Oklahoma State2014670%86.280.4+5.8
9 West Virginia2013765%72.264.3+8.0
10 TCU1912763%79.169.3+9.8
11 Baylor1811761%86.375.9+10.4
12 Colorado2012860%82.678.0+4.6
13 Cincinnati1910953%72.866.7+6.1
14 Kansas State1910953%85.380.2+5.1
15 Arizona State1910953%79.580.4-0.9
16 Utah Utes2091145%80.081.5-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor385290
TCU385997
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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