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Virginia vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 63-64
34-29 29-35
Position#135
Record17-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#168
Record14-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Virginia v Florida State
04 Mar 2025
VIRG60
FLOR57
03 Dec 2022
VIRG62
FLOR57
26 Feb 2022
VIRG63
FLOR64
28 Jan 2020
VIRG61
FLOR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#297
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
31-34
35-23
29-29
27-34
38-35
30-25
37-30
35-26
36-32
34-29
35-39
32-19
31-34
29-25
24-37
30-38
44-33
25-30
36-35
128.0Avg total
65.0Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)63.460.3123.6+3.161%
Season at home (15)63.957.2121.1+6.767%
Season away (13)62.863.8126.6-1.154%
Last 10 (10)65.063.0128.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)64.063.8127.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.965.8124.6-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)64.261.9126.2+2.358%
vs Weaker (10)66.255.0121.2+11.290%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A19/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-19
18-41
33-44
28-31
31-39
41-46
36-45
33-30
21-25
39-43
20-21
31-35
24-62
50-32
36-40
45-40
41-52
29-36
24-32
31-39
140.6Avg total
65.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.071.3142.3-0.352%
Season at home (15)75.366.9142.2+8.373%
Season away (12)65.776.8142.4-11.125%
Last 10 (10)65.475.2140.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)66.277.8144.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.277.8146.0-9.738%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.865.5138.3+7.367%
vs Weaker (2)66.057.0123.0+9.050%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
VirginiaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#297
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
30.9Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.229.059.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.327.558.8+3.871%-
Last 30 away (13)28.731.159.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)30.929.260.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.258.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.530.658.1-3.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.131.261.3-1.233%-
vs Weaker (10)32.425.157.5+7.380%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
24-62
24
62
-38
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A22/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
30.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.067.9-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.130.265.4+4.965%-
Last 30 away (13)32.438.871.2-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)30.937.968.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)29.041.470.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.838.169.9-6.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.032.068.0+4.073%-
vs Weaker (2)32.022.054.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virginia wins
2
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
16/02/21Florida State v Virginia81-60
29/01/20Virginia v Florida State61-56
16/01/20Florida State v Virginia54-50
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HDuke61-65
19/02/22AMiami (FL)74-71
15/02/22AVirginia Tech53-62
12/02/22HGeorgia Tech63-53
08/02/22ADuke69-68
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
01/02/22HBoston College67-55
29/01/22ANotre Dame65-69
25/01/22HLouisville64-52
22/01/22ANC State63-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/22ABoston College55-71
19/02/22ADuke70-88
16/02/22HClemson81-80
12/02/22ANorth Carolina74-94
10/02/22HPittsburgh51-56
05/02/22HWake Forest60-68
03/02/22AClemson69-75
29/01/22HVirginia Tech72-85
27/01/22AGeorgia Tech61-75
22/01/22AMiami (FL)61-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %61%67%54%
Points / game63.463.962.8
Allowed / game60.357.263.8
Point differential+3.1+6.7-1.1
Avg total123.6121.1126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWLLLW73%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%73%25%
Points / game71.075.365.7
Allowed / game71.366.976.8
Point differential-0.3+8.3-11.1
Avg total142.3142.2142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)71% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2824486%79.565.1+14.4
2 SMU Mustangs2620677%74.966.9+8.0
3 Wake Forest2921872%78.169.4+8.8
4 North Carolina2921872%77.772.1+5.6
5 Notre Dame2820871%71.566.7+4.8
6 Miami (FL)2920969%74.770.8+3.9
7 Virginia Tech29181162%69.861.8+8.0
8 Virginia28171161%63.460.3+3.1
9 Stanford27151256%67.068.3-1.3
10 Syracuse28151354%77.074.0+3.0
11 Florida State27141352%71.071.3-0.3
12 Clemson29141548%72.168.8+3.3
13 Louisville27121544%68.169.4-1.3
14 Boston College28111739%65.967.5-1.7
15 California28111739%64.266.0-1.8
16 NC State29111838%73.174.4-1.3
17 Pittsburgh29111838%62.567.2-4.7
18 Georgia Tech28101836%68.169.8-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia342963
Florida State293564
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