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Virginia vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-65
25-30 36-35
Position#135
Record17-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game60.1
Virginia
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record23-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Virginia v Duke
17 Feb 2025
VIRG62
DUKE80
11 Mar 2023
VIRG49
DUKE59
11 Feb 2023
VIRG69
DUKE62
23 Feb 2022
VIRG61
DUKE65
29 Feb 2020
VIRG52
DUKE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#301
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
37-36
32-43
31-34
35-23
29-29
27-34
38-35
30-25
37-30
35-26
36-32
34-29
35-39
32-19
31-34
29-25
24-37
30-38
44-33
128.1Avg total
65.5Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)63.460.1123.6+3.363%
Season at home (14)64.156.6120.7+7.471%
Season away (13)62.863.8126.6-1.154%
Last 10 (10)65.562.6128.1+2.970%
Last 5 (5)66.062.4128.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)58.665.9124.4-7.329%
vs Similar (12)64.261.9126.2+2.358%
vs Weaker (11)66.455.3121.6+11.191%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-22
43-37
36-36
35-33
40-35
34-30
27-14
30-29
39-28
48-39
29-34
39-35
38-27
44-37
37-28
35-33
42-33
34-41
52-41
36-29
139.5Avg total
75.4Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.165.3145.4+14.885%
Season at home (18)82.664.9147.4+17.789%
Season away (9)75.166.1141.2+9.078%
Last 10 (10)75.464.1139.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)77.267.6144.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.871.2146.0+3.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.563.5144.0+17.083%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
VirginiaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#301
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
31.3Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.328.759.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.727.359.0+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)28.630.459.0-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)31.328.760.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)32.027.459.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)27.930.758.6-2.957%-
vs Similar (12)30.131.261.3-1.233%-
vs Weaker (11)32.024.756.7+7.382%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#205
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
37.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.170.3+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.931.372.3+9.679%-
Last 30 away (11)36.230.666.8+5.591%-
Last 10 (10)37.629.867.4+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.672.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (5)34.433.668.0+0.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.030.170.0+9.983%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
1
Duke wins
DateGameScore
08/02/22Duke v Virginia68-69
21/02/21Duke v Virginia66-65
29/02/20Virginia v Duke52-50
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22AMiami (FL)74-71
15/02/22AVirginia Tech53-62
12/02/22HGeorgia Tech63-53
08/02/22ADuke69-68
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
01/02/22HBoston College67-55
29/01/22ANotre Dame65-69
25/01/22HLouisville64-52
22/01/22ANC State63-77
20/01/22APittsburgh66-61
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22HFlorida State88-70
16/02/22HWake Forest76-74
12/02/22ABoston College72-61
11/02/22AClemson82-64
08/02/22HVirginia68-69
05/02/22ANorth Carolina87-67
01/02/22ANotre Dame57-43
29/01/22ALouisville74-65
26/01/22HClemson71-69
22/01/22HSyracuse79-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%71%54%
Points / game63.464.162.8
Allowed / game60.156.663.8
Point differential+3.3+7.4-1.1
Avg total123.6120.7126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %85%89%78%
Points / game80.182.675.1
Allowed / game65.364.966.1
Point differential+14.8+17.7+9.0
Avg total145.4147.4141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%72%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2723485%80.165.3+14.8
2 SMU Mustangs2519676%74.967.2+7.8
3 Wake Forest2821775%78.569.0+9.5
4 North Carolina2820871%77.572.1+5.4
5 Miami (FL)2820871%74.970.8+4.1
6 Notre Dame2719870%71.266.6+4.6
7 Virginia27171063%63.460.1+3.3
8 Virginia Tech27161159%70.161.7+8.4
9 Syracuse27151256%77.373.8+3.4
10 Stanford27151256%67.068.3-1.3
11 Florida State27141352%71.071.3-0.3
12 Clemson27121544%71.969.1+2.8
13 Louisville27121544%68.169.4-1.3
14 NC State27111641%73.574.3-0.8
15 California28111739%64.266.0-1.8
16 Boston College26101638%66.067.7-1.7
17 Pittsburgh29111838%62.567.2-4.7
18 Georgia Tech27101737%68.570.1-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia253661
Duke303565
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