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Bayreuth vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-84
21-24 26-23 30-12 16-25
Position#8
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bayreuth 🏆
Germany
vs
Hamburg
Germany
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Bayreuth v Hamburg
08 Oct 2022
BAR79
HAM95
05 Feb 2022
BAR90
HAM71
05 Oct 2021
BAR93
HAM84
29 Apr 2021
BAR90
HAM83
17 Mar 2020
BAR v HAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
L
88-97
88
97
-9
85avg 80
H10/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 80
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 80
H24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
94avg 80
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
96avg 80
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 80
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 80
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 80
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
28-25
16-22
17-23
29-22
27-30
15-23
22-24
15-17
9-21
17-25
23-14
16-20
31-14
23-28
20-21
20-18
22-16
27-13
30-23
27-13
16-17
21-12
17-16
26-41
22-15
29-16
22-23
22-21
25-14
19-26
8-25
25-7
16-23
16-23
27-24
21-18
22-17
19-16
18-24
166.9Avg total
85.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.281.7166.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.289.6166.9-12.40%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.164%
vs Weaker (11)90.081.1171.1+8.964%
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 75
H23/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 75
A29/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
61avg 75
A02/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
93-91
93
91
+2
75avg 75
H04/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 75
A09/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 75
A20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 75
A22/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
57avg 75
H24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
87avg 75
A25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 75
H29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
26-27
22-23
23-16
20-16
14-31
28-23
21-20
17-23
25-24
20-16
17-22
21-21
28-19
24-23
20-28
15-20
24-26
23-27
27-23
18-30
13-18
8-22
20-12
22-27
19-21
24-20
18-27
16-30
19-18
19-14
19-23
27-24
20-24
22-20
18-20
19-21
22-17
22-24
19-28
170.8Avg total
82.3Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.388.5170.8-6.220%
Last 5 (5)76.888.0164.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.881.1157.9-4.333%
vs Similar (9)83.383.9167.2-0.633%
vs Weaker (12)90.181.0171.1+9.175%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
BayreuthHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H10/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.2Avg total
44.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.683.7+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.640.485.0+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.982.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.684.2+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.281.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.945.187.0-3.238%-
vs Similar (11)43.338.581.7+4.873%-
vs Weaker (11)43.639.583.2+4.155%-
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H23/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A29/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/09
BBL
86.3Avg total
40.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.583.9+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.183.1-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.486.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.085.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.944.082.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (9)42.041.983.9+0.133%-
vs Weaker (12)44.838.883.7+6.067%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.0
36.5%
34.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.418.3
81.7%
72.2%18.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.5
51.0%
51.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
34.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
72.2%14.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WWLWWWWLLL
Hamburg
LLLLLLWLLW
#8
League position
#13
+2.2
Net rating
-8.6
113.1
Offensive rating
109.7
110.9
Defensive rating
118.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
63.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
30.1%
65.6%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 109.7Defence110.9 · 118.2Shooting56.0% · 48.9%3-point %36.5% · 30.1%Ball care19.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayreuth wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
29/04/21Bayreuth v Hamburg90-83
05/02/21Hamburg v Bayreuth92-95 OT
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/21HHapoel Haifa80-75
29/09/21HSzedeak84-77
26/09/21AGiessen74-86
09/05/21AGottingen99-95
04/05/21HFrankfurt81-58
02/05/21ASyntainics MBC99-70
29/04/21HHamburg90-83
24/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig64-77
13/04/21HUlm93-99
10/04/21HBamberg88-97
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/21HChemnitz82-90
25/09/21ALudwigsburg87-88
24/05/21HAlba Berlin73-85
22/05/21AAlba Berlin83-95
20/05/21AAlba Berlin59-82
09/05/21AFrankfurt89-96
04/05/21HGottingen93-91
02/05/21ACrailsheim Merlins79-85
29/04/21ABayreuth83-90
23/04/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hamburg
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%98.077.0+21.0
2 Basketball Braunschweig110100%97.077.0+20.0
3 s.Oliver Wurzburg110100%97.078.0+19.0
4 Frankfurt110100%75.067.0+8.0
5 Alba Berlin110100%83.080.0+3.0
6 Chemnitz110100%87.085.0+2.0
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%65.063.0+2.0
8 Ludwigsburg1010%63.065.0-2.0
9 Ulm1010%85.087.0-2.0
10 Bonn1010%80.083.0-3.0
11 Oldenburg1010%67.075.0-8.0
12 Syntainics MBC1010%78.097.0-19.0
13 Gottingen1010%77.097.0-20.0
14 Bamberg1010%77.098.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2126301693
Hamburg2423122584
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