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Hamburg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-95 (OT)
17-25 24-21 27-21 18-19 6-9
Position#7
Record9-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.4
GermanyBBLRound 16
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayreuth
11 Feb 2023
HAM86
BAR74
17 Oct 2021
HAM77
BAR70
05 Feb 2021
HAM92
BAR95
30 Nov 2019
HAM81
BAR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 77
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
100-79
100
79
+21
no box
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 77
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 77
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 77
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
55avg 77
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 77
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 77
H10/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
62avg 77
A17/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
98-70
98
70
+28
104avg 77
H23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
23-15
17-32
23-21
26-18
28-14
26-28
20-19
25-20
15-18
14-15
15-20
30-29
19-18
22-22
27-25
16-17
17-28
19-22
23-28
21-31
14-16
15-18
15-21
24-16
25-11
24-29
19-18
26-15
27-20
18-13
18-24
19-21
18-27
17-16
17-21
31-18
22-20
21-14
24-18
165.0Avg total
84.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.877.5162.3+7.469%
Season at home (7)85.976.9162.7+9.071%
Season away (6)83.778.2161.8+5.567%
Last 10 (10)84.280.8165.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)83.077.4160.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.391.2172.4-9.911%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.078.8157.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (8)91.477.0168.4+14.488%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 77
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
83avg 77
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
95avg 77
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
73avg 77
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 77
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 77
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 77
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 77
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 77
A30/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
22-24
17-25
15-14
28-24
21-28
15-25
22-27
24-23
27-21
14-24
22-25
27-30
25-17
18-24
29-39
18-22
20-17
18-15
17-13
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
167.9Avg total
80.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.686.4168.0-4.833%
Season at home (7)83.688.4172.0-4.929%
Season away (8)79.984.6164.5-4.838%
Last 10 (10)80.587.4167.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.289.2167.4-11.09%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.076.9156.9+3.157%
vs Weaker (12)95.893.7189.4+2.150%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
HamburgBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H10/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/01
BBL
83.2Avg total
44.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.987.1-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.587.0+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.487.1-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.483.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.084.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.849.690.4-8.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.242.283.5-1.025%-
vs Weaker (8)45.535.881.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
85.7Avg total
43.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.286.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.686.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.786.9-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.685.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.677.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.344.483.6-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.340.479.7-1.129%-
vs Weaker (12)47.446.293.6+1.258%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.3
53.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.0%
37.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
78.0%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.0
54.9%
54.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.2
38.7%
37.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
78.0%14.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLWWLLWLWW
Bayreuth
WLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#10
+5.9
Net rating
-8.9
112.5
Offensive rating
109.9
106.7
Defensive rating
118.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
38.7%
64.3%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 109.9Defence106.7 · 118.9Shooting54.6% · 56.2%3-point %37.0% · 38.7%Ball care18.6% · 21.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
1
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HFrankfurt98-70
17/01/21ABayern71-85
10/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins89-72
02/01/21HVechta92-74
29/12/20ALudwigsburg65-86
27/12/20HChemnitz75-95
20/12/20AGottingen98-94
13/12/20HUlm69-73
10/12/20HGiessen100-79
06/12/20ASyntainics MBC85-80
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61
23/01/21HBayern78-98
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89
30/12/20ABamberg73-67
26/12/20HGiessen99-110
22/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-93
19/12/20AFrankfurt86-104
13/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game84.885.983.7
Allowed / game77.576.978.2
Point differential+7.4+9.0+5.5
Avg total162.3162.7161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game81.683.679.9
Allowed / game86.488.484.6
Point differential-4.8-4.9-4.8
Avg total168.0172.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1514193%90.079.0+11.0
2 Alba Berlin1312192%85.575.8+9.7
3 Oldenburg1513287%94.182.0+12.1
4 Crailsheim Merlins1513287%90.081.9+8.1
5 Bayern1411379%87.577.3+10.2
6 Hamburg139469%84.877.5+7.4
7 Ulm1510567%87.478.9+8.5
8 Bamberg167944%82.481.9+0.5
9 Frankfurt156940%78.181.9-3.7
10 Basketball Braunschweig114736%86.892.4-5.5
11 Syntainics MBC1551033%84.989.5-4.5
12 Bayreuth1551033%81.686.4-4.8
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg1551033%78.585.8-7.3
14 Chemnitz1441029%81.590.5-9.0
15 Gottingen1541127%81.691.5-9.9
16 Bonn1431121%80.185.1-5.1
17 Vechta1531220%80.486.7-6.3
18 Giessen1521313%84.595.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hamburg17242718692
Bayreuth25212119995
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