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Crailsheim Merlins vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-79
23-17 24-25 16-20 22-17
Position#5
Record21-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#7
Record20-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.1
GermanyBBLRound 32
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Hamburg
30 Dec 2023
CME84
HAM89
26 Nov 2022
CME92
HAM84
20 Nov 2021
CME90
HAM73
02 May 2021
CME85
HAM79
19 Jan 2020
CME101
HAM98
25 Nov 2017
CME82
HAM72
25 Mar 2017
CME82
HAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 81
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
68-58
68
58
+10
62avg 81
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-77
102
77
+25
96avg 81
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 81
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 81
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 81
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
27-24
19-22
18-23
14-18
26-8
15-14
13-18
15-16
20-15
20-27
19-21
22-22
26-20
29-9
25-26
22-21
22-21
15-21
25-29
25-16
15-31
20-16
31-25
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
15-27
23-14
21-13
26-19
25-15
20-22
25-27
28-17
17-21
26-23
21-28
14-21
165.5Avg total
83.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.983.1169.9+3.868%
Season at home (16)85.180.1165.2+5.075%
Season away (15)88.786.2174.9+2.560%
Last 10 (10)83.582.0165.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)85.883.4169.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.087.6166.6-8.643%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.390.0175.3-4.750%
vs Weaker (17)90.879.8170.6+11.182%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 77
A20/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 77
A04/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 77
A07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
68avg 77
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
81avg 77
H14/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
97-98
97
98
-1
84avg 77
A19/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 77
H23/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 77
A29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
19-15
20-20
20-16
30-27
19-23
21-14
20-11
21-19
20-24
17-14
21-22
22-16
20-9
21-18
13-21
26-16
23-25
24-22
15-19
15-10
15-19
23-16
22-23
23-19
16-18
15-8
26-29
29-20
16-28
21-31
31-19
24-17
26-27
22-23
23-16
20-16
14-31
28-23
21-20
163.2Avg total
84.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.879.1163.9+5.865%
Season at home (16)86.078.8164.8+7.269%
Season away (15)83.679.3162.9+4.360%
Last 10 (10)84.978.3163.2+6.680%
Last 5 (5)86.082.6168.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.278.4154.6-2.138%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.782.0165.7+1.750%
vs Weaker (16)90.078.6168.6+11.481%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
Crailsheim MerlinsHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
BBL
82.4Avg total
41.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.3+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.480.4+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.686.5+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.082.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.340.780.0-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.545.286.7-3.750%-
vs Weaker (17)44.938.583.4+6.565%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A20/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H23/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A04/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A19/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H23/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A29/04
BBL
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.482.0+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.783.3+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.180.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.842.181.9-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.340.782.0+0.733%-
vs Weaker (16)44.537.682.1+6.969%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.5
53.2%
54.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.8
38.2%
37.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.3
75.7%
78.0%14.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.5
53.8%
54.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
37.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
78.0%14.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWLWLWLWL
Hamburg
LWLWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#7
+2.3
Net rating
+11.7
112.4
Offensive rating
114.5
110.1
Defensive rating
102.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.2%
3-point %
37.7%
57.2%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 114.5Defence110.1 · 102.8Shooting55.3% · 54.8%3-point %38.2% · 37.7%Ball care19.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds33.8% · 26.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/21AUlm78-93
24/04/21HVechta98-81
14/04/21AChemnitz85-73
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
07/04/21HBonn91-88
04/04/21AFrankfurt84-92
27/03/21HGiessen102-77
21/03/21HBayern74-79
14/03/21HLudwigsburg68-58
05/03/21ABayreuth78-97
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/21ABayreuth83-90
23/04/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg95-83
19/04/21AChemnitz97-98
14/04/21HOldenburg80-74
10/04/21AAlba Berlin75-68
07/04/21AVechta88-82
04/04/21ABamberg76-64
27/03/21HBayern91-86 OT
23/03/21HAlba Berlin90-75
20/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game86.985.188.7
Allowed / game83.180.186.2
Point differential+3.8+5.0+2.5
Avg total169.9165.2174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%69%60%
Points / game84.886.083.6
Allowed / game79.178.879.3
Point differential+5.8+7.2+4.3
Avg total163.9164.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %10%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3128390%89.377.2+12.2
2 Alba Berlin3125681%86.175.7+10.4
3 Bayern3224875%87.579.1+8.3
4 Oldenburg3123874%93.384.2+9.1
5 Crailsheim Merlins31211068%86.983.1+3.8
6 Ulm31201165%88.078.5+9.5
7 Hamburg31201165%84.879.1+5.8
8 Bamberg31161552%84.581.9+2.5
9 Basketball Braunschweig32141844%83.487.2-3.8
10 Gottingen30121840%83.589.7-6.2
11 Bonn31121939%82.884.3-1.5
12 Bayreuth31121939%83.585.6-2.1
13 Frankfurt31112035%76.383.2-6.9
14 Chemnitz31112035%79.287.7-8.5
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg3092130%78.287.1-8.9
16 Syntainics MBC3192229%83.689.9-6.3
17 Giessen3172423%84.993.8-8.9
18 Vechta3152616%79.388.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2324162285
Hamburg1725201779
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