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Bayreuth vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-83
16-20 31-14 23-28 20-21
Position#10
Record11-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#7
Record20-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game78.7
GermanyBBLRound 31
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayreuth v Hamburg
08 Oct 2022
BAR79
HAM95
05 Feb 2022
BAR90
HAM71
05 Oct 2021
BAR93
HAM84
29 Apr 2021
BAR90
HAM83
17 Mar 2020
BAR v HAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 79
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A15/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 79
H21/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
92-97
92
97
-5
83avg 79
A28/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
95-79
95
79
+16
102avg 79
H03/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
62-83
62
83
-21
49avg 79
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
88-97
88
97
-9
85avg 79
H10/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 79
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 79
H24/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
18-18
21-17
22-17
28-14
24-27
22-19
23-18
19-18
21-22
24-12
26-23
17-17
15-18
23-21
30-16
24-29
27-20
20-28
21-20
29-24
29-11
19-23
18-21
19-18
10-26
18-17
15-22
27-27
28-25
16-22
17-23
29-22
27-30
15-23
22-24
15-17
9-21
17-25
23-14
169.0Avg total
85.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.385.7169.0-2.437%
Season at home (15)84.686.3170.9-1.733%
Season away (15)81.985.1167.1-3.240%
Last 10 (10)85.783.3169.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.487.0167.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.389.2165.5-12.90%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.081.8164.8+1.256%
vs Weaker (11)89.885.7175.5+4.155%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
H17/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 77
A20/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 77
A04/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 77
A07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
68avg 77
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
81avg 77
H14/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
97-98
97
98
-1
84avg 77
A19/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 77
H23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-22
16-16
21-16
15-12
19-15
20-20
20-16
30-27
19-23
21-14
20-11
21-19
20-24
17-14
21-22
22-16
20-9
21-18
13-21
26-16
23-25
24-22
15-19
15-10
15-19
23-16
22-23
23-19
16-18
15-8
26-29
29-20
16-28
21-31
31-19
24-17
26-27
22-23
23-16
162.4Avg total
85.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.978.7163.6+6.267%
Season at home (16)86.078.8164.8+7.269%
Season away (14)83.678.6162.2+5.164%
Last 10 (10)85.077.4162.4+7.690%
Last 5 (5)87.081.0168.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.278.4154.6-2.138%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.879.5162.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (16)90.078.6168.6+11.481%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
BayreuthHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A28/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H03/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H10/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H24/04
BBL
87.3Avg total
44.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.143.387.3+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.984.0-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.887.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.288.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.945.586.4-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.642.985.4-0.344%-
vs Weaker (11)44.241.085.2+3.255%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A20/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H23/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A04/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A19/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H23/04
BBL
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.582.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.483.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.680.7+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.882.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.842.181.9-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.341.283.5+1.233%-
vs Weaker (16)44.537.682.1+6.969%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.8
61.6%
54.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
37.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.018.9
82.2%
78.0%18.9
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.0
53.4%
54.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
37.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
78.0%14.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLLWLWWWW
Hamburg
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#7
+4.1
Net rating
+10.9
116.4
Offensive rating
114.1
112.3
Defensive rating
103.2
58.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
37.8%
57.5%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.1Defence112.3 · 103.2Shooting58.8% · 54.6%3-point %36.0% · 37.8%Ball care18.4% · 13.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 26.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayreuth wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
05/02/21Hamburg v Bayreuth92-95 OT
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig64-77
13/04/21HUlm93-99
10/04/21HBamberg88-97
06/04/21ABayern62-83
03/04/21HVechta95-79
28/03/21ALudwigsburg92-97
21/03/21HChemnitz85-72
15/03/21As.Oliver Wurzburg90-75
05/03/21HCrailsheim Merlins97-78
02/03/21ABonn91-76
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg95-83
19/04/21AChemnitz97-98
14/04/21HOldenburg80-74
10/04/21AAlba Berlin75-68
07/04/21AVechta88-82
04/04/21ABamberg76-64
27/03/21HBayern91-86 OT
23/03/21HAlba Berlin90-75
20/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
17/03/21HBasketball Braunschweig84-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game83.384.681.9
Allowed / game85.786.385.1
Point differential-2.4-1.7-3.2
Avg total169.0170.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game84.986.083.6
Allowed / game78.778.878.6
Point differential+6.2+7.2+5.1
Avg total163.6164.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %10%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3028293%89.276.6+12.6
2 Alba Berlin3024680%86.275.5+10.7
3 Bayern3123874%87.078.8+8.2
4 Oldenburg3022873%93.685.0+8.6
5 Crailsheim Merlins3021970%87.282.7+4.4
6 Hamburg30201067%84.978.7+6.2
7 Ulm30191163%87.878.5+9.3
8 Bamberg29151452%84.481.4+3.0
9 Gottingen29121741%83.389.3-6.0
10 Basketball Braunschweig30121840%83.187.8-4.7
11 Frankfurt29111838%77.083.2-6.2
12 Bonn30111937%82.784.7-2.0
13 Bayreuth30111937%83.385.7-2.4
14 Chemnitz30111937%79.587.5-8.0
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg2992031%78.187.0-8.9
16 Syntainics MBC3192229%83.689.9-6.3
17 Giessen3062420%84.594.5-10.0
18 Vechta3052517%79.288.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1631232090
Hamburg2014282183
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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