Bayreuth vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027

Tip-off: 17:30

Scheduled

Position#18

Record1-8

FormLLWLL

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game97.1

Bayreuth

Paderborn

Position#10

Record4-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game80.9

Pro ARound 34· Oberfrankenhalle

Other2026-27

Meetings · Bayreuth v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bochum

#11

103-88

103

+15

H02/05

Pro A

Koblenz

#11

90-109

109

-19

A27/09

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

79-89

-10

H02/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

75-104

104

-29

A04/10

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#15

89-100

100

-11

H14/10

Pro A

Artland

#14

86-97

-11

H17/10

Pro A

Koln

98-105

105

-7

A25/10

Pro A

Bochum

#16

98-83

+15

H30/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#10

98-100 OT

100

-2

A08/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

76-87

-11

H13/11

Pro A

22-17

28-28

28-24

25-19

24-30

18-27

28-27

20-25

17-23

23-17

14-22

25-27

17-24

17-26

26-21

15-33

20-32

20-27

31-27

18-14

18-27

20-20

24-28

24-22

18-24

23-35

28-21

29-25

17-23

18-24

29-16

34-20

27-18

29-20

16-28

12-18

15-24

27-26

12-19

22-18

185.4Avg total

89.2Scored

96.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.7	97.1	184.8	-9.4	11%
Season at home (5)	85.6	91.2	176.8	-5.6	20%
Season away (4)	90.2	104.5	194.8	-14.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	96.2	185.4	-7.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	94.4	185.6	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	84.1	92.9	177.1	-8.8	29%
vs Similar (12)	86.9	82.7	169.6	+4.2	50%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	87.8	169.2	-6.2	50%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

74-89

-15

A02/05

Pro A

Bochum

#16

77-81

-4

H26/09

Pro A

Koln

90-73

+17

H02/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

81-84

-3

A04/10

Pro A

Koblenz

#11

86-88

-2

H10/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

82-100

100

-18

A17/10

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#15

83-71

+12

H24/10

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

58-65

-7

A31/10

Pro A

Bayreuth

#18

100-98 OT

100

H08/11

Pro A

Artland

#14

82-68

+14

A13/11

Pro A

15-30

24-10

12-25

23-24

15-19

15-16

20-21

27-25

29-16

15-21

24-13

22-23

25-27

17-19

26-21

13-17

23-15

20-23

25-29

18-21

26-27

19-25

18-22

19-26

23-20

22-21

16-25

22-5

17-15

15-13

15-9

11-28

18-27

20-29

28-16

18-12

15-12

14-20

24-22

29-14

163.0Avg total

81.3Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.1	80.9	163.0	+1.2	44%
Season at home (5)	87.2	82.2	169.4	+5.0	60%
Season away (4)	75.8	79.2	155.0	-3.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	81.7	163.0	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	80.4	161.4	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	81.0	89.2	170.2	-8.2	27%
vs Similar (11)	81.7	83.5	165.3	-1.8	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	87.5	80.8	168.2	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.0	40.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	23.1	43.0	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	24.2	43.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.0	42.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.2	20.5	41.8	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	24.4	43.2	-5.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	25.0	47.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.0	48.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	23.6	43.3	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.8	42.3	-3.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.5	20.3	38.9	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	25%	-

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bochum

#11

50-45

H02/05

Pro A

Koblenz

#11

42-57

-15

A27/09

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

40-40

H02/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

34-50

-16

A04/10

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#15

40-59

-19

H14/10

Pro A

Artland

#14

38-47

-9

H17/10

Pro A

Koln

41-59

-18

A25/10

Pro A

Bochum

#16

35-47

-12

H30/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#10

56-38

+18

A08/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

42-50

-8

H13/11

Pro A

91.0Avg total

41.8Scored

49.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.2	83.9	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	43.4	81.2	-5.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	49.2	91.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	48.2	90.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.1	46.3	85.4	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	46.2	87.0	-5.5	25%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PS Karlsruhe

39-40

-1

A02/05

Pro A

Bochum

#16

30-35

-5

H26/09

Pro A

Koln

44-37

H02/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

42-46

-4

A04/10

Pro A

Koblenz

#11

43-38

H10/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-52

-7

A17/10

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#15

45-41

H24/10

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

32-28

A31/10

Pro A

Bayreuth

#18

38-56

-18

H08/11

Pro A

Artland

#14

29-32

-3

A13/11

Pro A

79.2Avg total

38.7Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	44.1	84.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	40.1	79.9	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.5	79.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.8	79.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.1	42.2	82.3	-2.1	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.3	42.2	82.5	-1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.2	42.2	81.5	-3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	23.3	46.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	21.5	41.8	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.8	21.1	44.9	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.4	24.1	44.5	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	16.2	38.5	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.5	85.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	41.1	84.7	+2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	43.8	86.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	45.4	91.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.0	44.3	86.3	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.8	41.7	88.4	+5.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	38.8	76.5	-1.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.9	84.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	44.0	85.1	-2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.8	75.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.5	46.1	86.6	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.5	41.4	82.8	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.2	35.0	79.2	+9.2	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.3	37.9%	-	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.1	71.2%	-	14.1

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paderborntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.2	60.4%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	12.8	42.2%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.4%	-	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	16.1	52.1%	-	32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.6%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.1	39.4%	-	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	-	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/26	Paderborn v Bayreuth	100-98 OT
17/01/26	Bayreuth v Paderborn	92-103
27/09/25	Paderborn v Bayreuth	73-94
20/04/24	Bayreuth v Paderborn	88-78
13/01/24	Paderborn v Bayreuth	84-80

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	H	Heidelberg	76-87
08/11/26	A	Paderborn	98-100 OT
30/10/26	H	Bochum	98-83
25/10/26	A	Koln	98-105
17/10/26	H	Artland	86-97
14/10/26	H	OrangeAcademy	89-100
04/10/26	A	Kirchheim	75-104
02/10/26	H	PS Karlsruhe	79-89
27/09/26	A	Koblenz	90-109
02/05/26	H	Bochum	103-88

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	A	Artland	82-68
08/11/26	H	Bayreuth	100-98 OT
31/10/26	A	Crailsheim Merlins	58-65
24/10/26	H	OrangeAcademy	83-71
17/10/26	A	Kirchheim	82-100
10/10/26	H	Koblenz	86-88
04/10/26	A	Bremerhaven	81-84
02/10/26	H	Koln	90-73
26/09/26	H	Bochum	77-81
02/05/26	A	PS Karlsruhe	74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

Pro A 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	11%
Home	LLLWL	20%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	11%	20%	0%
Points / game	87.7	85.6	90.2
Allowed / game	97.1	91.2	104.5
Point differential	-9.4	-5.6	-14.2
Avg total	184.8	176.8	194.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

Paderborn

Pro A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	44%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	82.1	87.2	75.8
Allowed / game	80.9	82.2	79.2
Point differential	+1.2	+5.0	-3.5
Avg total	163.0	169.4	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crailsheim Merlins	9	8	1	89%	82.4	68.1	+14.3
2	Kirchheim	9	8	1	89%	91.9	77.7	+14.2
3	Wolmirstedt	9	8	1	89%	78.7	71.4	+7.2
4	Heidelberg	9	7	2	78%	82.2	71.3	+10.9
5	Giessen	9	5	4	56%	80.2	75.8	+4.4
6	Tubingen	9	5	4	56%	81.0	80.0	+1.0
7	Bremerhaven	9	5	4	56%	80.7	83.3	-2.7
8	Koln	10	5	5	50%	82.9	90.0	-7.1
9	Gottingen	9	4	5	44%	83.6	80.7	+2.9
10	Paderborn	9	4	5	44%	82.1	80.9	+1.2
11	Koblenz	9	4	5	44%	83.8	85.9	-2.1
12	PS Karlsruhe	9	4	5	44%	78.3	84.1	-5.8
13	Nurnberger	10	4	6	40%	76.4	82.6	-6.2
14	Artland	9	3	6	33%	83.9	84.7	-0.8
15	OrangeAcademy	9	3	6	33%	80.9	86.0	-5.1
16	Bochum	9	2	7	22%	79.7	85.8	-6.1
17	ETB Miners	9	2	7	22%	83.7	93.1	-9.4
18	Bayreuth	9	1	8	11%	87.7	97.1	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Bayreuth vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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