PythiaBasketballBETA
Higher LeagueBC Almaty 2 will host Turan in the Higher League on 19 November 2026, and the Pythia model rates Turan the clear favourite, giving them a 78% chance to win versus 22% for the home side. BC Almaty 2 are 4-1 this season, averaging 83.2 points per game and allowing 72.6, and sit second in the league; at home they are 2-1, scoring 88.7 and conceding 80.3, with a 4-1 record over the last five games and recent victories over Tulpar, ChelSU Kostanay and Pavlodar. Turan are 3-2 this season, averaging 82.0 points and allowing 79.0, and have won three of their last five, with a recent win over Shymkent and two defeats to Almaty 2. In the two meetings between the clubs Turan have won both, the most recent being a 99-61 victory on 24 October 2025. The model projects a 73-82 scoreline for the game, a total of 154.9 points, and a 4% chance of overtime; Turan are 22% likely to cover the home team's line. The next game will see Turan try to extend their dominance over BC Almaty 2.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 83.2 | 72.6 | 155.8 | +10.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.7 | 80.3 | 169.0 | +8.3 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 75.0 | 61.0 | 136.0 | +14.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.1 | 75.8 | 161.9 | +10.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 72.6 | 155.8 | +10.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 73.8 | 88.5 | 162.2 | -14.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 87.0 | 94.3 | 181.3 | -7.3 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (23) | 90.9 | 67.5 | 158.4 | +23.4 | 96% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.5 | 64.5 | 141.0 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 76.6 | 150.2 | -3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 60.5 | 92.0 | 152.5 | -31.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 87.5 | 68.5 | 156.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (26) | 87.6 | 59.3 | 146.9 | +28.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 35.7 | 81.4 | +10.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 47.5 | 35.2 | 82.6 | +12.3 | 76% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.5 | 36.3 | 79.8 | +7.2 | 54% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.0 | 35.5 | 77.5 | +6.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 36.0 | 73.6 | +1.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 41.5 | 41.5 | 83.0 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 43.7 | 44.0 | 87.7 | -0.3 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (23) | 46.7 | 33.6 | 80.3 | +13.2 | 70% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 29.9 | 73.8 | +13.9 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.8 | 29.5 | 73.3 | +14.3 | 87% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.9 | 30.3 | 74.3 | +13.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.4 | 31.0 | 69.4 | +7.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 33.4 | 69.2 | +2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 26.5 | 44.0 | 70.5 | -17.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 45.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | +14.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (26) | 45.1 | 28.8 | 73.9 | +16.3 | 88% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 48.6 | 25.6 | 49.6% | 51.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.9 | 28.6% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.0 | 10.9 | 63.9% | 10.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 21.4 | 49.6% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.9 | 8.4 | 28.6% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 12.1 | 8.5 | 63.9% | 8.5 |
BC Almaty 2
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/10/25 | BC Almaty 2 v Turan | 61-99 |
| 22/10/25 | BC Almaty 2 v Turan | 53-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | H | Tulpar | 91-83 |
| 24/10/26 | A | ChelSU Kostanay | 71-58 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Pavlodar | 107-79 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Tulpar | 68-79 |
| 21/10/26 | A | ChelSU Kostanay | 79-64 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Aktobe | 88-97 |
| 30/04/26 | A | CHAMP1ON | 103-55 |
| 29/04/26 | H | CHAMP1ON | 114-61 |
| 27/04/26 | H | Bars Petropavlovsk | 62-88 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Bars Petropavlovsk | 78-94 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 | H | Almaty | 56-89 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Almaty | 65-95 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Shymkent | 87-64 |
| 30/04/26 | A | Bars Petropavlovsk | 84-72 |
| 29/04/26 | H | Bars Petropavlovsk | 76-63 |
| 27/04/26 | A | CHAMP1ON | 71-50 |
| 26/04/26 | H | CHAMP1ON | 104-51 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 66-55 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Atyrau 2 | 68-54 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 88-52 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 88.7 | 75.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.6 | 80.3 | 61.0 |
| Point differential | +10.6 | +8.3 | +14.0 |
| Avg total | 155.8 | 169.0 | 136.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bars Petropavlovsk | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 88.1 | 63.3 | +24.8 |
| 2 | BC Almaty 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.2 | 72.6 | +10.6 |
| 3 |  Tigers-KazATU | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.9 | 71.6 | +16.3 |
| 4 | Tulpar | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.0 | 84.8 | -2.8 |
| 5 |  Karaganda | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 68.2 | 74.8 | -6.6 |
| 6 |  ChelSU Kostanay | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 70.1 | 82.1 | -12.0 |
| 7 |  Arlans | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 68.2 | 87.8 | -19.6 |
| 8 |  Pavlodar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 62.4 | 94.2 | -31.8 |
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